Allen Fieldhouse · at Kansas · Conference game
Closing line
KU -17.5✓ KU covered by 1.5
KU -17.5✓ KU covered by 1.5Closing total157.5Over by 31.5
 KSU | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-18 | Record | 21-9 |
| 12-18 | ATS | 18-12 |
| 14-16 | O/U | 9-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KSU 70–84 KU · ✓ KU (88%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 33 | 52 | 85 |
| KU | 46 | 58 | 104 |
1st half: KSU 33, KU 46 (KU by 13). The model had KU by 7.8 and a total of 71.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| KSU | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-67 45% | Field goals | 42-71 59% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 11-26 42% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 9-15 60% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 45 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 23 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson G | 37 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| David Castillo G | 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| PJ Haggerty G | 34 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 8-18 | 0-3 |
| Taj Manning F | 29 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 25 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrej Kostic G | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| CJ Jones G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Abdi Bashir Jr., Mobi Ikegwuruka, Marcus Johnson, Exavier Wilson, Dorin Buca, Stephen Osei
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 31 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 8-15 | 1-4 |
| Tre White G | 30 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 9-16 | 5-9 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Wilder Evers G | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Justin Cross F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darryn Peterson G | 29 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 10-15 | 1-2 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 19 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Elmarko Jackson G | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Nginyu Ngala G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Will Thengvall G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Samis Calderon F | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corbin Allen
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKU -17.5
ModelKU -13.3
Model edgeKSU +4.2
L KU covered
Total
Market157.5
Model153.8
Model edgeUnder 3.7
L Over
Projected score
KSU 70.3 · KU 83.6
KSU 85 · KU 104
Win probability
KU 88%
1st half
Spread
KU -7.8
KU -13.0
Total
71.9
79 points
Projected score
KSU 32.1 · KU 39.9
KSU 33 · KU 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -16.5
1 → KU
CloseKU -17.5
1 pt toward KU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 7
Close157.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
KSU +1200 · KU -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -16.5 · closed KU -17.5 · moved 1 toward KUmodel KU -13.5
model KU -13.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 7 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| KU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
KSU 3–6 KUKU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · KSU 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | KU 86 @ KSU 62 | KSU +4.5 | KU W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | KU 73 @ KSU 81 | KSU +4.5 | KSU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | KSU 74 @ KU 84 | KU -14.5 | KSU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | KSU 68 @ KU 90 | KU -12.5 | KU W |
| Feb 5, 2023-24 | KU 70 @ KSU 75 | KSU +3.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas St
30 games played
Straight up
12-18
40% wins
Against the spread
12-18
40% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vs UTAH | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsKU | L 62-86 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 27 | @ WVU | L 54-59 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 1 | vs ISU | L 61-95 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | @ TCU | L 82-84 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 11 | vs CIN | L 62-91 | +2.5 | L −26.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @ HOU | L 64-78 | +22.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | vs BAY | W 90-74 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | @ TTU | L 72-100 | +12.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 25 | @ COLO | L 70-79 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 28 | vsTCU | L 68-77 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | vsWVU | W 65-63 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−7.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−19.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
+2.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−21.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+7.5
11
vsCIN
CINL 62-91
−26.5
14
@HOU
HOUL 64-78
+8.5
17
vsBAY
BAYW 90-74
+19.5
21
@TTU
TTUL 72-100
−15.5
25
@COLO
COLOL 70-79
−3.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 68-77
−5.5
3
vsWVU
WVUW 65-63
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 18avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−9.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−10.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
−33.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−0.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+10.5
11
vsCIN
CINL 62-91
+5.5
14
@HOU
HOUL 64-78
−2.5
17
vsBAY
BAYW 90-74
+4.5
21
@TTU
TTUL 72-100
+13.5
25
@COLO
COLOL 70-79
−14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 68-77
−14.5
3
vsWVU
WVUW 65-63
−15.5
over 14under 16avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
30 games played
Straight up
21-9
70% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-21
30% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOW | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs DAV | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @UCF | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vsTCU | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @WVU | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vsISU | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vsBAY | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | @COLO | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @KSU | W 86-62 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | vsBYU | W 90-82 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 2 | @TTU | W 64-61 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsUTAH | W 71-59 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | vsARIZ | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ISU | L 56-74 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @OKST | W 81-69 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vsCIN | L 68-84 | -8.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 23 | vsHOU | W 69-56 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | @ARIZ | L 61-84 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ASU | L 60-70 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
+9.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+14.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−10.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
−2.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
−13.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
+24.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
+10.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
+1.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
+19.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+5.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
+6.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−6.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+9.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−10.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
+4.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
−24.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
+15.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−13.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−15.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
−15.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+11.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−1.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
+60.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
+21.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
−5.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
−14.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
−11.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
−10.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+12.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
−30.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−20.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+7.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−17.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
−8.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
+12.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
−13.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−6.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−21.5
over 9under 21avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas St
12-18 overall · 3-14 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs West Virginia65–63
- Lvs TCU68–77
- L@ Colorado70–79
- L@ Texas Tech72–100
- Wvs Baylor90–74
4 days since their last game.
Kansas
21-9 overall · 11-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona St60–70
- L@ Arizona61–84
- Wvs Houston69–56
- Lvs Cincinnati68–84
- W@ Oklahoma St81–69
4 days since their last game.