1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 9
  3. FGCU @ UGA
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 9

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles at Georgia Bulldogs

Stegeman Coliseum · at Georgia
#266FGCUFGCU
@
#34UGAGeorgia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FGCUThis seasonUGA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UGA 93–66 · win probability UGA 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 159.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UGA has more of the edges

FGCU 1, UGA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UGABig
UGA offense vs FGCU defense
Offense 19th of 366 against a defense 274th, on the model’s ratings
UGABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: FGCU 29.1, UGA 36.9. Allowed: FGCU 38.3, UGA 30.2
UGABig
FGCU offense vs UGA defense
Offense 259th of 366 against a defense 75th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
FGCU has played the 231st-hardest schedule, UGA the 52nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
UGABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: FGCU 52.0 and allows 53.4; UGA 54.2 and allows 50.6
UGASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FGCU 16.0%, UGA 14.3%. Forced: FGCU 16.4%, UGA 18.4%
FGCUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FGCU 31.1%, UGA 34.9%. Defensive: FGCU 71.8%, UGA 65.1%
UGASmall
Three-pointers
FGCU hits 33.2% and allows 35.5%; UGA hits 33.8% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 38.4% and 44.3% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: FGCU plays 69.9 a game (122nd fastest), UGA 74.7 (8th). Faster games mean more points
UGASmall
Home court
UGA at home. This season: UGA 0-0 at home, FGCU 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FGCU 25%, UGA 46%. Transfers in: FGCU 3, UGA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UGA -27.6—
Total—159.1—
Projected score—FGCU 65.7 · UGA 93.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUGA -16.3—
1H total74.3—
1H projected scoreFGCU 29 · UGA 45.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgia has the better starters

Position by position: FGCU 0, Georgia 3, even 2
FGCUBetterGeorgia
G E. Brooks TR12.3 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.1 ast Score 47
UGABig
G B. Cain13.1 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 95
G D. Williams6.1 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast Score 21
UGABig
G F. Dilione V TR14 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 93
G G. Washington2.6 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Millender12 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.1 ast Score 89
F G. Tanner2.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. Catchings11.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 78
C T. Guillouette2.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 26
UGABig
F J. Scott TR3.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 78
FGCUBetterGeorgia
FGCU offense259th of 366 · -8.0
UGABig
UGA defense75th of 366 · +0.7
FGCU defense274th of 366 · -6.9
UGABig
UGA offense19th of 366 · +7.8
Backcourt-4.1 · 3 players
UGABig
Backcourt+8.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.2 · 2 players
UGABig
Frontcourt+2.4 · 2 players
Bench-0.7 · 3 players
UGASmall
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestFGCU betterUGA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
FGCU
Guards
E. Brooks30 min · TRD. Williams19 minG. Washington8 minM. McCarthy2 minB. WashingtonNewN. SermpezisNew
Forwards
G. Tanner8 minC. Outlaw2 min · TRB. LucasNewE. BarlowNewC. KoniecznyNewT. WestercampNew
Centers
T. Guillouette13 minJ. Houser6 min · TR
Georgia
Guards
B. Cain28 minF. Dilione V28 min · TRM. Millender26 minB. Klatsky2 minM. Jennings1 minK. MillenderNew
Forwards
K. Catchings23 minJ. Scott18 min · TRB. Dunlap17 min · TRK. Stagg13 minA. Osasuyi12 min · TRM. KuanyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FGCUUGA
Scoring
76.6 #130Points per game89.4 #3
1.10 #138Points per possession1.19 #18
69.9 #122Pace (possessions)74.7 #8
Shooting
52.0 #147Effective FG%54.2 #61
33.2 #2193-point %33.8 #185
38.4 #2023-point attempt rate44.3 #83
29.1 #331Free throw rate36.9 #131
Possessions
16.0 #135Turnover rate14.3 #31
31.1 #161Offensive rebound rate34.9 #49
14.5 #115Assists per game14.8 #102
Defense
78.0 #266Points allowed79.8 #314
1.11 #254Points allowed per possession1.07 #135
53.4 #280Opponent effective FG%50.6 #134
35.5 #275Opponent 3-point %33.6 #165
16.4 #191Turnovers forced18.4 #82
71.8 #73Defensive rebound rate65.1 #336
7.7 #66Steals per game8.4 #21
3.4 #153Blocks per game6.0 #3
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

FGCU

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs C Arkansas63–73
  • Wvs Lipscomb77–53
  • Wvs North Alabama69–58
  • L@ Stetson63–78
  • L@ North Florida70–76

A week or more of rest.

Georgia

22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Saint Louis77–102
  • Lvs Ole Miss72–76
  • W@ Mississippi St102–96
  • Wvs Alabama98–88
  • Wvs South Carolina87–68

A week or more of rest.