1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. UTEP @ COLO
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

UTEP Miners at Colorado Buffaloes

CU Events Center · at Colorado
#190UTEPUTEP
@
#65COLOColorado
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UTEPThis seasonCOLO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COLO 84–66 · win probability COLO 95%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COLO has more of the edges

UTEP 0, COLO 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
COLOBig
UTEP offense vs COLO defense
Offense 226th of 366 against a defense 80th, on the model’s ratings
COLOBig
COLO offense vs UTEP defense
Offense 54th of 366 against a defense 173rd, on the model’s ratings
COLOBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTEP 26.2%, COLO 29.0%. Defensive: UTEP 67.2%, COLO 70.4%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: UTEP plays 66.6 a game (291st fastest), COLO 71.0 (76th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
UTEP has played the 163rd-hardest schedule, COLO the 58th. A record against a soft schedule means less
COLOSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTEP 33.4, COLO 36.6. Allowed: UTEP 42.0, COLO 36.6
COLOSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTEP 0%, COLO 40%. Transfers in: UTEP 7, COLO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
COLOSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTEP 48.3 and allows 51.5; COLO 52.9 and allows 52.6
COLOSmall
Home court
COLO at home. This season: COLO 0-0 at home, UTEP 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
UTEP hits 33.9% and allows 34.0%; COLO hits 35.1% and allows 36.3%. Threes are 40.3% and 35.2% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTEP 17.4%, COLO 14.7%. Forced: UTEP 18.0%, COLO 15.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COLO -18.4—
Total—150.3—
Projected score—UTEP 66 · COLO 84.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOLO -10.8—
1H total70.3—
1H projected scoreUTEP 29.7 · COLO 40.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Colorado has the better starters

Position by position: UTEP 1, Colorado 3, even 1
UTEPBetterColorado
G L. Moeller TR11.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.7 ast Score 46
COLOBig
G B. Hargress14.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 4.5 ast Score 93
G J. Whiting TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 31
COLOBig
F J. Neely TR17.7 pts · 11.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 96
G R. Miller TR12.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 66
UTEPSmall
F I. Niagu TR4.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 42
G R. Jackson TR6.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 53
No call
F D. Gomez TR5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
F R. Cason TR3.9 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 43
COLOSmall
C N. Feddersen TR9 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 59
UTEPBetterColorado
UTEP offense226th of 366 · -6.9
COLOBig
COLO defense80th of 366 · +0.3
UTEP defense173rd of 366 · -3.9
COLOSmall
COLO offense54th of 366 · +3.2
Backcourt-3.1 · 4 players
COLOBig
Backcourt+3.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
COLOBig
Frontcourt+5.3 · 4 players
Bench-1.1 · 2 players
UTEPSmall
Bench-2.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUTEP betterCOLO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UTEP
Guards
L. Moeller33 min · TRJ. Whiting32 min · TRR. Miller25 min · TRR. Jackson18 min · TRC. McDanielsNewD. CrissNew
Forwards
R. Cason15 min · TRA. Cassia10 min · TRJ. Ratowski7 min · TRM. KelvinNewI. WardNewI. PerasovicNew
Centers
D. TarpleyNew
Colorado
Guards
B. Hargress33 minJ. Sanders18 minJ. Holland18 minI. Inman10 minA. JonesNewR. PortelaNew
Forwards
J. Neely33 min · TRI. Niagu21 min · TRD. Gomez20 min · TRN. Randall1 minG. MalualNewC. HillNew
Centers
N. Feddersen21 min · TRE. JacobsenNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTEPCOLO
Scoring
66.4 #340Points per game80.2 #63
1.00 #326Points per possession1.13 #80
66.6 #291Pace (possessions)71.0 #76
Shooting
48.3 #309Effective FG%52.9 #108
33.9 #1783-point %35.1 #104
40.3 #1633-point attempt rate35.2 #267
33.4 #227Free throw rate36.6 #139
Possessions
17.4 #229Turnover rate14.7 #46
26.2 #319Offensive rebound rate29.0 #235
11.0 #338Assists per game15.4 #67
Defense
72.7 #125Points allowed79.8 #313
1.09 #196Points allowed per possession1.12 #272
51.5 #187Opponent effective FG%52.6 #243
34.0 #182Opponent 3-point %36.3 #319
18.0 #98Turnovers forced15.2 #267
67.2 #293Defensive rebound rate70.4 #144
7.1 #113Steals per game6.3 #196
3.5 #149Blocks per game3.3 #170
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UTEP

8-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Jax State61–64
  • Wvs Kennesaw St78–71
  • L@ Western KY65–97
  • L@ MTSU67–77
  • L@ New Mexico St63–67

A week or more of rest.

Colorado

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Oklahoma86–90
  • Lvs Oklahoma St83–92
  • Lvs Arizona79–89
  • W@ Utah92–78
  • L@ Houston62–102

A week or more of rest.