Pete Maravich Assembly Center · at LSU · Conference game
Closing line
LSU -1.5✓ OU covered by 17.5
LSU -1.5✓ OU covered by 17.5Closing total155.5Under by 5.5
 OU | This season | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-14 | Record | 15-13 |
| 10-18 | ATS | 17-11 |
| 14-14 | O/U | 13-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OU 78–82 LSU · ✗ LSU (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 41 | 42 | 83 |
| LSU | 33 | 34 | 67 |
1st half: OU 41, LSU 33 (OU by 8). The model had LSU by 2.4 and a total of 75.1 (actual 74).
Team stats
| OU | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 22-63 35% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 6-23 26% |
| 17-18 94% | Free throws | 17-19 89% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 37 16 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Davis F | 33 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Xzayvier Brown G | 32 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Nijel Pack G | 31 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 8-14 | 5-11 |
| Derrion Reid F | 25 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 24 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jadon Jones G | 23 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Dayton Forsythe G | 17 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kai Rogers F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Finley Keeffe, Jake Hansen, Jeff Nwankwo, Andreas Holst, Reid Lovelace, Kuol Atak, Alec Blair
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon G | 37 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-20 | 1-7 |
| Jalen Reece G | 34 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1-10 | 0-4 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 32 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 26 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Robert Miller III F | 20 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Nwoko F | 20 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Rashad King G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| PJ Carter G | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
Did not play: Marcus Vaughn, Jalen Reed, Ron Zipper, Matt Gilhool, Jaden Bobbett, Mazi Mosley, Dedan Thomas Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLSU -1.5
ModelLSU -4.2
Model edgeLSU +2.7
L OU covered
Total
Market155.5
Model160.7
Model edgeOver 5.2
L Under
Projected score
OU 78.2 · LSU 82.4
OU 83 · LSU 67
Win probability
LSU 64%
1st half
Spread
LSU -2.4
OU -8.0
Total
75.1
74 points
Projected score
OU 36.4 · LSU 38.7
OU 41 · LSU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -2.5
1 → OU
CloseLSU -1.5
1 pt toward OU
Total
Open156.5
▼ 1
Close155.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
OU +114 · LSU -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -2.5 · closed LSU -1.5 · moved 1 toward OUmodel LSU -4
model LSU -4
Opened 156.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| LSU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OU 0–1 LSULSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · OU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | LSU 82 @ OU 79 | OU -8.5 | LSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma
28 games played
Straight up
14-14
50% wins
Against the spread
10-18
36% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs MISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vs FLA | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs ALA | L 81-83 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 20 | @ SC | L 76-85 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MIZ | L 87-88 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | vs ARK | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs TEX | L 69-79 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 4 | @ UK | L 78-94 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @ VAN | W 92-91 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 14 | vs UGA | W 94-78 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 18 | @ TENN | L 66-89 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | vsTA&M | L 71-75 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 24 | vs AUB | W 91-79 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
−9.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
+3.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
−11.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+3.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−0.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−8.5
4
@UK
UKL 78-94
−7.5
7
@VAN
VANW 92-91
+12.5
14
vsUGA
UGAW 94-78
+14.5
18
@TENN
TENNL 66-89
−11.5
21
vsTA&M
TA&ML 71-75
−2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBW 91-79
+15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 18avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
+17.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
−13.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
+10.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+23.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−5.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−7.5
4
@UK
UKL 78-94
+19.5
7
@VAN
VANW 92-91
+23.5
14
vsUGA
UGAW 94-78
+7.5
18
@TENN
TENNL 66-89
+5.5
21
vsTA&M
TA&ML 71-75
−19.5
24
vsAUB
AUBW 91-79
+12.5
over 14under 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vsALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vsSC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vsUK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vsMIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @FLA | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ARK | L 81-85 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 28 | vsMSST | L 66-80 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @SC | W 92-87 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vsUGA | L 71-83 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 10 | vsARK | L 62-91 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | @TENN | L 63-73 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 17 | @TEX | L 85-88 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | vsALA | L 83-90 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 172.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 25 | @MISS | W 106-99 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−2.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+6.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−21.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+2.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−10.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−24.5
14
@TENN
TENNL 63-73
+4.5
17
@TEX
TEXL 85-88
+7.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 83-90
+0.5
25
@MISS
MISSW 106-99
+9.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−18.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+2.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−8.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+31.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−7.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−6.5
14
@TENN
TENNL 63-73
−7.5
17
@TEX
TEXL 85-88
+22.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 83-90
+0.5
25
@MISS
MISSW 106-99
+57.5
over 13under 15avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma
14-14 overall · 4-11 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Auburn91–79
- Lvs Texas A&M71–75
- L@ Tennessee66–89
- Wvs Georgia94–78
- W@ Vanderbilt92–91
4 days since their last game.
LSU
15-13 overall · 3-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ole Miss106–99
- Lvs Alabama83–90
- L@ Texas85–88
- L@ Tennessee63–73
- Lvs Arkansas62–91
3 days since their last game.