Stegeman Coliseum · at Georgia
LineNo line yet
Total—
 JAX | This season | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects UGA 92–66 · win probability UGA 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 157.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: UGA has more of the edges
JAX 1, UGA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UGABigTurnovers
Turnover rate: JAX 17.2%, UGA 14.3%. Forced: JAX 15.0%, UGA 18.4%
Context
Schedule so far
JAX has played the 247th-hardest schedule, UGA the 52nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
UGABigFree throws
Free throw rate: JAX 32.8, UGA 36.9. Allowed: JAX 42.7, UGA 30.2
UGABigUGA offense vs JAX defense
Offense 19th of 366 against a defense 210th, on the model’s ratings
UGABigShooting
Effective FG%: JAX 50.0 and allows 54.8; UGA 54.2 and allows 50.6
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: JAX plays 65.7 a game (322nd fastest), UGA 74.7 (8th). Faster games mean more points
UGABigJAX offense vs UGA defense
Offense 232nd of 366 against a defense 75th, on the model’s ratings
UGABigThree-pointers
JAX hits 31.8% and allows 36.3%; UGA hits 33.8% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 37.4% and 44.3% of their shots
JAXSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: JAX 31.7%, UGA 34.9%. Defensive: JAX 70.9%, UGA 65.1%
UGASmallHome court
UGA at home. This season: UGA 0-0 at home, JAX 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: JAX 27%, UGA 46%. Transfers in: JAX 6, UGA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | UGA -25.5 | — |
| Total | — | 157.5 | — |
| Projected score | — | JAX 66 · UGA 91.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UGA -15.1 | — |
| 1H total | 73.6 | — |
| 1H projected score | JAX 29.3 · UGA 44.3 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| UGA | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JAX 0–2 UGAUGA leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · UGA has won the last 2 meetings · JAX 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024-25 | JAX 56 @ UGA 102 | UGA -16.5 | UGA W |
| Dec 7, 2021-22 | JAX 58 @ UGA 69 | UGA -9 | UGA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
30 games played
Straight up
10-20
33% wins
Against the spread
12-18
40% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @ LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ APSU | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs QUC | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs WGA | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @ CARK | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNA | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs BELL | L 70-77 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs EKU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsLIP | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs FGCU | L 49-68 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | @QUC | L 84-93 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @WGA | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 11 | @ STET | L 62-67 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | vs UNF | W 63-56 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | @FGCU | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 21 | vsAPSU | L 61-65 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 26 | vsSTET | W 89-85 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 28 | @UNF | W 85-61 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 4 | vsBELL | L 79-82 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
+7.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−21.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
+30.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
+5.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+23.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
−11.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+3.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 70-65
+8.5
31
vsFGCU
FGCUL 49-68
−20.5
5
@QUC
QUCL 84-93
−0.5
7
@WGA
WGAL 73-87
−15.5
11
@STET
STETL 62-67
−7.5
14
vsUNF
UNFW 63-56
−0.5
18
@FGCU
FGCUL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUL 61-65
+2.5
26
vsSTET
STETW 89-85
−3.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 85-61
+22.5
4
vsBELL
BELLL 79-82
−1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 18avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
−1.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−26.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
−23.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
−14.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+24.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
+8.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 81-76
+14.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 70-65
−7.5
31
vsFGCU
FGCUL 49-68
−19.5
5
@QUC
QUCL 84-93
+30.5
7
@WGA
WGAL 73-87
+21.5
11
@STET
STETL 62-67
−9.5
14
vsUNF
UNFW 63-56
−34.5
18
@FGCU
FGCUL 84-86
+33.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUL 61-65
−16.5
26
vsSTET
STETW 89-85
+35.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 85-61
−5.5
4
vsBELL
BELLL 79-82
+16.5
over 12under 18avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia
33 games played
Straight up
22-11
67% wins
Against the spread
16-17
48% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-15
55% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Against the spread
16-1748%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsBELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs UMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vsFAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs XAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @FSU | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIN | W 84-65 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 18 | vs WCU | W 112-82 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 22 | vsWGA | W 103-74 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIU | W 89-74 | -30.5 | L −15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs AUB | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | @ FLA | L 77-92 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ SC | W 75-70 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs MISS | L 95-97 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARK | W 90-76 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIZ | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | @ TEX | L 67-87 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | vs TENN | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vsTA&M | L 77-92 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 7 | @ LSU | W 83-71 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | vsFLA | L 66-86 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | @ OU | L 78-94 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 17 | @ UK | W 86-78 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vsTEX | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 25 | @ VAN | L 80-88 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | vsSC | W 87-68 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 3 | vs ALA | W 98-88 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 179.5 | O 186 |
