Florida A&M Rattlers at UTEP Miners: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 15, 12:00 AM ETDon Haskins Center · at UTEP

#190UTEPUTEP

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Florida A&M and UTEP
FAMU	This season	UTEP
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTEP 77–67 · win probability UTEP 81%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 143.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTEP has more of the edges

FAMU 3, UTEP 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

Context

Schedule so far

FAMU has played the 323rd-hardest schedule, UTEP the 163rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

UTEPBig

FAMU offense vs UTEP defense

Offense 326th of 366 against a defense 173rd, on the model’s ratings

FAMUBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: FAMU 30.9%, UTEP 26.2%. Defensive: FAMU 69.1%, UTEP 67.2%

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: FAMU plays 70.6 a game (92nd fastest), UTEP 66.6 (291st). Faster games mean more points

FAMUSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: FAMU 43%, UTEP 0%. Transfers in: FAMU 3, UTEP 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

UTEPSmall

UTEP offense vs FAMU defense

Offense 226th of 366 against a defense 303rd, on the model’s ratings

FAMUSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: FAMU 37.4, UTEP 33.4. Allowed: FAMU 39.6, UTEP 42.0

UTEPSmall

Three-pointers

FAMU hits 32.6% and allows 34.9%; UTEP hits 33.9% and allows 34.0%. Threes are 37.7% and 40.3% of their shots

UTEPSmall

Home court

UTEP at home. This season: UTEP 0-0 at home, FAMU 0-0 away

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: FAMU 21.5%, UTEP 17.4%. Forced: FAMU 19.1%, UTEP 18.0%

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: FAMU 49.2 and allows 51.2; UTEP 48.3 and allows 51.5

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	UTEP -10.1	—
Total	—	143.1	—
Projected score	—	FAMU 66.5 · UTEP 76.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	UTEP -5.8	—
1H total	67.0	—
1H projected score	FAMU 30.6 · UTEP 36.4	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAMU WWWWL	16-13	55%	9-7	—
UTEP WLLWL	13-15	46%	6-7	—

Venue/role: FAMU away; UTEP home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAMU OUOUO	11-18	38%	13-16
UTEP UOOOU	13-15	46%	8-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAMU	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
UTEP	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Florida A&M

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 18	@ UTSA	No recent meeting
Nov 24	@ USA	No recent meeting
Nov 30	@ KENN	L72–92LU

UTEP

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 19	@ NMSU	L63–67WU
Nov 24	vs COFC	No recent meeting
Dec 1	@ COLO	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

FAMU 0–1 UTEPUTEP leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · FAMU 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 24, 2021-22	FAMU 53 @ UTEP 67	UTEP -11	UTEP W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Florida A&M

29 games played

Straight up

13-16

45% wins

Against the spread

16-13

55% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-18

38% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1645%

L L L L L W L L L L W W W W W L L L L W L W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1355%

L L L W W W L W L W W W W W L L L L L W L W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

11-1838%

O U U U O U U U O O U O U U U U U O U O U O U U O U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@USF	L 67-102	+25.5	L −9.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 8	vsKENN	L 72-92	+11.5	L −8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 11	@UCF	L 60-97	+23.5	L −13.5	169.5	U 157
Nov 17	@UGA	L 57-87	+40.5	W +10.5	170.5	U 144
Dec 2	@JAX	L 82-85	+10.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 167
Dec 17	vsJAX	W 72-65	+3.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 137
Dec 19	@TAR	L 54-78	+14.5	L −9.5	145.5	U 132
Dec 21	@TCU	L 56-80	+29.5	W +5.5	142.5	U 136
Dec 28	@GT	L 65-89	+19.5	L −4.5	146.5	O 154
Jan 3	@BCU	L 83-87	+7.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsSOU	W 67-59	+4.5	W +12.5	153.5	U 126
Jan 12	vsGRAM	W 91-84	+1.5	W +8.5	141.5	O 175
Jan 17	@UAPB	W 71-67	+2.5	W +6.5	149.5	U 138
Jan 19	@MVSU	W 62-48	-11.5	W +2.5	139.5	U 110
Jan 24	vsALCN	W 66-58	-8.5	L −0.5	141.5	U 124
Jan 26	vsJKST	L 65-66	-7.5	L −8.5	150.5	U 131
Jan 31	@AAMU	L 65-72	+3.5	L −3.5	138.5	U 137
Feb 2	@ALST	L 66-79	+3.5	L −9.5	139.5	O 145
Feb 7	vsTXSO	L 57-62	-1.5	L −6.5	146.5	U 119
Feb 9	vsPV	W 100-96	-3.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 196
Feb 14	@JKST	L 60-80	-2.5	L −22.5	144.5	U 140
Feb 16	@ALCN	W 86-78	-2.5	W +5.5	137.5	O 164
Feb 19	vsAAMU	L 61-63	-1.5	L −3.5	139.5	U 124
Feb 21	vsALST	W 76-63	+1.5	W +14.5	144.5	U 139
Feb 26	@SOU	W 82-71	+8.5	W +19.5	147.5	O 153
Feb 28	@GRAM	W 66-59	+4.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 125
Mar 5	vsBCU	W 81-77	+2.5	W +6.5	145.5	O 158
Mar 11	vsJKST	W 70-60	-6.5	W +3.5	141.5	U 130
Mar 13	vsSOU	L 70-73	+1.5	L −1.5	141.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

