When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
394 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 44.5–50.5 · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 211 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 21% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 22% of games.
All 394 games
2023–2026 · Totals 44.5–50.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
CHI -3 | 50.5 | 10344854 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
24–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
CHI -1.5 | 50.5 | 14283554 | Q4 | CHI Q1 | 31–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
NO -1.5 | 46.5 | 7203761 | Q4 | NO Q3 | 34–27 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ATL -3 | 44.5 | 1023324653 | Q4 | BAL Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
30–23 |
2026 · Week 5 |
SEA -3 | 46.5 | 14344761 | Q3 | SF Q4 | 32–29 |
2026 · Week 5 |
CHI -1.5 | 46.5 | 7213038 | U | GB Q1 | 7–31 |
2026 · Week 5 |
CIN -7.5 | 45.5 | 14283855 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
31–24 |
2026 · Week 5 |
DAL -8.5 | 49.5 | 7173440 | U | TB Q1 | 24–16 |
2026 · Week 4 |
NO -1.5 | 48.5 | 14314169 | Q4 | ATL Q1 | 45–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
KC -3.5 | 47.5 | 14232357 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over |
30–27 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SF -3 | 48.5 | 361338 | U | SF Q3 | 14–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BUF -7 | 49.5 | 7313855 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
29–26 |
2026 · Week 4 |
HOU -3 | 48.5 | 13224364 | Q4 | DAL Q4 | 34–30 |
2026 · Week 4 |
IND -4.5 | 46.5 | 6163343 | U | IND Q3 | 30–13 |
2026 · Week 3 |
DEN -1.5 | 44.5 | 7163256 | Q4 | DEN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–30 |
2026 · Week 3 |
NO -3.5 | 44.5 | 9294962 | Q3 | LV Q4 | 35–27 |
2026 · Week 3 |
SF -7.5 | 48.5 | 7233666 | Q4 | ARI Q4 Late cover flip |
30–36 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BUF -7 | 50.5 | 10202340 | U | BUF Q4 Late cover flip |
16–24 |
2026 · Week 3 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 0172755 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over |
24–31 |
2026 · Week 3 |
KC -10 | 45.5 | 14212434 | U | KC Q4 Late cover flip |
24–10 |
2026 · Week 3 |
JAX -3 | 46.5 | 0173141 | U | JAX Q2 | 6–35 |
2026 · Week 2 |
LAR -7 | 47.5 | 7172734 | U | LAR Q2 | 6–28 |
2026 · Week 2 |
KC -6 | 46.5 | 1737445463 | Q4 | IND Q1 | 30–33 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SF -12.5 | 44.5 | 7204148 | Q4 | SF Q3 Late over |
13–35 |
2026 · Week 2 |
DEN -2.5 | 45.5 | 0131933 | U | DEN Q4 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
CHI -4.5 | 46.5 | 69912 | U | MIN Q1 | 9–3 |
2026 · Week 2 |
GB -3.5 | 44.5 | 014213437 | U | NYJ Q1 Lead lost |
20–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
BAL -8.5 | 45.5 | 7202641 | U | NO Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
HOU -3 | 45.5 | 0102326 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–6 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DAL -3 | 47.5 | 7213548 | Q4 | NYG Q1 | 20–28 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MIN -2.5 | 46.5 | 12293961 | Q4 | MIN Q4 | 22–39 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAC -8.5 | 47.5 | 14203040 | U | ARI Q1 | 26–14 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CIN -3.5 | 50.5 | 17344760 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 27–33 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DET -7 | 49.5 | 77354861 | OT | NO Q4 Late over |
30–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
BAL -3 | 48.5 | 20444764 | Q4 | BAL Q1 | 41–23 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CHI -3 | 47.5 | 21557696 | Q2 | CHI Q1 | 59–37 |
2026 · Week 1 |
BUF -1.5 | 44.5 | 10454867 | Q2 | BUF Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
36–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAR -3.5 | 47.5 | 3172434 | U | SF Q1 | 27–7 |
2026 · Week 1 |
SEA -3 | 44.5 | 071323 | U | Push | 10–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -4.5 | 45.5 | 391242 | U | SEA Q2 | 29–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -2.5 | 45.5 | 13305858 | Q3 | SEA Q1 | 27–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
LAR -3.5 | 49.5 | 720203437 | U | CHI Q2 Late cover flip |
20–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -7 | 44.5 | 17304047 | Q4 | SEA Q1 | 6–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
DEN -1.5 | 45.5 | 1030406063 | Q4 | DEN OT Late cover flip Lead lost |
30–33 |
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3.5 | 45.5 | 091219 | U | NE Q3 | 3–16 |
2025 · Postseason |
PHI -5.5 | 44.5 | 13232642 | U | SF Q4 Lead lost |
23–19 |
2025 · Postseason |
GB -1.5 | 46.5 | 10242758 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
LAR -10 | 44.5 | 7313765 | Q4 | CAR Q1 | 34–31 |
2025 · Week 18 |
LAR -14.5 | 49.5 | 6224357 | Q4 | LAR Q4 Late cover flip |
20–37 |
2025 · Week 18 |
CIN -8.5 | 47.5 | 13262938 | U | CLE Q1 | 20–18 |
NE
CHI
ATL
NO
NYG
BAL
SF
SEA
GB
CIN
MIA
TB
DAL
KC
LV
DEN
BUF
HOU
IND
WSH
LAR
ARI
LAC
NYJ
DET
JAX
MIN
CAR
PHI
CLEWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 182
Q2 18% 72
Q3 13% 50
Q4 20% 78
OT 3% 10
Push 1% 2
The team leading at halftime won 76% and covered 71% of 369 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 76% of 380 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 44 | 100% 44 |
| 1–3 | 22 | 95% 21 |
| 4–7 | 48 | 90% 43 |
| 8–10 | 44 | 73% 32 |
| 11–14 | 51 | 59% 30 |
| 15–17 | 41 | 49% 20 |
| 18–21 | 53 | 23% 12 |
| 22+ | 91 | 10% 9 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.