When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
203 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 35–43 · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 117 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 37% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
All 203 games
2023–2026 · Totals 35–43 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
UCLA -1.5 | 42.5 | 3101724 | U | UCLA Q1 | 7–17 |
2026 · Week 7 |
NDSU -14.5 | 42.5 | 0304148 | Q4 | NEV Q1 | 17–31 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WYO -7 | 42.5 | 10264464 | Q3 | WYO Q1 | 23–41 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WMU -7.5 | 42.5 | 7142135 | U | CMU Q4 Late cover flip |
21–14 |
2026 · Week 7 |
PITT -6.5 | 42.5 | 19263948 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 21–27 |
2026 · Week 6 |
TEX -7.5 | 40.5 | 7242751 | Q4 | OU Q3 | 24–27 |
2026 · Week 6 |
WASH -3 | 41.5 | 13305265 | Q3 | IOWA Q1 | 41–24 |
2026 · Week 6 |
SJSU -4.5 | 42.5 | 313192629 | U | WYO Q4 | 16–13 |
2026 · Week 5 |
M-OH -10.5 | 41.5 | 0161944 | Q4 | BGSU Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 5 |
MICH -6.5 | 41.5 | 7212434 | U | MINN Q3 | 14–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 3 |
WYO -1.5 | 39.5 | 3172734 | U | CMU Q1 | 10–24 |
2026 · Week 2 |
IOWA -14 | 42.5 | 0202329 | U | ISU Q1 | 13–16 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Postseason |
FRES -5.5 | 40.5 | 3121221 | U | FRES Q2 | 3–18 |
2025 · Postseason |
ARMY -7.5 | 41.5 | 14243757 | Q4 | ARMY Q3 | 16–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
OU -2.5 | 42.5 | 10344458 | Q3 | ALA Q2 | 34–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NAVY -6 | 37.5 | 7202633 | U | ARMY Q2 | 16–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WSU -14.5 | 42.5 | 3192540 | U | WSU Q2 | 8–32 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OSU -10 | 42.5 | 9263336 | U | OSU Q3 | 27–9 |
2025 · Week 14 |
M-OH -16.5 | 40.5 | 31414869 | Q2 | M-OH Q2 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SDSU -1.5 | 41.5 | 324343440 | U | UNM Q3 | 17–23 |
2025 · Week 14 |
IOWA -5.5 | 38.5 | 20404956 | Q2 | IOWA Q2 | 40–16 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ILL -8.5 | 41.5 | 7172737 | U | WIS Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WYO -6.5 | 40.5 | 071720 | U | NEV Q1 | 13–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OU -4.5 | 42.5 | 3202323 | U | OU Q2 | 6–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NU -4.5 | 41.5 | 10345673 | Q3 | MINN Q2 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 13 |
M-OH -2.5 | 38.5 | 3275157 | Q3 | M-OH Q2 | 37–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WMU -6.5 | 38.5 | 10273454 | Q4 | WMU Q3 | 35–19 |
2025 · Week 12 |
FRES -2.5 | 40.5 | 10131327 | U | FRES Q1 | 3–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WAKE -3.5 | 37.5 | 7203040 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
12–28 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MICH -10.5 | 42.5 | 0133046 | Q4 | NU Q4 Lead lost |
24–22 |
2025 · Week 11 |
UNC -8.5 | 41.5 | 361335 | U | STAN Q1 Late cover flip |
15–20 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ORE -4.5 | 42.5 | 2192234 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip |
18–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
TOL -15.5 | 41.5 | 10313845 | Q4 | TOL Q2 | 3–42 |
2025 · Week 10 |
SDSU -10.5 | 41.5 | 14242431 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
7–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IOWA -7.5 | 39.5 | 17313744 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 3–41 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NIU -6.5 | 42.5 | 7142128 | U | NIU Q3 | 7–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 8 |
IOWA -3.5 | 41.5 | 10243749 | Q4 | PSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–25 |
2025 · Week 8 |
OSU -24.5 | 41.5 | 17172734 | U | OSU Q3 | 34–0 |
2025 · Week 8 |
OHIO -11.5 | 42.5 | 14294869 | Q3 | OHIO Q1 | 21–48 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SDSU -6.5 | 42.5 | 14354454 | Q3 | SDSU Q1 | 44–10 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UTAH -8.5 | 42.5 | 10244552 | Q3 | UTAH Q2 | 10–42 |
2025 · Week 7 |
IOWA -4.5 | 37.5 | 17233037 | U | IOWA Q1 | 37–0 |
2025 · Week 7 |
WMU -9.5 | 42.5 | 7212842 | U | WMU Q2 | 0–42 |
2025 · Week 6 |
OSU -23.5 | 42.5 | 10243145 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
3–42 |
2025 · Week 6 |
TEX -4.5 | 42.5 | 10264350 | Q3 | FLA Q1 | 21–29 |
WIS
UCLA
NEV
NDSU
NIU
WYO
WMU
CMU
PITT
BC
TEX
OU
IOWA
WASH
SJSU
BGSU
M-OH
MICH
MINN
ISU
MIA
OSU
FRES
CONN
ARMY
ALA
NAVY
ORST
WSU
LSU
BALL
SDSU
UNM
NEB
ILL
MIZ
NU
BUFF
UNC
WAKE
STAN
ORE
TOL
PSU
OHIO
ASU
UTAH
FLAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 47% 95
Q2 18% 37
Q3 15% 30
Q4 17% 35
OT 1% 2
Push 2% 4
The team leading at halftime won 81% and covered 76% of 186 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 79% of 189 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 43 | 100% 43 |
| 1–3 | 11 | 91% 10 |
| 4–7 | 26 | 88% 23 |
| 8–10 | 27 | 52% 14 |
| 11–14 | 19 | 63% 12 |
| 15–17 | 28 | 25% 7 |
| 18–21 | 17 | 29% 5 |
| 22+ | 32 | 9% 3 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.