When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
152 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 33.5–41.5 · pick one to list those games
62% went over. Of the 93 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
All 152 games
2023–2026 · Totals 33.5–41.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
TEX -7.5 | 40.5 | 7242751 | Q4 | OU Q3 | 24–27 |
2026 · Week 6 |
WASH -3 | 41.5 | 13305265 | Q3 | IOWA Q1 | 41–24 |
2026 · Week 5 |
M-OH -10.5 | 41.5 | 0161944 | Q4 | BGSU Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 5 |
MICH -6.5 | 41.5 | 7212434 | U | MINN Q3 | 14–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 3 |
WYO -1.5 | 39.5 | 3172734 | U | CMU Q1 | 10–24 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Postseason |
FRES -5.5 | 40.5 | 3121221 | U | FRES Q2 | 3–18 |
2025 · Postseason |
ARMY -7.5 | 41.5 | 14243757 | Q4 | ARMY Q3 | 16–41 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NAVY -6 | 37.5 | 7202633 | U | ARMY Q2 | 16–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
M-OH -16.5 | 40.5 | 31414869 | Q2 | M-OH Q2 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SDSU -1.5 | 41.5 | 324343440 | U | UNM Q3 | 17–23 |
2025 · Week 14 |
IOWA -5.5 | 38.5 | 20404956 | Q2 | IOWA Q2 | 40–16 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ILL -8.5 | 41.5 | 7172737 | U | WIS Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WYO -6.5 | 40.5 | 071720 | U | NEV Q1 | 13–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NU -4.5 | 41.5 | 10345673 | Q3 | MINN Q2 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 13 |
M-OH -2.5 | 38.5 | 3275157 | Q3 | M-OH Q2 | 37–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WMU -6.5 | 38.5 | 10273454 | Q4 | WMU Q3 | 35–19 |
2025 · Week 12 |
FRES -2.5 | 40.5 | 10131327 | U | FRES Q1 | 3–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WAKE -3.5 | 37.5 | 7203040 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
12–28 |
2025 · Week 11 |
UNC -8.5 | 41.5 | 361335 | U | STAN Q1 Late cover flip |
15–20 |
2025 · Week 11 |
TOL -15.5 | 41.5 | 10313845 | Q4 | TOL Q2 | 3–42 |
2025 · Week 10 |
SDSU -10.5 | 41.5 | 14242431 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
7–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IOWA -7.5 | 39.5 | 17313744 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 3–41 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 8 |
IOWA -3.5 | 41.5 | 10243749 | Q4 | PSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–25 |
2025 · Week 8 |
OSU -24.5 | 41.5 | 17172734 | U | OSU Q3 | 34–0 |
2025 · Week 7 |
IOWA -4.5 | 37.5 | 17233037 | U | IOWA Q1 | 37–0 |
2025 · Week 6 |
M-OH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14243639 | U | M-OH Q3 | 25–14 |
2025 · Week 6 |
SDSU -4.5 | 40.5 | 7384869 | Q3 | SDSU Q1 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 4 |
RICE -1.5 | 41.5 | 10233045 | Q4 | RICE Q1 | 28–17 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7173141 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
14–27 |
2025 · Week 2 |
HOU -13.5 | 38.5 | 0101744 | Q4 | HOU Q4 Late over |
35–9 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WIS -18.5 | 41.5 | 331017 | U | M-OH Q1 | 0–17 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MINN -16.5 | 41.5 | 0132333 | U | BUFF Q1 | 10–23 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIZ -1.5 | 41.5 | 21354551 | Q3 | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip |
24–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
NIU -2.5 | 40.5 | 1616262648 | OT | NIU OT Late cover flip Late over |
28–20 |
2024 · Week 16 |
ARMY -6.5 | 39.5 | 7213144 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 31–13 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BYU -9.5 | 39.5 | 14313448 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late cover flip |
18–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
LT -13.5 | 41.5 | 7172633 | U | LT Q2 | 0–33 |
2024 · Week 14 |
NIU -16.5 | 41.5 | 19374040 | U | CMU Q2 | 16–24 |
2024 · Week 14 |
OSU -20.5 | 41.5 | 3202023 | U | MICH Q1 | 13–10 |
2024 · Week 14 |
IOWA -3.5 | 41.5 | 3101323 | U | NEB Q1 | 10–13 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MINN -1.5 | 40.5 | 7142831 | U | MINN Q1 | 24–7 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BGSU -3 | 37.5 | 7191940 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 Late over |
28–12 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 10233756 | Q3 | MICH Q2 | 6–50 |
2024 · Week 13 |
NEB -1.5 | 40.5 | 14345169 | Q3 | NEB Q2 | 25–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FIU -8.5 | 41.5 | 3374353 | Q3 | KENN Q4 Lead lost |
26–27 |
TEX
OU
IOWA
WASH
BGSU
M-OH
MICH
MINN
WYO
CMU
MIA
OSU
FRES
CONN
ARMY
NAVY
LSU
WIS
BALL
SDSU
UNM
NEB
ILL
NEV
NU
BUFF
WMU
NIU
UNC
WAKE
STAN
TOL
PSU
CSU
RICE
CLT
CAL
HOU
MIZ
BYU
KENN
LT
FIUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 45% 68
Q2 16% 25
Q3 17% 26
Q4 18% 27
OT 1% 1
Push 3% 5
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 72% of 142 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 78% of 140 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 33 | 100% 33 |
| 1–3 | 7 | 86% 6 |
| 4–7 | 22 | 86% 19 |
| 8–10 | 22 | 59% 13 |
| 11–14 | 16 | 63% 10 |
| 15–17 | 22 | 27% 6 |
| 18–21 | 8 | 38% 3 |
| 22+ | 22 | 14% 3 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.