1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. JAX @ IU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Jacksonville Dolphins at Indiana Hoosiers

Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana
#223JAXJacksonville
@
#38IUIndiana
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
JAXThis seasonIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IU 87–63 · win probability IU 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IU has more of the edges

JAX 1, IU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: JAX 50.0 and allows 54.8; IU 56.1 and allows 49.0
Context
Schedule so far
JAX has played the 247th-hardest schedule, IU the 48th. A record against a soft schedule means less
IUBig
JAX offense vs IU defense
Offense 232nd of 366 against a defense 38th, on the model’s ratings
IUBig
Three-pointers
JAX hits 31.8% and allows 36.3%; IU hits 34.7% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 37.4% and 50.5% of their shots
IUBig
IU offense vs JAX defense
Offense 41st of 366 against a defense 210th, on the model’s ratings
JAXSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: JAX 31.7%, IU 26.9%. Defensive: JAX 70.9%, IU 70.8%
IUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: JAX 32.8, IU 35.0. Allowed: JAX 42.7, IU 37.0
IUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: JAX 17.2%, IU 15.1%. Forced: JAX 15.0%, IU 15.1%
IUSmall
Home court
IU at home. This season: IU 0-0 at home, JAX 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: JAX plays 65.7 a game (322nd fastest), IU 67.4 (260th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: JAX 27%, IU 19%. Transfers in: JAX 6, IU 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IU -24.4—
Total—149.4—
Projected score—JAX 62.5 · IU 86.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIU -14.4—
1H total69.9—
1H projected scoreJAX 27.7 · IU 42.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Indiana has the better starters

Position by position: Jacksonville 0, Indiana 3, even 2
JacksonvilleBetterIndiana
G C. Williams TR16.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.2 ast Score 65
IUSmall
G M. Burton TR18.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.7 ast Score 98
G J. Phillips TR15.5 pts · 5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 59
IUSmall
G B. Lindsay TR12.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.1 ast Score 75
G H. Wood11.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 64
Even
G J. Mustaf TR10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 65
G E. Sterck6.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 23
IUBig
F A. Sherrell TR11.1 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 98
F J. Morrow TR7.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 58
Even
C S. Yigitoglu TR10.7 pts · 7.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 64
JacksonvilleBetterIndiana
JAX offense232nd of 366 · -7.1
IUBig
IU defense38th of 366 · +3.0
JAX defense210th of 366 · -5.4
IUBig
IU offense41st of 366 · +4.8
Backcourt-1.9 · 4 players
IUBig
Backcourt+6.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
IUBig
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
Bench-1.1 · 4 players
IUSmall
Bench+0.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestJAX betterIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Jacksonville
Guards
C. Williams33 min · TRJ. Phillips31 min · TRH. Wood28 minE. Sterck25 minR. Loux1 minL. BuckinghamNew
Forwards
J. Morrow21 min · TRR. Stirling15 min · TRN. Turner6 min · TRJ. Newell2 min · TR
Centers
S. MbingazoNew
Indiana
Guards
M. Burton30 min · TRB. Lindsay29 min · TRJ. Mustaf28 min · TRJ. Monden21 min · TRD. Harris10 min · TRD. Snively2 min
Forwards
A. Sherrell24 min · TRS. Alexis21 minT. Sisley13 minB. Winker3 min · TRV. KarvalaNewT. ManhertzNew
Centers
S. Yigitoglu29 min · TRC. SokolovNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
JAXIU
Scoring
69.5 #293Points per game78.2 #93
1.06 #237Points per possession1.16 #46
65.7 #322Pace (possessions)67.4 #260
Shooting
50.0 #232Effective FG%56.1 #22
31.8 #2893-point %34.7 #138
37.4 #2233-point attempt rate50.5 #14
32.8 #242Free throw rate35.0 #179
Possessions
17.2 #222Turnover rate15.1 #71
31.7 #137Offensive rebound rate26.9 #300
11.1 #335Assists per game16.6 #34
Defense
75.2 #194Points allowed72.2 #109
1.14 #313Points allowed per possession1.07 #131
54.8 #325Opponent effective FG%49.0 #68
36.3 #318Opponent 3-point %33.1 #128
15.0 #290Turnovers forced15.1 #284
70.9 #115Defensive rebound rate70.8 #122
6.3 #206Steals per game4.7 #348
2.8 #261Blocks per game2.7 #278
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Jacksonville

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Bellarmine79–82
  • W@ North Florida85–61
  • Wvs Stetson89–85
  • Lvs Austin Peay61–65
  • L@ FGCU84–86

A week or more of rest.

Indiana

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Northwestern61–74
  • L@ Ohio State78–91
  • Wvs Minnesota77–47
  • Lvs Michigan St64–77
  • Lvs Northwestern68–72

A week or more of rest.