1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 23
  3. CLT vs FGCU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 23

Charlotte 49ers vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Suncoast Credit Union Arena · Neutral site
#141CLTCharlotte
vs
#266FGCUFGCU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CLTThis seasonFGCU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CLT 77–70 · win probability CLT 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CLT has more of the edges

CLT 5, FGCU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FGCUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CLT 18.1%, FGCU 16.0%. Forced: CLT 13.6%, FGCU 16.4%
CLTBig
FGCU offense vs CLT defense
Offense 259th of 366 against a defense 129th, on the model’s ratings
CLTBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: CLT 36.4, FGCU 29.1. Allowed: CLT 36.2, FGCU 38.3
CLTBig
Three-pointers
CLT hits 35.2% and allows 33.5%; FGCU hits 33.2% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 45.4% and 38.4% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
CLT has played the 113th-hardest schedule, FGCU the 231st. A record against a soft schedule means less
CLTBig
CLT offense vs FGCU defense
Offense 164th of 366 against a defense 274th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: CLT plays 65.5 a game (331st fastest), FGCU 69.9 (122nd). Faster games mean more points
CLTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CLT 53.4 and allows 50.9; FGCU 52.0 and allows 53.4
FGCUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CLT 33.9%, FGCU 31.1%. Defensive: CLT 67.5%, FGCU 71.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CLT 10%, FGCU 25%. Transfers in: CLT 7, FGCU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CLT -7.7—
Total—146.8—
Projected score—CLT 77.2 · FGCU 69.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCLT -4.7—
1H total68.7—
1H projected scoreCLT 36.7 · FGCU 32—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Charlotte has the better starters

Position by position: Charlotte 3, FGCU 0, even 2
CharlotteBetterFGCU
G D. Finister TR14.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 84
CLTBig
G E. Brooks TR12.3 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.1 ast Score 47
G K. Tillery TR3.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 63
CLTBig
G D. Williams6.1 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast Score 21
F D. Grant TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 71
No call
G G. Washington2.6 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
F A. Conyers7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
No call
F G. Tanner2.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
F J. Fort TR3.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 49
CLTSmall
C T. Guillouette2.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 26
CharlotteBetterFGCU
CLT offense164th of 366 · -5.0
CLTSmall
FGCU defense274th of 366 · -6.9
CLT defense129th of 366 · -2.3
CLTBig
FGCU offense259th of 366 · -8.0
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
CLTBig
Backcourt-4.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 3 players
CLTSmall
Frontcourt-1.2 · 2 players
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.7 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestCLT betterFGCU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Charlotte
Guards
D. Finister33 min · TRK. Tillery12 min · TRJ. Rodriguez-Stegemeijer8 min · TRR. EvansNewF. OgucheNewL. BarnesNew
Forwards
D. Grant24 min · TRA. Conyers20 minJ. Fort14 min · TRT. McKinley12 min · TRM. AllenNew
Centers
P. Marshall11 min · TR
FGCU
Guards
E. Brooks30 min · TRD. Williams19 minG. Washington8 minM. McCarthy2 minB. WashingtonNewN. SermpezisNew
Forwards
G. Tanner8 minC. Outlaw2 min · TRB. LucasNewE. BarlowNewC. KoniecznyNewT. WestercampNew
Centers
T. Guillouette13 minJ. Houser6 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CLTFGCU
Scoring
73.0 #225Points per game76.6 #130
1.12 #105Points per possession1.10 #138
65.5 #331Pace (possessions)69.9 #122
Shooting
53.4 #86Effective FG%52.0 #147
35.2 #1013-point %33.2 #219
45.4 #583-point attempt rate38.4 #202
36.4 #140Free throw rate29.1 #331
Possessions
18.1 #278Turnover rate16.0 #135
33.9 #71Offensive rebound rate31.1 #161
12.9 #217Assists per game14.5 #115
Defense
74.3 #164Points allowed78.0 #266
1.13 #291Points allowed per possession1.11 #254
50.9 #152Opponent effective FG%53.4 #280
33.5 #153Opponent 3-point %35.5 #275
13.6 #345Turnovers forced16.4 #191
67.5 #283Defensive rebound rate71.8 #73
4.5 #353Steals per game7.7 #66
3.5 #150Blocks per game3.4 #153
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Charlotte

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs South Florida64–86
  • Wvs UAB83–78
  • Wvs Tulane74–60
  • L@ South Florida60–83
  • Lvs UAB74–80

A week or more of rest.

FGCU

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs C Arkansas63–73
  • Wvs Lipscomb77–53
  • Wvs North Alabama69–58
  • L@ Stetson63–78
  • L@ North Florida70–76

A week or more of rest.