When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
317 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 45–51 · pick one to list those games
53% went over. Of the 169 overs, 2% had cashed by halftime and 22% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 317 games
2023–2026 · Totals 45–51 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
CHI -3 | 50.5 | 10344854 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
24–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
CHI -1.5 | 50.5 | 14283554 | Q4 | CHI Q1 | 31–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
NO -1.5 | 46.5 | 7203761 | Q4 | NO Q3 | 34–27 |
2026 · Week 5 |
SEA -3 | 46.5 | 14344761 | Q3 | SF Q4 | 32–29 |
2026 · Week 5 |
CHI -1.5 | 46.5 | 7213038 | U | GB Q1 | 7–31 |
2026 · Week 5 |
CIN -7.5 | 45.5 | 14283855 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
31–24 |
2026 · Week 5 |
DAL -8.5 | 49.5 | 7173440 | U | TB Q1 | 24–16 |
2026 · Week 4 |
NO -1.5 | 48.5 | 14314169 | Q4 | ATL Q1 | 45–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
KC -3.5 | 47.5 | 14232357 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over |
30–27 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SF -3 | 48.5 | 361338 | U | SF Q3 | 14–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BUF -7 | 49.5 | 7313855 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
29–26 |
2026 · Week 4 |
HOU -3 | 48.5 | 13224364 | Q4 | DAL Q4 | 34–30 |
2026 · Week 4 |
IND -4.5 | 46.5 | 6163343 | U | IND Q3 | 30–13 |
2026 · Week 3 |
SF -7.5 | 48.5 | 7233666 | Q4 | ARI Q4 Late cover flip |
30–36 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BUF -7 | 50.5 | 10202340 | U | BUF Q4 Late cover flip |
16–24 |
2026 · Week 3 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 0172755 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over |
24–31 |
2026 · Week 3 |
KC -10 | 45.5 | 14212434 | U | KC Q4 Late cover flip |
24–10 |
2026 · Week 3 |
JAX -3 | 46.5 | 0173141 | U | JAX Q2 | 6–35 |
2026 · Week 2 |
LAR -7 | 47.5 | 7172734 | U | LAR Q2 | 6–28 |
2026 · Week 2 |
KC -6 | 46.5 | 1737445463 | Q4 | IND Q1 | 30–33 |
2026 · Week 2 |
DEN -2.5 | 45.5 | 0131933 | U | DEN Q4 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
CHI -4.5 | 46.5 | 69912 | U | MIN Q1 | 9–3 |
2026 · Week 2 |
BAL -8.5 | 45.5 | 7202641 | U | NO Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
HOU -3 | 45.5 | 0102326 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–6 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DAL -3 | 47.5 | 7213548 | Q4 | NYG Q1 | 20–28 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MIN -2.5 | 46.5 | 12293961 | Q4 | MIN Q4 | 22–39 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAC -8.5 | 47.5 | 14203040 | U | ARI Q1 | 26–14 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CIN -3.5 | 50.5 | 17344760 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 27–33 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 77354861 | OT | NO Q4 Late over |
30–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
BAL -3 | 48.5 | 20444764 | Q4 | BAL Q1 | 41–23 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CHI -3 | 47.5 | 21557696 | Q2 | CHI Q1 | 59–37 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAR -3.5 | 47.5 | 3172434 | U | SF Q1 | 27–7 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -4.5 | 45.5 | 391242 | U | SEA Q2 | 29–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -2.5 | 45.5 | 13305858 | Q3 | SEA Q1 | 27–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
LAR -3.5 | 49.5 | 720203437 | U | CHI Q2 Late cover flip |
20–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
DEN -1.5 | 45.5 | 1030406063 | Q4 | DEN OT Late cover flip Lead lost |
30–33 |
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3.5 | 45.5 | 091219 | U | NE Q3 | 3–16 |
2025 · Postseason |
GB -1.5 | 46.5 | 10242758 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–31 |
2025 · Week 18 |
LAR -14.5 | 49.5 | 6224357 | Q4 | LAR Q4 Late cover flip |
20–37 |
2025 · Week 18 |
CIN -8.5 | 47.5 | 13262938 | U | CLE Q1 | 20–18 |
2025 · Week 18 |
DAL -3 | 50.5 | 16263451 | Q4 | NYG Q2 | 17–34 |
2025 · Week 18 |
JAX -13.5 | 46.5 | 14384148 | Q4 | JAX Q2 | 7–41 |
2025 · Week 18 |
SEA -2.5 | 48.5 | 7131316 | U | SEA Q1 | 13–3 |
2025 · Week 17 |
LAR -7.5 | 48.5 | 7214151 | Q4 | ATL Q1 Late over |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 17 |
BUF -3.5 | 45.5 | 7131325 | U | PHI Q1 | 13–12 |
2025 · Week 17 |
JAX -4.5 | 48.5 | 3173440 | U | JAX Q4 Late cover flip |
23–17 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DET -7.5 | 45.5 | 7142033 | U | MIN Q1 | 10–23 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DAL -8.5 | 50.5 | 10344753 | Q4 | WSH Q3 Late over |
30–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
SF -4.5 | 46.5 | 21415475 | Q3 | SF Q1 | 48–27 |
2025 · Week 16 |
BAL -3.5 | 47.5 | 7203052 | Q4 | NE Q4 Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
NE
CHI
ATL
NO
NYG
SF
SEA
GB
CIN
MIA
TB
DAL
KC
LV
DEN
BUF
HOU
IND
WSH
ARI
LAC
NYJ
DET
JAX
LAR
MIN
BAL
CAR
CLE
TEN
PHIWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 145
Q2 18% 58
Q3 13% 40
Q4 20% 64
OT 3% 9
Push 0% 1
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 71% of 297 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 77% of 304 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 37 | 100% 37 |
| 1–3 | 20 | 100% 20 |
| 4–7 | 40 | 90% 36 |
| 8–10 | 34 | 71% 24 |
| 11–14 | 38 | 55% 21 |
| 15–17 | 32 | 47% 15 |
| 18–21 | 46 | 26% 12 |
| 22+ | 70 | 6% 4 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.