| Mar 7 | @ MSST | W 102-96 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 198 |
| Mar 12 | vsMISS | L 72-76 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Mar 19 | vs SLU | L 77-102 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 167.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+35.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
+13.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
−2.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
−7.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−15.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
−2.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−5.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
+0.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
−12.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
+11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
+3.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−16.5
28
vsTENN
TENNL 85-86
+0.5
31
vsTA&M
TA&ML 77-92
−19.5
7
@LSU
LSUW 83-71
+10.5
11
vsFLA
FLAL 66-86
−11.5
14
@OU
OUL 78-94
−14.5
17
@UK
UKW 86-78
+14.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 91-80
+8.5
25
@VAN
VANL 80-88
−0.5
28
vsSC
SCW 87-68
+6.5
3
vsALA
ALAW 98-88
+11.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 102-96
+0.5
12
vsMISS
MISSL 72-76
−9.5
19
vsSLU
SLUL 77-102
−26.5
covered 16didn’t cover 17avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+3.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
−8.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
+26.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
+3.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−16.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
+30.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−3.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
−18.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
+33.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
−15.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
−17.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−14.5
28
vsTENN
TENNL 85-86
+13.5
31
vsTA&M
TA&ML 77-92
−4.5
7
@LSU
LSUW 83-71
−7.5
11
vsFLA
FLAL 66-86
−12.5
14
@OU
OUL 78-94
+7.5
17
@UK
UKW 86-78
+2.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 91-80
+8.5
25
@VAN
VANL 80-88
+4.5
28
vsSC
SCW 87-68
−3.5
3
vsALA
ALAW 98-88
+6.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 102-96
+30.5
12
vsMISS
MISSL 72-76
−8.5
19
vsSLU
SLUL 77-102
+11.5
over 18under 15avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia has the better starters
Position by position: Jacksonville 0, Georgia 5, even 0
JacksonvilleBetterGeorgia
G C. Williams TR16.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.2 ast
Score 65
→UGASmall
G B. Cain13.1 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 95
G J. Phillips TR15.5 pts · 5 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 59
→UGASmall
G F. Dilione V TR14 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 93
G H. Wood11.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 64
→UGASmall
G M. Millender12 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.1 ast
Score 89
G E. Sterck6.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.9 ast
Score 23
→UGABig
F K. Catchings11.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 78
F J. Morrow TR7.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 58
→UGASmall
F J. Scott TR3.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 78
JacksonvilleBetterGeorgia
JAX offense232nd of 366 · -7.1
→UGABig
UGA defense75th of 366 · +0.7
JAX defense210th of 366 · -5.4
→UGABig
UGA offense19th of 366 · +7.8
Backcourt-1.9 · 4 players
→UGABig
Backcourt+8.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
→UGASmall
Frontcourt+2.4 · 2 players
Bench-1.1 · 4 players
→UGASmall
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestJAX betterUGA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
JacksonvilleGuards
C. Williams33 min · TRJ. Phillips31 min · TRH. Wood28 minE. Sterck25 minR. Loux1 minL. BuckinghamNew
Forwards
J. Morrow21 min · TRR. Stirling15 min · TRN. Turner6 min · TRJ. Newell2 min · TR
Centers
S. MbingazoNew
GeorgiaGuards
B. Cain28 minF. Dilione V28 min · TRM. Millender26 minB. Klatsky2 minM. Jennings1 minK. MillenderNew
Forwards
K. Catchings23 minJ. Scott18 min · TRB. Dunlap17 min · TRK. Stagg13 minA. Osasuyi12 min · TRM. KuanyNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
JAX69.5 #293UGA89.4 #3Points per possession
JAX1.06 #237UGA1.19 #18Pace (possessions)
JAX65.7 #322UGA74.7 #8Shooting
Effective FG%
JAX50.0 #232UGA54.2 #613-point %
JAX31.8 #289UGA33.8 #1853-point attempt rate
JAX37.4 #223UGA44.3 #83Free throw rate
JAX32.8 #242UGA36.9 #131Possessions
Turnover rate
JAX17.2 #222UGA14.3 #31Offensive rebound rate
JAX31.7 #137UGA34.9 #49Assists per game
JAX11.1 #335UGA14.8 #102Defense
Points allowed
JAX75.2 #194UGA79.8 #314Points allowed per possession
JAX1.14 #313UGA1.07 #135Opponent effective FG%
JAX54.8 #325UGA50.6 #134Opponent 3-point %
JAX36.3 #318UGA33.6 #165Turnovers forced
JAX15.0 #290UGA18.4 #82Defensive rebound rate
JAX70.9 #115UGA65.1 #336Steals per game
JAX6.3 #206UGA8.4 #21Blocks per game
JAX2.8 #261UGA6.0 #3| JAX | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 69.5 #293 | Points per game | 89.4 #3 |
| 1.06 #237 | Points per possession | 1.19 #18 |
| 65.7 #322 | Pace (possessions) | 74.7 #8 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.0 #232 | Effective FG% | 54.2 #61 |
| 31.8 #289 | 3-point % | 33.8 #185 |
| 37.4 #223 | 3-point attempt rate | 44.3 #83 |
| 32.8 #242 | Free throw rate | 36.9 #131 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.2 #222 | Turnover rate | 14.3 #31 |
| 31.7 #137 | Offensive rebound rate | 34.9 #49 |
| 11.1 #335 | Assists per game | 14.8 #102 |
| Defense | ||
| 75.2 #194 | Points allowed | 79.8 #314 |
| 1.14 #313 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #135 |
| 54.8 #325 | Opponent effective FG% | 50.6 #134 |
| 36.3 #318 | Opponent 3-point % | 33.6 #165 |
| 15.0 #290 | Turnovers forced | 18.4 #82 |
| 70.9 #115 | Defensive rebound rate | 65.1 #336 |
| 6.3 #206 | Steals per game | 8.4 #21 |
| 2.8 #261 | Blocks per game | 6.0 #3 |
Jacksonville
10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bellarmine79–82
- W@ North Florida85–61
- Wvs Stetson89–85
- Lvs Austin Peay61–65
- L@ FGCU84–86
A week or more of rest.
Georgia
22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Louis77–102
- Lvs Ole Miss72–76
- W@ Mississippi St102–96
- Wvs Alabama98–88
- Wvs South Carolina87–68
A week or more of rest.