When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
104 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 32.5–40.5 · pick one to list those games
63% went over. Of the 65 overs, 6% had cashed by halftime and 37% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 104 games
2023–2026 · Totals 32.5–40.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
TEX -7.5 | 40.5 | 7242751 | Q4 | OU Q3 | 24–27 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 3 |
WYO -1.5 | 39.5 | 3172734 | U | CMU Q1 | 10–24 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Postseason |
FRES -5.5 | 40.5 | 3121221 | U | FRES Q2 | 3–18 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NAVY -6 | 37.5 | 7202633 | U | ARMY Q2 | 16–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
M-OH -16.5 | 40.5 | 31414869 | Q2 | M-OH Q2 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 14 |
IOWA -5.5 | 38.5 | 20404956 | Q2 | IOWA Q2 | 40–16 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WYO -6.5 | 40.5 | 071720 | U | NEV Q1 | 13–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
M-OH -2.5 | 38.5 | 3275157 | Q3 | M-OH Q2 | 37–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WMU -6.5 | 38.5 | 10273454 | Q4 | WMU Q3 | 35–19 |
2025 · Week 12 |
FRES -2.5 | 40.5 | 10131327 | U | FRES Q1 | 3–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WAKE -3.5 | 37.5 | 7203040 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
12–28 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IOWA -7.5 | 39.5 | 17313744 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 3–41 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 7 |
IOWA -4.5 | 37.5 | 17233037 | U | IOWA Q1 | 37–0 |
2025 · Week 6 |
M-OH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14243639 | U | M-OH Q3 | 25–14 |
2025 · Week 6 |
SDSU -4.5 | 40.5 | 7384869 | Q3 | SDSU Q1 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7173141 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
14–27 |
2025 · Week 2 |
HOU -13.5 | 38.5 | 0101744 | Q4 | HOU Q4 Late over |
35–9 |
2024 · Postseason |
NIU -2.5 | 40.5 | 1616262648 | OT | NIU OT Late cover flip Late over |
28–20 |
2024 · Week 16 |
ARMY -6.5 | 39.5 | 7213144 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 31–13 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BYU -9.5 | 39.5 | 14313448 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late cover flip |
18–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MINN -1.5 | 40.5 | 7142831 | U | MINN Q1 | 24–7 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BGSU -3 | 37.5 | 7191940 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 Late over |
28–12 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 10233756 | Q3 | MICH Q2 | 6–50 |
2024 · Week 13 |
NEB -1.5 | 40.5 | 14345169 | Q3 | NEB Q2 | 25–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
IOWA -4.5 | 39.5 | 3132542 | Q4 | IOWA Q2 Late over |
29–13 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BYU -3.5 | 40.5 | 3313443 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 Late over Lead lost |
22–21 |
2024 · Week 11 |
FRES -9.5 | 40.5 | 14384764 | Q3 | AFA Q1 | 28–36 |
2024 · Week 10 |
IOWA -2.5 | 40.5 | 3173152 | Q4 | IOWA Q2 | 10–42 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NEB -8.5 | 39.5 | 3204147 | Q3 | UCLA Q1 | 27–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ARMY -18.5 | 38.5 | 391623 | U | AFA Q1 | 3–20 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MICH -3.5 | 39.5 | 7162641 | Q4 | MICH Q3 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTAH -4.5 | 35.5 | 7142131 | U | HOU Q4 | 14–17 |
2024 · Week 9 |
IOWA -16.5 | 37.5 | 3194754 | Q3 | IOWA Q3 | 14–40 |
2024 · Week 8 |
IOWA -6.5 | 39.5 | 6123352 | Q4 | MSU Q1 | 20–32 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SC -2.5 | 40.5 | 21354144 | Q3 | SC Q1 | 35–9 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7102438 | U | MINN Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–17 |
2024 · Week 6 |
WASH -1.5 | 39.5 | 7243144 | Q4 | WASH Q4 | 17–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NEB -5.5 | 40.5 | 7141421 | U | NEB Q1 | 7–14 |
2024 · Week 6 |
IU -12.5 | 38.5 | 7274165 | Q3 | IU Q4 Late cover flip |
41–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NIU -13.5 | 40.5 | 14202654 | Q4 | NIU Q4 Late over |
20–34 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NAVY -9.5 | 37.5 | 14283441 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 34–7 |
2024 · Week 5 |
AFA -4.5 | 33.5 | 7203450 | Q3 | WYO Q3 | 19–31 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 7242751 | Q4 | MINN Q4 | 24–27 |
2024 · Week 4 |
SC -22.5 | 40.5 | 15293657 | Q4 | SC Q4 | 7–50 |
2024 · Week 4 |
IOWA -2.5 | 34.5 | 7213845 | Q3 | IOWA Q3 | 31–14 |
TEX
OU
IOWA
MICH
WYO
CMU
MIA
OSU
M-OH
FRES
ARMY
NAVY
LSU
WIS
MINN
BALL
NEB
NEV
BUFF
WMU
NIU
UNC
WAKE
CSU
SDSU
CAL
HOU
RICE
BYU
BGSU
NU
MD
UTAH
AFA
UCLA
MSU
SC
WASH
RUTG
IU
MASS
AKRWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 41% 43
Q2 17% 18
Q3 17% 18
Q4 18% 19
OT 1% 1
Push 5% 5
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 70% of 98 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 79% of 97 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 24 | 100% 24 |
| 1–3 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 17 | 76% 13 |
| 8–10 | 13 | 69% 9 |
| 11–14 | 11 | 55% 6 |
| 15–17 | 17 | 29% 5 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 22+ | 14 | 7% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.