USF

L 67-102

−9.5

KENN

L 72-92

−8.5

UCF

L 60-97

−13.5

UGA

L 57-87

+10.5

JAX

L 82-85

+7.5

JAX

W 72-65

+10.5

TAR

L 54-78

−9.5

TCU

L 56-80

+5.5

L 65-89

−4.5

BCU

L 83-87

+3.5

SOU

W 67-59

+12.5

GRAM

W 91-84

+8.5

UAPB

W 71-67

+6.5

MVSU

W 62-48

+2.5

ALCN

W 66-58

−0.5

JKST

L 65-66

−8.5

AAMU

L 65-72

−3.5

ALST

L 66-79

−9.5

TXSO

L 57-62

−6.5

W 100-96

+0.5

JKST

L 60-80

−22.5

ALCN

W 86-78

+5.5

AAMU

L 61-63

−3.5

ALST

W 76-63

+14.5

SOU

W 82-71

+19.5

GRAM

W 66-59

+11.5

BCU

W 81-77

+6.5

JKST

W 70-60

+3.5

SOU

L 70-73

−1.5

covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

USF

L 67-102

+15.5

KENN

L 72-92

−2.5

UCF

L 60-97

−12.5

UGA

L 57-87

−26.5

JAX

L 82-85

+28.5

JAX

W 72-65

−2.5

TAR

L 54-78

−13.5

TCU

L 56-80

−6.5

L 65-89

+7.5

BCU

L 83-87

+24.5

SOU

W 67-59

−27.5

GRAM

W 91-84

+33.5

UAPB

W 71-67

−11.5

MVSU

W 62-48

−29.5

ALCN

W 66-58

−17.5

JKST

L 65-66

−19.5

AAMU

L 65-72

−1.5

ALST

L 66-79

+5.5

TXSO

L 57-62

−27.5

W 100-96

+46.5

JKST

L 60-80

−4.5

ALCN

W 86-78

+26.5

AAMU

L 61-63

−15.5

ALST

W 76-63

−5.5

SOU

W 82-71

+5.5

GRAM

W 66-59

−15.5

BCU

W 81-77

+12.5

JKST

W 70-60

−11.5

SOU

L 70-73

+1.5

over 11under 18avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

UTEP

28 games played

Straight up

8-20

29% wins

Against the spread

13-15

46% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-15

46% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-2029%

L L L L L L L W L L L W L W L W L L W L W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

13-1546%

L L L L W W L W L L L W L W W W L L W W W W L W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-1546%

