Murphy Center · at MTSU · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -8.5✓ MTSU covered by 1.5
MTSU -8.5✓ MTSU covered by 1.5Closing total139.5Over by 4.5
 UTEP | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-17 | Record | 10-14 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 10-14 |
| 10-14 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTEP 67–74 MTSU · ✓ MTSU (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 26 | 41 | 67 |
| MTSU | 34 | 43 | 77 |
1st half: UTEP 26, MTSU 34 (MTSU by 8). The model had MTSU by 4.3 and a total of 65.9 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UTEP | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-47 49% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 24 3 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaseem Watson F | 37 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 7-9 | 4-5 |
| Elijah Jones F | 36 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Caleb Blackwell G | 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| KJ Thomas G | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamal West Jr. F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cassius Brooks G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| LA Hayes G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Trey Horton III G | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: C.J. Smith, Jordan Hernandez, Bobby Montgomery Jr., Tyreese Watson, David Tubek
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston F | 35 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 34 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 4-10 |
| Chris Loofe F | 28 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Kamari Lands G | 27 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-7 |
| Sean Smith G | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Green G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 12 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: James Dent Jr., Jarred Hall, Charvez Ambrose, Jax Howard, Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -6.5
2 → MTSU
CloseMTSU -8.5
2 pts toward MTSU
Total
Open140.5
▼ 1
Close139.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UTEP +320 · MTSU -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -6.5 · closed MTSU -8.5 · moved 2 toward MTSUmodel MTSU -7.5
model MTSU -7.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MTSU -8.5 | MTSU -7.4 | UTEP +1.1 | L MTSU covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 140.8 | Over 1.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTEP 66.7 · MTSU 74.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MTSU -4.3 | MTSU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 65.9 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | UTEP 30.8 · MTSU 35.1 | UTEP 26 · MTSU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| MTSU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UTEP 3–6 MTSUMTSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UTEP 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | MTSU 80 @ UTEP 83 | UTEP +3.5 | UTEP W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MTSU 76 @ UTEP 75 | UTEP -2.5 | MTSU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UTEP 68 @ MTSU 71 | MTSU -3.5 | UTEP W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UTEP 90 @ MTSU 96 | MTSU -0.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | MTSU 59 @ UTEP 73 | UTEP -5.5 | UTEP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTEP
24 games played
Straight up
7-17
29% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs LMU | L 58-71 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 15 | @ USU | L 51-75 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs W&M | L 63-74 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs UAB | L 59-75 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ SEA | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ HAW | L 61-66 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 21 | vs NORF | L 71-72 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs NDSU | W 76-66 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ LT | L 63-75 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @ MOST | L 55-79 | +3.5 | L −20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | @ FIU | L 64-76 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | vsMTSU | W 83-80 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs WKU | L 56-68 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 15 | @ DEL | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 125.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | @ LIB | L 69-80 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsFIU | W 83-77 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | vsMOST | L 57-62 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vsLT | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | vsDEL | W 70-55 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | @ SHSU | L 66-70 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vs NMSU | W 91-88 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 11 | @ JXST | W 69-64 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | vsLIB | L 64-73 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | @NMSU | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−7.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−8.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−7.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+5.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
+7.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
−11.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+12.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
−9.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
−20.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−5.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+6.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−8.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+2.5
17
@LIB
LIBL 69-80
+2.5
22
vsFIU
FIUW 83-77
+7.5
24
vsMOST
MOSTL 57-62
−3.5
28
vsLT
LTL 59-69
−12.5
31
vsDEL
DELW 70-55
+8.5
4
@SHSU
SHSUL 66-70
+6.5
7
vsNMSU
NMSUW 91-88
+4.5
11
@JXST
JXSTW 69-64
+11.5
14
vsLIB
LIBL 64-73
−2.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 63-67
+3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−23.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−22.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−12.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+6.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
−11.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
+6.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
+7.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
+2.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−12.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+25.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−20.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+13.5
17
@LIB
LIBL 69-80
+11.5
22
vsFIU
FIUW 83-77
+8.5
24
vsMOST
MOSTL 57-62
−20.5
28
vsLT
LTL 59-69
−2.5
31
vsDEL
DELW 70-55
−3.5
4
@SHSU
SHSUL 66-70
−9.5
7
vsNMSU
NMSUW 91-88
+40.5
11
@JXST
JXSTW 69-64
−1.5
14
vsLIB
LIBL 64-73
−2.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 63-67
−12.5
over 10under 14avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
24 games played
Straight up
10-14
42% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vsUAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vsLT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vsSHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vsMOST | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 23 | @JXST | L 58-75 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vsLIB | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsWKU | L 60-65 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vsFIU | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @DEL | L 88-89 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 12 | @KENN | W 90-87 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 14 | @WKU | L 80-82 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 18 | @SHSU | L 70-78 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 21 | vsDEL | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
−2.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−18.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
−14.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−11.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
−9.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
−6.5
12
@KENN
KENNW 90-87
+6.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 80-82
+1.5
18
@SHSU
SHSUL 70-78
−4.5
21
vsDEL
DELW 78-66
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
+39.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−0.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
+9.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−15.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
+17.5
7
@DEL
DELL 88-89
+43.5
12
@KENN
KENNW 90-87
+28.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 80-82
+16.5
18
@SHSU
SHSUL 70-78
−3.5
21
vsDEL
DELW 78-66
+6.5
over 12under 12avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTEP
7-17 overall · 6-10 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico St63–67
- Lvs Liberty64–73
- W@ Jax State69–64
- Wvs New Mexico St91–88
- L@ Sam Houston66–70
5 days since their last game.
MTSU
10-14 overall · 7-9 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Delaware78–66
- L@ Sam Houston70–78
- L@ Western KY80–82
- W@ Kennesaw St90–87
- L@ Delaware88–89
5 days since their last game.