1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. FAMU @ USA
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Florida A&M Rattlers at South Alabama Jaguars

Mitchell Center · at South Alabama
#327FAMUFlorida A&M
@
#227USASouth Alabama
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FAMUThis seasonUSA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects USA 77–68 · win probability USA 79%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: USA has more of the edges

FAMU 1, USA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
USABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: FAMU 37.4, USA 38.5. Allowed: FAMU 39.6, USA 25.4
USABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FAMU 21.5%, USA 13.1%. Forced: FAMU 19.1%, USA 18.0%
USABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: FAMU 49.2 and allows 51.2; USA 52.6 and allows 50.1
USABig
FAMU offense vs USA defense
Offense 326th of 366 against a defense 212th, on the model’s ratings
USASmall
Three-pointers
FAMU hits 32.6% and allows 34.9%; USA hits 34.5% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 37.7% and 36.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
FAMU has played the 323rd-hardest schedule, USA the 223rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
FAMUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FAMU 30.9%, USA 25.0%. Defensive: FAMU 69.1%, USA 68.6%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: FAMU plays 70.6 a game (92nd fastest), USA 67.1 (277th). Faster games mean more points
USASmall
USA offense vs FAMU defense
Offense 242nd of 366 against a defense 303rd, on the model’s ratings
USASmall
Home court
USA at home. This season: USA 0-0 at home, FAMU 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FAMU 43%, USA 21%. Transfers in: FAMU 3, USA 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—USA -9.1—
Total—144.8—
Projected score—FAMU 67.9 · USA 77

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUSA -5.3—
1H total67.8—
1H projected scoreFAMU 31.2 · USA 36.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

South Alabama has the better starters

Position by position: Florida A&M 0, South Alabama 1, even 4
Florida A&MBetterSouth Alabama
G J. Kempson TR10.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 33
No call
G A. Goldstein NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
G J. Sanders12 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 42
No call
G A. Lewis NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
G A. Baker9.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35
No call
G J. Langsy NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
G R. Martino6.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 44
USABig
F P. Law13.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast Score 86
F D. Williford TR2.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F S. Williams6 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.2 ast Score 84
Florida A&MBetterSouth Alabama
FAMU offense326th of 366 · -10.6
USASmall
USA defense212th of 366 · -5.4
FAMU defense303rd of 366 · -7.8
USASmall
USA offense242nd of 366 · -7.3
Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players
No call
BackcourtNo numbers yet
Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player
USABig
Frontcourt+3.5 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 2 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestFAMU betterUSA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Florida A&M
Guards
J. Kempson32 min · TRJ. Sanders32 minA. Baker27 minR. Martino22 minC. DavisNewA. WilliamsNew
Forwards
D. Williford6 min · TRT. Onuoha5 minM. StijovicNewJ. LomickaNewB. NdourNew
Centers
A. Mbaye1 min · TRJ. MokwezaNew
South Alabama
Guards
A. GoldsteinNewA. LewisNewJ. LangsyNewS. ShoptawNewD. WilliamsNewD. RomanNew
Forwards
P. Law26 minS. Williams15 minL. KunzewitschNewO. KenneyNewR. WilliamsNewD. HueittNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FAMUUSA
Scoring
70.0 #285Points per game73.2 #218
0.99 #334Points per possession1.10 #139
70.6 #92Pace (possessions)67.1 #277
Shooting
49.2 #283Effective FG%52.6 #120
32.6 #2493-point %34.5 #146
37.7 #2193-point attempt rate36.5 #237
37.4 #116Free throw rate38.5 #89
Possessions
21.5 #359Turnover rate13.1 #8
30.9 #168Offensive rebound rate25.0 #341
12.7 #236Assists per game11.9 #287
Defense
75.1 #192Points allowed71.3 #85
1.06 #114Points allowed per possession1.06 #100
51.2 #171Opponent effective FG%50.1 #105
34.9 #243Opponent 3-point %33.1 #133
19.1 #43Turnovers forced18.0 #96
69.1 #198Defensive rebound rate68.6 #222
8.1 #35Steals per game7.9 #46
3.0 #220Blocks per game2.2 #330
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Florida A&M

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Southern70–73
  • Wvs Jackson St70–60
  • Wvs Bethune81–77
  • W@ Grambling66–59
  • W@ Southern82–71

A week or more of rest.

South Alabama

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Auburn67–78
  • Lvs GA Southern85–94
  • Lvs Southern Miss55–68
  • Wvs UL Monroe89–54
  • Wvs Troy65–54

A week or more of rest.