U U U U O U O O O O U O U O O O U U U U O U U U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 11	vsLMU	L 58-71	-1.5	L −14.5	144.5	U 129
Nov 15	@USU	L 51-75	+16.5	L −7.5	149.5	U 126
Nov 24	vsW&M	L 63-74	+2.5	L −8.5	159.5	U 137
Nov 25	vsUAB	L 59-75	+8.5	L −7.5	146.5	U 134
Dec 7	@SEA	L 68-75	+12.5	W +5.5	136.5	O 143
Dec 13	@HAW	L 61-66	+12.5	W +7.5	138.5	U 127
Dec 21	vsNORF	L 71-72	-10.5	L −11.5	136.5	O 143
Dec 22	vsNDSU	W 76-66	+2.5	W +12.5	139.5	O 142
Dec 29	@LT	L 63-75	+2.5	L −9.5	130.5	O 138
Jan 2	@MOST	L 55-79	+3.5	L −20.5	131.5	O 134
Jan 4	@FIU	L 64-76	+6.5	L −5.5	152.5	U 140
Jan 8	vsMTSU	W 83-80	+3.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 163
Jan 10	vsWKU	L 56-68	+3.5	L −8.5	144.5	U 124
Jan 15	@DEL	W 70-69	+1.5	W +2.5	125.5	O 139
Jan 17	@LIB	L 69-80	+13.5	W +2.5	137.5	O 149
Jan 22	vsFIU	W 83-77	+1.5	W +7.5	151.5	O 160
Jan 24	vsMOST	L 57-62	+1.5	L −3.5	139.5	U 119
Jan 28	vsLT	L 59-69	-2.5	L −12.5	130.5	U 128
Jan 31	vsDEL	W 70-55	-6.5	W +8.5	128.5	U 125
Feb 4	@SHSU	L 66-70	+10.5	W +6.5	145.5	U 136
Feb 7	vsNMSU	W 91-88	+1.5	W +4.5	138.5	O 179
Feb 11	@JXST	W 69-64	+6.5	W +11.5	134.5	U 133
Feb 14	vsLIB	L 64-73	+6.5	L −2.5	139.5	U 137
Feb 21	@NMSU	L 63-67	+7.5	W +3.5	142.5	U 130
Feb 26	@MTSU	L 67-77	+8.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 144
Feb 28	@WKU	L 65-97	+9.5	L −22.5	145.5	O 162
Mar 5	vsKENN	W 78-71	+3.5	W +10.5	148.5	O 149
Mar 7	vsJXST	L 61-64	+1.5	L −1.5	139.5	U 125

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

LMU

L 58-71

−14.5

USU

L 51-75

−7.5

W&M

L 63-74

−8.5

UAB

L 59-75

−7.5

SEA

L 68-75

+5.5

HAW

L 61-66

+7.5

NORF

L 71-72

−11.5

NDSU

W 76-66

+12.5

L 63-75

−9.5

MOST

L 55-79

−20.5

FIU

L 64-76

−5.5

MTSU

W 83-80

+6.5

WKU

L 56-68

−8.5

DEL

W 70-69

+2.5

LIB

L 69-80

+2.5

FIU

W 83-77

+7.5

MOST

L 57-62

−3.5

L 59-69

−12.5

DEL

W 70-55

+8.5

SHSU

L 66-70

+6.5

NMSU

W 91-88

+4.5

JXST

W 69-64

+11.5

LIB

L 64-73

−2.5

NMSU

L 63-67

+3.5

MTSU

L 67-77

−1.5

WKU

L 65-97

−22.5

KENN

W 78-71

+10.5

JXST

L 61-64

−1.5

covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

LMU

L 58-71

−15.5

USU

L 51-75

−23.5

W&M

L 63-74

−22.5

UAB

L 59-75

−12.5

SEA

L 68-75

+6.5

HAW

L 61-66

−11.5

NORF

L 71-72

+6.5

NDSU

W 76-66

+2.5

L 63-75

+7.5

MOST

L 55-79

+2.5

FIU

L 64-76

−12.5

MTSU

W 83-80

+25.5

WKU

L 56-68

−20.5

DEL

W 70-69

+13.5

LIB

L 69-80

+11.5

FIU

W 83-77

+8.5

MOST

L 57-62

−20.5

L 59-69

−2.5

DEL

W 70-55

−3.5

SHSU

L 66-70

−9.5

NMSU

W 91-88

+40.5

JXST

W 69-64

−1.5

LIB

L 64-73

−2.5

NMSU

L 63-67

−12.5

MTSU

L 67-77

+4.5

WKU

L 65-97

+16.5

KENN

W 78-71

+0.5

JXST

L 61-64

−14.5

over 13under 15avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

UTEP has the better starters

Position by position: Florida A&M 0, UTEP 1, even 4

Florida A&MBetterUTEP

G J. Kempson TR10.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 33

Even

G L. Moeller TR11.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.7 ast Score 46

