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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Totals 41–49 ✕

When did they go over?

905 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 41–49 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games905100%By halftime192%In Q314616%In Q430934%In OT121%Stayed under41946%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands10211%Over cashed12814%Leader lost the game708%
54% went over. Of the 486 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 34% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.

All 905 games

2023–2026 · Totals 41–49 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 8
 UVA -2.5 47.5 14202335 U DUKE Q4 19–16
2026 · Week 8
 NMSU -3 46.5 7244754 Q3 NMSU Q2 30–24
2026 · Week 8
 FIU -10.5 46.5 15213949 Q4 MTSU Q1 26–23
2026 · Week 7
 FRES -6.5 46.5 10263349 Q4 SDSU Q1
Late over
 23–26
2026 · Week 7
 UNM -14.5 46.5 3101731 U HAW Q1 21–10
2026 · Week 7
 OHIO -17.5 46.5 7274155 Q4 OHIO Q2 48–7
2026 · Week 7
 SJSU -6.5 46.5 772435 U SJSU Q1 24–11
2026 · Week 7
 ND -10.5 47.5 10313752 Q4 BYU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 24–28
2026 · Week 7
 UCLA -1.5 42.5 3101724 U UCLA Q1 7–17
2026 · Week 7
 OU -7 44.5 10172034 U UK Q1 21–13
2026 · Week 7
 VAN -5.5 48.5 7284952 Q3 ARK Q2 31–21
2026 · Week 7
 USF -20.5 46.5 2121931 U USF Q4 2–29
2026 · Week 7
 NDSU -14.5 42.5 0304148 Q4 NEV Q1 17–31
2026 · Week 7
 TLSA -3.5 47.5 7384155 Q4 TLSA Q2
Late over
 38–17
2026 · Week 7
 DUKE -3 46.5 10242744 U UNC Q1 24–20
2026 · Week 7
 MICH -6 43.5 331739 U PSU Q4 18–21
2026 · Week 7
 WYO -7 42.5 10264464 Q3 WYO Q1 23–41
2026 · Week 7
 M-OH -9.5 47.5 14244148 Q4 M-OH Q2 14–34
2026 · Week 7
 WMU -7.5 42.5 7142135 U CMU Q4
Late cover flip
 21–14
2026 · Week 7
 TEM -17.5 47.5 14214269 Q4 CLT Q1 38–31
2026 · Week 7
 BUFF -6.5 43.5 1023303643 U BUFF OT
Late cover flip
 18–25
2026 · Week 7
 PITT -6.5 42.5 19263948 Q4 BC Q1 21–27
2026 · Week 7
 BGSU -6 46.5 320274863 Q4 BALL Q1
Late over
 32–31
2026 · Week 7
 APP -1.5 48.5 21385267 Q3 APP Q3 35–32
2026 · Week 7
 GASO -3 44.5 14233038 U GASO Q2 23–15
2026 · Week 7
 JXST -3 44.5 21344851 Q3 Push
Late cover flip
 24–27
2026 · Week 6
 BOIS -8.5 48.5 28454869 Q4 FRES Q1 38–31
2026 · Week 6
 MINN -2.5 48.5 10234054 Q4 PUR Q1 13–41
2026 · Week 6
 AFA -7 48.5 7213535 U AFA Q3 28–7
2026 · Week 6
 LT -3 48.5 0233763 Q4 UL Q3
Lead lost
 31–32
2026 · Week 6
 NEV -10 48.5 7203043 U NEV Q3 30–13
2026 · Week 6
 NDSU -3 47.5 7141720 U UNLV Q1 7–13
2026 · Week 6
 DUKE -4.5 45.5 7243953 Q4 GT Q1
Late over
 25–28
2026 · Week 6
 ILL -2.5 48.5 1027406275 Q4 MSU Q4
Late cover flip
 38–37
2026 · Week 6
 NAVY -3 47.5 21344660 Q4 NAVY Q4
Late cover flip
 26–34
2026 · Week 6
 OHIO -2.5 45.5 14313845 U OHIO Q1 14–31
2026 · Week 6
 WMU -13.5 43.5 7283145 Q4 WMU Q2
Late over
 7–38
2026 · Week 6
 M-OH -6 44.5 21242739 U MASS Q4
Late cover flip
 20–19
2026 · Week 6
 ECU -10 46.5 7102340 U ECU Q4 12–28
2026 · Week 6
 APP -8.5 45.5 00513 U ODU Q1 10–3
2026 · Week 6
 IU -9.5 48.5 13131637 U NEB Q1 20–17
2026 · Week 6
 PITT -3.5 47.5 7172438 U UNC Q2 21–17
2026 · Week 6
 ARMY -5.5 48.5 7101737 U TULN Q2 17–20
2026 · Week 6
 BGSU -9.5 43.5 3202748 Q4 BGSU Q2 10–38
2026 · Week 6
 BYU -11.5 46.5 7172434 U BYU Q3
Late cover flip
 10–24
2026 · Week 6
 WASH -3 41.5 13305265 Q3 IOWA Q1 41–24
2026 · Week 6
 USU -4 44.5 6192633 U WSU Q1 16–17
2026 · Week 6
 SJSU -4.5 42.5 313192629 U WYO Q4 16–13
2026 · Week 6
 FIU -7 46.5 7131925 U FIU Q3 3–22
2026 · Week 6
 JXST -3 48.5 3304453 Q4 KENN Q1
Late over
 27–26
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 905

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 459
Q2 16% 142
Q3 14% 130
Q4 17% 156
OT 1% 8
Push 1% 10
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 72% of 831 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 76% of 849 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over165100% 165
1–36192% 56
4–710488% 91
8–107461% 45
11–1410161% 62
15–178636% 31
18–2110821% 23
22+2066% 13
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.