When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
270 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 35.5–43.5 · pick one to list those games
56% went over. Of the 150 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 38% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
All 270 games
2023–2026 · Totals 35.5–43.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
UCLA -1.5 | 42.5 | 3101724 | U | UCLA Q1 | 7–17 |
2026 · Week 7 |
NDSU -14.5 | 42.5 | 0304148 | Q4 | NEV Q1 | 17–31 |
2026 · Week 7 |
MICH -6 | 43.5 | 331739 | U | PSU Q4 | 18–21 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WYO -7 | 42.5 | 10264464 | Q3 | WYO Q1 | 23–41 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WMU -7.5 | 42.5 | 7142135 | U | CMU Q4 Late cover flip |
21–14 |
2026 · Week 7 |
BUFF -6.5 | 43.5 | 1023303643 | U | BUFF OT Late cover flip |
18–25 |
2026 · Week 7 |
PITT -6.5 | 42.5 | 19263948 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 21–27 |
2026 · Week 6 |
TEX -7.5 | 40.5 | 7242751 | Q4 | OU Q3 | 24–27 |
2026 · Week 6 |
WMU -13.5 | 43.5 | 7283145 | Q4 | WMU Q2 Late over |
7–38 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BGSU -9.5 | 43.5 | 3202748 | Q4 | BGSU Q2 | 10–38 |
2026 · Week 6 |
WASH -3 | 41.5 | 13305265 | Q3 | IOWA Q1 | 41–24 |
2026 · Week 6 |
SJSU -4.5 | 42.5 | 313192629 | U | WYO Q4 | 16–13 |
2026 · Week 5 |
M-OH -10.5 | 41.5 | 0161944 | Q4 | BGSU Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 5 |
WIS -8.5 | 43.5 | 14202734 | U | WIS Q1 | 3–31 |
2026 · Week 5 |
MICH -6.5 | 41.5 | 7212434 | U | MINN Q3 | 14–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FRES -12.5 | 43.5 | 7314162 | Q4 | FRES Q4 | 24–38 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PSU -9.5 | 43.5 | 3243044 | Q4 | WIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
UGA -11.5 | 43.5 | 7283754 | Q4 | UGA Q2 | 13–41 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 3 |
WMU -8.5 | 43.5 | 7212849 | Q4 | RICE Q1 Late over |
28–21 |
2026 · Week 3 |
WYO -1.5 | 39.5 | 3172734 | U | CMU Q1 | 10–24 |
2026 · Week 3 |
WIS -23.5 | 43.5 | 10384864 | Q3 | WIS Q2 | 10–54 |
2026 · Week 3 |
ISU -22.5 | 43.5 | 28425262 | Q3 | ISU Q2 | 7–55 |
2026 · Week 2 |
FRES -17.5 | 43.5 | 0324952 | Q3 | FRES Q2 | 3–49 |
2026 · Week 2 |
IOWA -14 | 42.5 | 0202329 | U | ISU Q1 | 13–16 |
2026 · Week 2 |
OU -5.5 | 43.5 | 7101727 | U | MICH Q1 | 10–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Postseason |
HOU -1.5 | 43.5 | 21354973 | Q3 | HOU Q2 | 35–38 |
2025 · Postseason |
MIZ -4 | 43.5 | 7102020 | U | UVA Q3 | 13–7 |
2025 · Postseason |
FRES -5.5 | 40.5 | 3121221 | U | FRES Q2 | 3–18 |
2025 · Postseason |
ARMY -7.5 | 41.5 | 14243757 | Q4 | ARMY Q3 | 16–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
NU -13.5 | 43.5 | 0213441 | U | NU Q2 | 7–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
OU -2.5 | 42.5 | 10344458 | Q3 | ALA Q2 | 34–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NAVY -6 | 37.5 | 7202633 | U | ARMY Q2 | 16–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ILL -7 | 43.5 | 3242733 | U | Push Late cover flip |
13–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WSU -14.5 | 42.5 | 3192540 | U | WSU Q2 | 8–32 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OSU -10 | 42.5 | 9263336 | U | OSU Q3 | 27–9 |
2025 · Week 14 |
M-OH -16.5 | 40.5 | 31414869 | Q2 | M-OH Q2 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SDSU -1.5 | 41.5 | 324343440 | U | UNM Q3 | 17–23 |
2025 · Week 14 |
IOWA -5.5 | 38.5 | 20404956 | Q2 | IOWA Q2 | 40–16 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ILL -8.5 | 41.5 | 7172737 | U | WIS Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 13 |
IOWA -17.5 | 43.5 | 7102437 | U | MSU Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WYO -6.5 | 40.5 | 071720 | U | NEV Q1 | 13–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OU -4.5 | 42.5 | 3202323 | U | OU Q2 | 6–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NU -4.5 | 41.5 | 10345673 | Q3 | MINN Q2 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
M-OH -2.5 | 38.5 | 3275157 | Q3 | M-OH Q2 | 37–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WMU -6.5 | 38.5 | 10273454 | Q4 | WMU Q3 | 35–19 |
WIS
UCLA
NEV
NDSU
PSU
MICH
NIU
WYO
WMU
CMU
MASS
BUFF
PITT
BC
TEX
OU
KENT
SAC
BGSU
IOWA
WASH
SJSU
M-OH
MSU
MINN
RICE
FRES
UGA
EMU
ISU
MIA
OSU
LSU
HOU
UVA
MIZ
CONN
ARMY
NU
ALA
NAVY
ILL
ORST
WSU
BALL
SDSU
UNM
NEB
TLSAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 44% 120
Q2 20% 53
Q3 15% 41
Q4 17% 47
OT 1% 4
Push 2% 5
The team leading at halftime won 81% and covered 74% of 246 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 78% of 251 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 57 | 100% 57 |
| 1–3 | 14 | 93% 13 |
| 4–7 | 32 | 91% 29 |
| 8–10 | 31 | 48% 15 |
| 11–14 | 25 | 56% 14 |
| 15–17 | 36 | 31% 11 |
| 18–21 | 30 | 27% 8 |
| 22+ | 45 | 7% 3 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.