When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
108 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 49.5–55.5 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 56 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 21% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 22% of games.
All 108 games
2023–2026 · Totals 49.5–55.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
CHI -3 | 50.5 | 10344854 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
24–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
SF -7.5 | 51.5 | 16233340 | U | WSH Q4 | 17–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
DAL -1.5 | 54.5 | 7172736 | U | GB Q1 | 13–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BUF -5.5 | 54.5 | 10263663 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late over |
33–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LAR -13.5 | 51.5 | 6182134 | U | ARI Q1 | 18–16 |
2026 · Week 6 |
CHI -1.5 | 50.5 | 14283554 | Q4 | CHI Q1 | 31–23 |
2026 · Week 5 |
LAR -3.5 | 55.5 | 620336871 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
37–34 |
2026 · Week 5 |
DET -4.5 | 55.5 | 7315266 | Q4 | DET Q2 | 45–21 |
2026 · Week 5 |
NE -8.5 | 51.5 | 21284562 | Q4 | NE Q2 | 17–45 |
2026 · Week 5 |
DAL -8.5 | 49.5 | 7173440 | U | TB Q1 | 24–16 |
2026 · Week 4 |
DET -3.5 | 52.5 | 10324858 | Q4 | CAR Q1 Late over |
26–32 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BUF -7 | 49.5 | 7313855 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
29–26 |
2026 · Week 4 |
CIN -2.5 | 51.5 | 3162639 | U | JAX Q1 | 22–17 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BAL -3 | 54.5 | 17304565 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
34–31 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BUF -7 | 50.5 | 10202340 | U | BUF Q4 Late cover flip |
16–24 |
2026 · Week 3 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 0172755 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over |
24–31 |
2026 · Week 2 |
DAL -4.5 | 51.5 | 10274057 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
20–37 |
2026 · Week 2 |
BUF -5.5 | 54.5 | 14375172 | Q4 | BUF Q1 | 31–41 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CIN -3.5 | 50.5 | 17344760 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 27–33 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 77354861 | OT | NO Q4 Late over |
30–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
LAR -3.5 | 49.5 | 720203437 | U | CHI Q2 Late cover flip |
20–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
JAX -1.5 | 51.5 | 3172351 | U | BUF Q1 | 27–24 |
2025 · Week 18 |
CHI -3 | 51.5 | 3131635 | U | DET Q1 | 19–16 |
2025 · Week 18 |
LAR -14.5 | 49.5 | 6224357 | Q4 | LAR Q4 Late cover flip |
20–37 |
2025 · Week 18 |
DAL -3 | 50.5 | 16263451 | Q4 | NYG Q2 | 17–34 |
2025 · Week 17 |
SF -4.5 | 51.5 | 28496380 | Q3 | CHI Q4 Lead lost |
38–42 |
2025 · Week 17 |
CIN -7 | 53.5 | 7304451 | U | CIN Q2 | 14–37 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DAL -8.5 | 50.5 | 10344753 | Q4 | WSH Q3 Late over |
30–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DET -7.5 | 52.5 | 3202253 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
29–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DAL -1.5 | 50.5 | 14384151 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
34–17 |
2025 · Week 15 |
LAR -5.5 | 54.5 | 14415875 | Q3 | LAR Q3 | 34–41 |
2025 · Week 15 |
BAL -2.5 | 51.5 | 0141724 | U | BAL Q2 | 24–0 |
2025 · Week 15 |
BUF -2.5 | 49.5 | 14314566 | Q4 | BUF Q4 | 35–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
LAR -9.5 | 49.5 | 17344862 | Q4 | LAR Q2 | 45–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BUF -6 | 54.5 | 10323973 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 34–39 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DET -3.5 | 55.5 | 13294674 | Q4 | DET Q1 | 30–44 |
2025 · Week 13 |
BAL -7 | 52.5 | 10194046 | U | CIN Q1 | 32–14 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LAR -7.5 | 50.5 | 14383841 | U | LAR Q1 | 7–34 |
2025 · Week 12 |
NE -7.5 | 50.5 | 3303346 | U | CIN Q1 Late cover flip |
26–20 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DET -14.5 | 50.5 | 1037375461 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Lead lost |
27–34 |
2025 · Week 12 |
KC -4.5 | 49.5 | 723294043 | U | IND Q1 Lead lost |
20–23 |
2025 · Week 11 |
LAR -3.5 | 49.5 | 17232640 | U | SEA Q3 Late cover flip |
19–21 |
2025 · Week 10 |
LAR -6.5 | 49.5 | 14284268 | Q4 | LAR Q1 | 42–26 |
2025 · Week 10 |
BUF -8.5 | 50.5 | 7161643 | U | MIA Q1 | 13–30 |
2025 · Week 10 |
BAL -4.5 | 49.5 | 10193246 | U | BAL Q3 | 27–19 |
2025 · Week 9 |
DAL -3.5 | 53.5 | 3243744 | U | ARI Q1 | 27–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
KC -2.5 | 53.5 | 7344149 | U | BUF Q1 | 21–28 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CHI -2.5 | 51.5 | 17375889 | Q3 | CHI Q3 | 47–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IND -3.5 | 51.5 | 7242447 | U | PIT Q2 | 20–27 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BAL -7.5 | 51.5 | 10203434 | U | BAL Q2 | 28–6 |
NE
CHI
WSH
SF
DAL
GB
BUF
LV
ARI
LAR
ATL
DET
TB
CAR
JAX
CIN
BAL
LAC
NYJ
NO
NYG
PIT
IND
KC
SEA
MIA
MINWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 57
Q2 16% 17
Q3 8% 9
Q4 19% 21
OT 2% 2
Push 2% 2
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 72% of 98 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 78% of 99 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 12 | 100% 12 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 16 | 94% 15 |
| 8–10 | 8 | 63% 5 |
| 11–14 | 16 | 44% 7 |
| 15–17 | 14 | 50% 7 |
| 18–21 | 10 | 30% 3 |
| 22+ | 29 | 14% 4 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.