When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
53 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 51.5–57.5 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 26 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 31% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 13% of games.
All 53 games
2023–2026 · Totals 51.5–57.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
SF -7.5 | 51.5 | 16233340 | U | WSH Q4 | 17–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
DAL -1.5 | 54.5 | 7172736 | U | GB Q1 | 13–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BUF -5.5 | 54.5 | 10263663 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late over |
33–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LAR -13.5 | 51.5 | 6182134 | U | ARI Q1 | 18–16 |
2026 · Week 5 |
LAR -3.5 | 55.5 | 620336871 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
37–34 |
2026 · Week 5 |
DET -4.5 | 55.5 | 7315266 | Q4 | DET Q2 | 45–21 |
2026 · Week 5 |
NE -8.5 | 51.5 | 21284562 | Q4 | NE Q2 | 17–45 |
2026 · Week 4 |
DET -3.5 | 52.5 | 10324858 | Q4 | CAR Q1 Late over |
26–32 |
2026 · Week 4 |
CIN -2.5 | 51.5 | 3162639 | U | JAX Q1 | 22–17 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BAL -3 | 54.5 | 17304565 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
34–31 |
2026 · Week 2 |
DAL -4.5 | 51.5 | 10274057 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
20–37 |
2026 · Week 2 |
BUF -5.5 | 54.5 | 14375172 | Q4 | BUF Q1 | 31–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
JAX -1.5 | 51.5 | 3172351 | U | BUF Q1 | 27–24 |
2025 · Week 18 |
CHI -3 | 51.5 | 3131635 | U | DET Q1 | 19–16 |
2025 · Week 17 |
SF -4.5 | 51.5 | 28496380 | Q3 | CHI Q4 Lead lost |
38–42 |
2025 · Week 17 |
CIN -7 | 53.5 | 7304451 | U | CIN Q2 | 14–37 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DET -7.5 | 52.5 | 3202253 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
29–24 |
2025 · Week 15 |
LAR -5.5 | 54.5 | 14415875 | Q3 | LAR Q3 | 34–41 |
2025 · Week 15 |
BAL -2.5 | 51.5 | 0141724 | U | BAL Q2 | 24–0 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BUF -6 | 54.5 | 10323973 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 34–39 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DET -3.5 | 55.5 | 13294674 | Q4 | DET Q1 | 30–44 |
2025 · Week 13 |
BAL -7 | 52.5 | 10194046 | U | CIN Q1 | 32–14 |
2025 · Week 9 |
DAL -3.5 | 53.5 | 3243744 | U | ARI Q1 | 27–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
KC -2.5 | 53.5 | 7344149 | U | BUF Q1 | 21–28 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CHI -2.5 | 51.5 | 17375889 | Q3 | CHI Q3 | 47–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IND -3.5 | 51.5 | 7242447 | U | PIT Q2 | 20–27 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BAL -7.5 | 51.5 | 10203434 | U | BAL Q2 | 28–6 |
2025 · Week 8 |
DEN -4.5 | 51.5 | 17374768 | Q4 | DEN Q1 | 24–44 |
2025 · Week 7 |
DET -6.5 | 54.5 | 7173033 | U | DET Q1 | 9–24 |
2025 · Week 7 |
DAL -2.5 | 54.5 | 25426366 | Q3 | DAL Q1 | 22–44 |
2025 · Week 6 |
KC -2.5 | 51.5 | 9233047 | U | KC Q1 | 17–30 |
2025 · Week 3 |
BAL -4.5 | 53.5 | 14284268 | Q4 | DET Q1 | 38–30 |
2025 · Week 1 |
BAL -1.5 | 51.5 | 10335381 | Q3 | BUF Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
40–41 |
2024 · Postseason |
BAL -1.5 | 51.5 | 14314052 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
25–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
DET -8.5 | 55.5 | 10525976 | Q3 | WSH Q1 | 45–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
TB -3.5 | 51.5 | 3203043 | U | WSH Q4 | 23–20 |
2024 · Week 18 |
DET -2.5 | 56.5 | 7162640 | U | DET Q1 | 9–31 |
2024 · Week 15 |
DET -2.5 | 55.5 | 14355690 | Q3 | BUF Q1 | 48–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
DET -3.5 | 53.5 | 7244565 | Q4 | GB Q3 | 31–34 |
2024 · Week 13 |
BAL -3.5 | 51.5 | 9262643 | U | PHI Q2 | 24–19 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BAL -5.5 | 52.5 | 7213569 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 34–35 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ATL -3.5 | 51.5 | 10243448 | U | ATL Q1 | 21–27 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ATL -2.5 | 51.5 | 3243848 | U | SEA Q1 | 34–14 |
2024 · Week 6 |
DET -3.5 | 52.5 | 10334656 | Q4 | DET Q1 | 47–9 |
2024 · Week 3 |
DET -2.5 | 51.5 | 14303033 | U | DET Q2 | 20–13 |
2024 · Week 2 |
DET -7.5 | 51.5 | 9193636 | U | TB Q1 | 20–16 |
2024 · Week 1 |
DET -5.5 | 53.5 | 313274046 | U | DET OT Late cover flip |
20–26 |
2023 · Postseason |
SF -7.5 | 53.5 | 14314865 | Q4 | DET Q1 Late over |
31–34 |
2023 · Postseason |
DET -3 | 53 | 17384447 | U | LAR Q4 | 23–24 |
2023 · Postseason |
DAL -7 | 52 | 7345780 | Q3 | GB Q1 | 48–32 |
WSH
SF
DAL
GB
BUF
LV
ARI
LAR
DET
NE
CAR
JAX
CIN
BAL
CHI
PIT
KC
IND
MIA
DEN
TB
MIN
PHI
ATL
SEAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 62% 33
Q2 17% 9
Q3 6% 3
Q4 11% 6
OT 2% 1
Push 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 87% and covered 81% of 47 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 84% of 50 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 8 | 100% 8 |
| 4–7 | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 60% 3 |
| 11–14 | 8 | 38% 3 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 5 | 40% 2 |
| 22+ | 17 | 12% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.