G J. Sanders12 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 42

Even

G J. Whiting TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 31

G A. Baker9.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35

UTEPSmall

G R. Miller TR12.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 66

G R. Martino6.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 44

Even

G R. Jackson TR6.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 53

F D. Williford TR2.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

No call

F R. Cason TR3.9 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 43

Florida A&MBetterUTEP

FAMU offense326th of 366 · -10.6

UTEPBig

UTEP defense173rd of 366 · -3.9

FAMU defense303rd of 366 · -7.8

UTEPSmall

UTEP offense226th of 366 · -6.9

Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players

UTEPSmall

Backcourt-3.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player

Even

Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player

Bench-0.2 · 2 players

Even

Bench-1.1 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestFAMU betterUTEP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Florida A&M

Guards

J. Kempson32 min · TRJ. Sanders32 minA. Baker27 minR. Martino22 minC. DavisNewA. WilliamsNew

Forwards

D. Williford6 min · TRT. Onuoha5 minM. StijovicNewJ. LomickaNewB. NdourNew

Centers

A. Mbaye1 min · TRJ. MokwezaNew

UTEP

Guards

L. Moeller33 min · TRJ. Whiting32 min · TRR. Miller25 min · TRR. Jackson18 min · TRC. McDanielsNewD. CrissNew

Forwards

R. Cason15 min · TRA. Cassia10 min · TRJ. Ratowski7 min · TRM. KelvinNewI. WardNewI. PerasovicNew

Centers

D. TarpleyNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

FAMU70.0 #285

UTEP66.4 #340

Points per possession

FAMU0.99 #334

UTEP1.00 #326

Pace (possessions)

FAMU70.6 #92

UTEP66.6 #291

Shooting

Effective FG%

FAMU49.2 #283

UTEP48.3 #309

3-point %

FAMU32.6 #249

UTEP33.9 #178

3-point attempt rate

FAMU37.7 #219

UTEP40.3 #163

Free throw rate

FAMU37.4 #116

UTEP33.4 #227

Possessions

Turnover rate

FAMU21.5 #359

UTEP17.4 #229

Offensive rebound rate

FAMU30.9 #168

UTEP26.2 #319

Assists per game

FAMU12.7 #236

UTEP11.0 #338

Defense

Points allowed

FAMU75.1 #192

UTEP72.7 #125

Points allowed per possession

FAMU1.06 #114

UTEP1.09 #196

Opponent effective FG%

FAMU51.2 #171

UTEP51.5 #187

Opponent 3-point %

FAMU34.9 #243

UTEP34.0 #182

Turnovers forced

FAMU19.1 #43

UTEP18.0 #98

Defensive rebound rate

FAMU69.1 #198

UTEP67.2 #293

Steals per game

FAMU8.1 #35

UTEP7.1 #113

Blocks per game

FAMU3.0 #220

UTEP3.5 #149

FAMU		UTEP
Scoring
70.0 #285	Points per game	66.4 #340
0.99 #334	Points per possession	1.00 #326
70.6 #92	Pace (possessions)	66.6 #291
Shooting
49.2 #283	Effective FG%	48.3 #309
32.6 #249	3-point %	33.9 #178
37.7 #219	3-point attempt rate	40.3 #163
37.4 #116	Free throw rate	33.4 #227
Possessions
21.5 #359	Turnover rate	17.4 #229
30.9 #168	Offensive rebound rate	26.2 #319
12.7 #236	Assists per game	11.0 #338
Defense
75.1 #192	Points allowed	72.7 #125
1.06 #114	Points allowed per possession	1.09 #196
51.2 #171	Opponent effective FG%	51.5 #187
34.9 #243	Opponent 3-point %	34.0 #182
19.1 #43	Turnovers forced	18.0 #98
69.1 #198	Defensive rebound rate	67.2 #293
8.1 #35	Steals per game	7.1 #113
3.0 #220	Blocks per game	3.5 #149

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Florida A&M

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Southern70–73
Wvs Jackson St70–60
Wvs Bethune81–77
W@ Grambling66–59
W@ Southern82–71

A week or more of rest.

UTEP

8-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Jax State61–64
Wvs Kennesaw St78–71
L@ Western KY65–97
L@ MTSU67–77
L@ New Mexico St63–67

A week or more of rest.

Florida A&M Rattlers at UTEP Miners

What could decide it: UTEP has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Florida A&M

UTEP

UTEP has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Florida A&M

UTEP