When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
246 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 36–42 · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 131 overs, 5% had cashed by halftime and 27% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 246 games
2023–2026 · Totals 36–42 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
KC -7.5 | 41.5 | 12222528 | U | KC Q2 | 6–22 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BAL -3 | 40.5 | 10101323 | U | CLE Q4 | 10–13 |
2026 · Week 6 |
CAR -3 | 39.5 | 3172039 | U | CAR Q3 | 25–14 |
2026 · Week 6 |
PIT -2.5 | 37.5 | 316193845 | Q4 | PIT OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–19 |
2026 · Week 6 |
SEA -3 | 40.5 | 317172831 | U | DEN Q2 | 14–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
HOU -6.5 | 37.5 | 6152229 | U | HOU Q2 | 26–3 |
2026 · Week 5 |
MIN -2.5 | 41.5 | 3132636 | U | MIN Q4 | 23–13 |
2026 · Week 5 |
NYJ -2.5 | 38.5 | 10131329 | U | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
12–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
WSH -3.5 | 41.5 | 915325454 | Q4 | NYG Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
27–27 |
2026 · Week 5 |
JAX -7.5 | 41.5 | 7212436 | U | PHI Q1 Lead lost |
17–19 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MIN -10 | 38.5 | 392225 | U | MIA Q1 | 10–15 |
2026 · Week 4 |
GB -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172431 | U | GB Q2 | 17–14 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BAL -11.5 | 41.5 | 14313442 | Q4 | TEN Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
18–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PIT -2.5 | 38.5 | 7313151 | Q4 | CLE Q2 | 24–27 |
2026 · Week 3 |
CAR -2.5 | 41.5 | 0131939 | U | CLE Q1 | 18–21 |
2026 · Week 3 |
NYG -2.5 | 37.5 | 391219 | U | NYG Q1 | 7–12 |
2026 · Week 3 |
SEA -8.5 | 40.5 | 7274164 | Q3 | WSH Q1 | 31–33 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SEA -3.5 | 40.5 | 7142438 | U | SEA Q3 | 31–7 |
2026 · Week 2 |
PHI -7 | 39.5 | 7243444 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
NE -4.5 | 41.5 | 7131623 | U | NE Q1 | 3–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TB -8.5 | 41.5 | 9153242 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–19 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LV -3 | 40.5 | 7234040 | U | LV Q1 | 13–27 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TEN -1.5 | 39.5 | 10132333 | U | NYJ Q1 | 23–10 |
2026 · Week 1 |
PIT -6.5 | 40.5 | 10202333 | U | PIT Q4 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 1 |
JAX -8.5 | 40.5 | 14243744 | Q4 | JAX Q1 Late over |
10–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3 | 40.5 | 10313744 | Q4 | NE Q1 | 16–28 |
2025 · Postseason |
HOU -3 | 38.5 | 3131336 | U | HOU Q4 | 30–6 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BAL -4.5 | 41.5 | 7132350 | Q4 | PIT Q3 Late over Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BUF -13.5 | 39.5 | 7212943 | Q4 | BUF Q2 | 8–35 |
2025 · Week 18 |
DEN -15.5 | 37.5 | 10131622 | U | DEN Q4 Late cover flip |
3–19 |
2025 · Week 18 |
PHI -3 | 38.5 | 0172741 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 18 |
MIN -13.5 | 37.5 | 3131319 | U | GB Q1 | 3–16 |
2025 · Week 18 |
HOU -9.5 | 37.5 | 16405368 | Q2 | IND Q1 | 30–38 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NYG -3 | 40.5 | 7203744 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NO -1.5 | 38.5 | 6304360 | Q3 | NO Q4 Late cover flip |
34–26 |
2025 · Week 17 |
GB -2.5 | 37.5 | 14415165 | Q2 | BAL Q1 | 41–24 |
2025 · Week 17 |
LAC -1.5 | 40.5 | 14172736 | U | HOU Q1 | 20–16 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DEN -13.5 | 37.5 | 3132333 | U | KC Q1 | 20–13 |
2025 · Week 16 |
HOU -14.5 | 39.5 | 7203044 | Q4 | LV Q1 | 21–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
BUF -10.5 | 41.5 | 14304043 | Q4 | CLE Q1 | 23–20 |
2025 · Week 16 |
KC -3.5 | 37.5 | 0152535 | U | TEN Q1 | 9–26 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NO -7 | 39.5 | 6152235 | U | NO Q3 | 6–29 |
2025 · Week 16 |
MIN -2.5 | 41.5 | 3232329 | U | MIN Q1 Late cover flip |
16–13 |
2025 · Week 15 |
CAR -2.5 | 41.5 | 7172737 | U | NO Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 15 |
SEA -12.5 | 41.5 | 6192234 | U | IND Q1 Lead lost |
16–18 |
2025 · Week 15 |
CHI -7.5 | 38.5 | 14143134 | U | CHI Q1 | 3–31 |
2025 · Week 15 |
KC -5.5 | 41.5 | 10232929 | U | LAC Q1 | 16–13 |
2025 · Week 15 |
PHI -12.5 | 36.5 | 7172431 | U | PHI Q2 | 0–31 |
2025 · Week 15 |
JAX -13.5 | 40.5 | 21415468 | Q2 | JAX Q2 | 20–48 |
2025 · Week 14 |
PHI -1.5 | 41.5 | 1016223841 | U | LAC Q1 | 19–22 |
LAC
KC
BAL
CLE
CAR
PHI
PIT
TB
SEA
DEN
HOU
TEN
MIN
NO
NYJ
NYG
WSH
JAX
MIA
GB
ARI
NE
LV
ATL
BUF
IND
CHIWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 125
Q2 16% 40
Q3 10% 25
Q4 20% 49
OT 1% 3
Push 2% 4
The team leading at halftime won 76% and covered 72% of 231 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 77% of 232 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 36 | 100% 36 |
| 1–3 | 14 | 93% 13 |
| 4–7 | 29 | 86% 25 |
| 8–10 | 33 | 61% 20 |
| 11–14 | 34 | 62% 21 |
| 15–17 | 39 | 26% 10 |
| 18–21 | 28 | 14% 4 |
| 22+ | 33 | 6% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.