When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
64 games · 2025 · Week 14 · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 29 overs, 7% had cashed by halftime and 31% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 11% of games.
All 64 games
2025 · Week 14 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 14 |
HAW -8.5 | 44.5 | 14273434 | U | HAW Q2 | 7–27 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ND -32.5 | 49.5 | 14384869 | Q4 | STAN Q4 Late cover flip |
49–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
FRES -3 | 44.5 | 3283155 | Q4 | FRES Q2 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UNLV -7.5 | 52.5 | 10314559 | Q4 | UNLV Q2 Late over |
42–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SMU -13.5 | 52.5 | 10243873 | Q4 | CAL Q1 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ALA -7 | 48.5 | 10233347 | U | Push Late cover flip |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USC -21.5 | 59.5 | 7172439 | U | UCLA Q1 | 10–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TULN -29.5 | 51.5 | 14212127 | U | CLT Q1 | 0–27 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ILL -7 | 43.5 | 3242733 | U | Push Late cover flip |
13–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
NCSU -7 | 48.5 | 14384161 | Q4 | NCSU Q1 | 19–42 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UVA -8.5 | 52.5 | 7142434 | U | UVA Q2 | 7–27 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MSU -4 | 49.5 | 7315966 | Q3 | MSU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–38 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USF -28.5 | 57.5 | 14314155 | U | USF Q3 | 3–52 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WSU -14.5 | 42.5 | 3192540 | U | WSU Q2 | 8–32 |
2025 · Week 14 |
FSU -1.5 | 49.5 | 10314561 | Q4 | FLA Q1 Late over |
21–40 |
2025 · Week 14 |
JMU -23.5 | 53.5 | 17304169 | Q4 | JMU Q4 | 59–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ORE -6.5 | 51.5 | 3202640 | U | ORE Q3 | 26–14 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TENN -2.5 | 66.5 | 14425269 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 45–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MIZ -4.5 | 54.5 | 14313748 | U | MIZ Q4 | 31–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
PSU -14 | 55.5 | 28456176 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 | 40–36 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DUKE -2.5 | 53.5 | 17386081 | Q3 | DUKE Q1 | 32–49 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TCU -3 | 58.5 | 28485568 | Q4 | TCU Q1 | 23–45 |
2025 · Week 14 |
KENN -2.5 | 55.5 | 1428427090 | Q4 | KENN OT | 48–42 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USM -6.5 | 50.5 | 0172446 | U | TROY Q1 | 28–18 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTSA -8.5 | 50.5 | 7273051 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BC -2.5 | 54.5 | 3122646 | U | BC Q3 | 34–12 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UL -10.5 | 47.5 | 2730305457 | Q4 | ULM Q1 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TXST -9.5 | 62.5 | 17284275 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 26–49 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TLSA -9.5 | 56.5 | 10273455 | U | UAB Q1 | 31–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARST -1.5 | 54.5 | 6324659 | Q4 | APP Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WKU -1.5 | 56.5 | 21526271 | Q3 | JXST Q3 | 34–37 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MOST -2.5 | 45.5 | 7243872 | Q4 | LT Q1 | 42–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ODU -28.5 | 58.5 | 0203737 | U | GAST Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MRSH -10.5 | 62.5 | 17203643 | U | GASO Q1 | 24–19 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DEL -4.5 | 55.5 | 14517292 | Q3 | DEL Q2 | 31–61 |
2025 · Week 14 |
FIU -10.5 | 50.5 | 29385272 | Q3 | FIU Q1 | 56–16 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OSU -10 | 42.5 | 9263336 | U | OSU Q3 | 27–9 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TTU -24.5 | 53.5 | 21284249 | U | TTU Q2 | 49–0 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MIA -6.5 | 48.5 | 3243845 | U | MIA Q2 | 38–7 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UK -1.5 | 45.5 | 7202741 | U | LOU Q1 | 0–41 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SC -2.5 | 46.5 | 0313442 | U | CLEM Q1 | 28–14 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BAY -2.5 | 57.5 | 7263355 | U | HOU Q1 | 31–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
KSU -16.5 | 49.5 | 7142138 | U | COLO Q1 | 14–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ISU -14 | 47.5 | 3172733 | U | OKST Q1 | 20–13 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ECU -6.5 | 66.5 | 24454545 | U | ECU Q1 | 42–3 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TOL -10.5 | 46.5 | 031024 | U | TOL Q4 | 21–3 |
2025 · Week 14 |
M-OH -16.5 | 40.5 | 31414869 | Q2 | M-OH Q2 | 24–45 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARIZ -2.5 | 48.5 | 0102030 | U | ARIZ Q3 | 23–7 |
WYO
HAW
ND
STAN
FRES
SJSU
UNLV
NEV
SMU
CAL
ALA
AUB
UCLA
USC
CLT
TULN
NU
ILL
UNC
NCSU
VT
UVA
MD
MSU
RICE
USF
ORST
WSU
FSU
FLA
JMU
CCU
ORE
WASH
LSU
OU
VAN
TENN
MIZ
ARK
WIS
MINN
PSU
RUTG
WAKE
DUKE
CIN
TCU
KENN
LIB
TROY
USM
ARMY
UTSA
BC
SYR
ULM
UL
USA
TXST
UAB
TLSA
ARST
APP
WKU
JXST
LT
MOST
GAST
ODU
GASO
MRSH
UTEP
DEL
FIU
SHSU
OSU
MICH
TTU
WVU
MIA
PITT
UK
LOU
CLEM
SC
HOU
BAY
COLO
KSU
ISU
OKST
ECU
FAU
TOL
CMU
BALL
M-OH
ARIZ
ASUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 47% 30
Q2 22% 14
Q3 16% 10
Q4 9% 6
OT 2% 1
Push 5% 3
The team leading at halftime won 81% and covered 67% of 57 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 95% and covered 76% of 58 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 9 | 100% 9 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 8–10 | 6 | 67% 4 |
| 11–14 | 9 | 44% 4 |
| 15–17 | 7 | 29% 2 |
| 18–21 | 8 | 38% 3 |
| 22+ | 18 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.