When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
69 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 31.5–37.5 · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 34 overs, 12% had cashed by halftime and 26% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 16% of games.
All 69 games
2023–2026 · Totals 31.5–37.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
PIT -2.5 | 37.5 | 316193845 | Q4 | PIT OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–19 |
2026 · Week 5 |
HOU -6.5 | 37.5 | 6152229 | U | HOU Q2 | 26–3 |
2026 · Week 3 |
NYG -2.5 | 37.5 | 391219 | U | NYG Q1 | 7–12 |
2025 · Week 18 |
DEN -15.5 | 37.5 | 10131622 | U | DEN Q4 Late cover flip |
3–19 |
2025 · Week 18 |
KC -3.5 | 35.5 | 391226 | U | LV Q1 | 12–14 |
2025 · Week 18 |
MIN -13.5 | 37.5 | 3131319 | U | GB Q1 | 3–16 |
2025 · Week 18 |
HOU -9.5 | 37.5 | 16405368 | Q2 | IND Q1 | 30–38 |
2025 · Week 17 |
PIT -3.5 | 34.5 | 10161619 | U | CLE Q1 | 6–13 |
2025 · Week 17 |
GB -2.5 | 37.5 | 14415165 | Q2 | BAL Q1 | 41–24 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DEN -13.5 | 37.5 | 3132333 | U | KC Q1 | 20–13 |
2025 · Week 16 |
KC -3.5 | 37.5 | 0152535 | U | TEN Q1 | 9–26 |
2025 · Week 15 |
PHI -12.5 | 36.5 | 7172431 | U | PHI Q2 | 0–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
CLE -4.5 | 33.5 | 17313860 | Q3 | TEN Q1 | 31–29 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SF -5.5 | 35.5 | 7182534 | U | SF Q3 | 26–8 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LV -3.5 | 36.5 | 14171734 | U | CLE Q1 | 24–10 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BAL -7.5 | 37.5 | 6262639 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
HOU -5.5 | 37.5 | 331629 | U | TEN Q1 Late cover flip |
16–13 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CLE -2.5 | 37.5 | 21343447 | Q4 | NYJ Q1 | 20–27 |
2025 · Week 7 |
CLE -2.5 | 35.5 | 3233037 | Q4 | CLE Q1 | 6–31 |
2025 · Week 6 |
PIT -6.5 | 37.5 | 3122232 | U | PIT Q3 | 9–23 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIN -3.5 | 35.5 | 14173138 | Q4 | MIN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
21–17 |
2024 · Week 18 |
TEN -2.5 | 36.5 | 7192237 | Q4 | HOU Q1 Late over |
23–14 |
2024 · Week 18 |
BUF -3.5 | 36.5 | 7243339 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
16–23 |
2024 · Week 18 |
PHI -2.5 | 35.5 | 7101333 | U | PHI Q1 | 13–20 |
2024 · Week 17 |
MIA -3.5 | 32.5 | 391623 | U | MIA Q3 | 20–3 |
2024 · Week 17 |
LV -2.5 | 37.5 | 3232635 | U | LV Q1 | 25–10 |
2024 · Week 17 |
PHI -7.5 | 37.5 | 14314148 | Q3 | PHI Q2 | 7–41 |
2024 · Week 12 |
PIT -3.5 | 36.5 | 0131643 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Lead lost |
19–24 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CHI -6.5 | 37.5 | 3161622 | U | NE Q1 | 19–3 |
2024 · Week 8 |
PIT -6.5 | 37.5 | 9182544 | Q4 | PIT Q3 | 18–26 |
2024 · Week 7 |
DEN -2.5 | 37.5 | 3192943 | Q4 | DEN Q1 Late over |
33–10 |
2024 · Week 6 |
LAC -2.5 | 37.5 | 10202339 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
23–16 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PIT -3.5 | 36.5 | 10192945 | Q4 | PIT Q2 Late over |
32–13 |
2024 · Week 5 |
DEN -2.5 | 35.5 | 10233052 | Q4 | DEN Q2 | 18–34 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MIA -2.5 | 36.5 | 10101925 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
15–10 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MIA -2.5 | 37.5 | 0122543 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late over |
31–12 |
2024 · Week 3 |
CLE -6.5 | 37.5 | 14282836 | U | NYG Q1 | 21–15 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TEN -2.5 | 36.5 | 24274144 | Q3 | GB Q1 | 30–14 |
2024 · Week 3 |
PIT -2.5 | 35.5 | 7172030 | U | PIT Q4 | 10–20 |
2023 · Week 18 |
LV -3 | 37.5 | 7242441 | Q4 | LV Q1 | 14–27 |
2023 · Week 18 |
LAC -3.5 | 35 | 7161925 | U | KC Q1 | 13–12 |
2023 · Week 18 |
CIN -7 | 37 | 14243145 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 14–31 |
2023 · Week 18 |
TB -4.5 | 36.5 | 0669 | U | TB Q2 | 9–0 |
2023 · Week 18 |
PIT -3 | 34 | 7141427 | U | PIT Q4 | 17–10 |
2023 · Week 17 |
CLE -7 | 33.5 | 27515157 | Q2 | CLE Q1 | 20–37 |
2023 · Week 16 |
DEN -7 | 37.5 | 7103049 | Q4 | NE Q2 | 26–23 |
2023 · Week 16 |
NYJ -3 | 36 | 17344158 | Q3 | WSH Q4 Late cover flip |
28–30 |
2023 · Week 15 |
MIA -7 | 35.5 | 7242730 | U | MIA Q2 | 0–30 |
2023 · Week 15 |
ATL -2.5 | 32.5 | 0101016 | U | CAR Q4 Lead lost |
7–9 |
2023 · Week 15 |
LV -3 | 36 | 21426384 | Q2 | LV Q1 | 21–63 |
PIT
TB
HOU
TEN
NYG
LAC
DEN
KC
LV
GB
MIN
IND
CLE
BAL
PHI
SF
NYJ
MIA
BUF
NE
NO
DAL
CHI
CIN
CAR
WSH
ATLWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 61% 42
Q2 14% 10
Q3 7% 5
Q4 14% 10
OT 1% 1
Push 1% 1
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 72% of 64 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 82% of 62 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 9 | 100% 9 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 8 | 100% 8 |
| 8–10 | 8 | 50% 4 |
| 11–14 | 13 | 62% 8 |
| 15–17 | 10 | 20% 2 |
| 18–21 | 10 | 20% 2 |
| 22+ | 10 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.