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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

52 games · 2025 · Week 10 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games52100%By halftime12%In Q31121%In Q41223%In OT00%Stayed under2854%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands612%Over cashed816%Leader lost the game714%
46% went over. Of the 24 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.

All 52 games

2025 · Week 10 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Week 10
 SJSU -2.5 55.5 14456683 Q3 SJSU Q2 38–45
2025 · Week 10
 UTAH -9.5 58.5 21315259 Q4 UTAH Q2
Late over
 14–45
2025 · Week 10
 TROY -7.5 52.5 17202333 U ARST Q1 23–10
2025 · Week 10
 GT -4.5 58.5 21416884 Q3 NCSU Q1 36–48
2025 · Week 10
 TENN -2.5 55.5 17264060 Q4 OU Q2
Late over
 33–27
2025 · Week 10
 USC -4.5 58.5 7202838 U NEB Q1 21–17
2025 · Week 10
 AUB -11.5 44.5 061313 U UK Q1 10–3
2025 · Week 10
 WSU -3.5 47.5 0101017 U ORST Q4 7–10
2025 · Week 10
 FSU -12.5 50.5 0142849 U FSU Q2 7–42
2025 · Week 10
 MISS -13.5 56.5 17243444 U MISS Q4 14–30
2025 · Week 10
 MICH -22.5 48.5 7212437 U PUR Q1 16–21
2025 · Week 10
 ARIZ -3.5 51.5 17456669 Q3 ARIZ Q1 52–17
2025 · Week 10
 SDSU -10.5 41.5 14242431 U SDSU Q4
Late cover flip
 7–24
2025 · Week 10
 ARK -5.5 66.5 7204973 Q4 MSST Q4
Late over Lead lost
 38–35
2025 · Week 10
 KU -24.5 53.5 10173859 Q4 OKST Q1
Late over
 21–38
2025 · Week 10
 WMU -5.5 43.5 7212845 Q4 CMU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 21–24
2025 · Week 10
 UVA -5.5 52.5 10243852 U UVA Q1
Late cover flip
 31–21
2025 · Week 10
 IU -21.5 50.5 10235165 Q3 IU Q3 55–10
2025 · Week 10
 UGA -6.5 50.5 17203444 U FLA Q1
Lead lost
 24–20
2025 · Week 10
 ND -30.5 55.5 0192835 U BC Q1 25–10
2025 · Week 10
 TTU -7.5 51.5 7194363 Q4 TTU Q3
Late over
 43–20
2025 · Week 10
 MINN -5.5 44.5 710173443 U MSU Q3 20–23
2025 · Week 10
 PITT -13.5 52.5 17344855 Q4 PITT Q3
Late over
 35–20
2025 · Week 10
 LIB -3.5 52.5 10377389 Q3 LIB Q1 30–59
2025 · Week 10
 WKU -7.5 54.5 3203751 U WKU Q2 16–35
2025 · Week 10
 BOIS -17.5 47.5 7173137 U FRES Q1 30–7
2025 · Week 10
 ODU -16.5 55.5 17242437 U ODU Q1 31–6
2025 · Week 10
 USA -3.5 52.5 10314553 Q4 UL Q1 31–22
2025 · Week 10
 LOU -10.5 52.5 16233744 U LOU Q4
Late cover flip
 28–16
2025 · Week 10
 UNLV -4.5 60.5 7526275 Q3 UNM Q1
Lead lost
 40–35
2025 · Week 10
 ECU -5.5 58.5 21425659 Q4 ECU Q1 45–14
2025 · Week 10
 ISU -8.5 48.5 6334343 U ASU Q1 24–19
2025 · Week 10
 OSU -17.5 45.5 7314552 Q4 OSU Q4 14–38
2025 · Week 10
 TEX -3.5 48.5 17344465 Q4 VAN Q4
Late cover flip
 31–34
2025 · Week 10
 MIA -6.5 46.5 717344046 U SMU Q2
Lead lost
 20–26
2025 · Week 10
 HOU -12.5 49.5 21425980 Q3 WVU Q1 45–35
2025 · Week 10
 ILL -12.5 63.5 7274148 U ILL Q2 13–35
2025 · Week 10
 CLEM -4.5 55.5 28567391 Q2 DUKE Q1
Late cover flip Lead lost
 46–45
2025 · Week 10
 BAY -3.5 58.5 14232633 U BAY Q1 3–30
2025 · Week 10
 CONN -10.5 61.5 7244457 U CONN Q2 19–38
2025 · Week 10
 ARMY -1.5 48.5 10132037 U ARMY Q4 20–17
2025 · Week 10
 UNT -6.5 68.5 14344848 U UNT Q1 17–31
2025 · Week 10
 BGSU -2.5 44.5 7212831 U BUFF Q1 28–3
2025 · Week 10
 LT -16.5 48.5 14275569 Q3 LT Q2 14–55
2025 · Week 10
 SYR -1.5 45.5 10163037 U UNC Q3 27–10
2025 · Week 10
 MEM -13.5 48.5 14384552 Q4 MEM Q1
Late over
 38–14
2025 · Week 10
 MRSH -7.5 55.5 13376471 Q3 CCU Q1 27–44
2025 · Week 10
 TULN -5.5 54.5 16435774 Q3 UTSA Q1 26–48
2025 · Week 10
 MOST -3.5 50.5 14283549 U MOST Q3 21–28
2025 · Week 10
 JXST -4.5 54.5 6132145 U MTSU Q1
Lead lost
 24–21
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 52

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 28
Q2 17% 9
Q3 12% 6
Q4 17% 9
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 74% of 47 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 91% and covered 83% of 47 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over12100% 12
1–32100% 2
4–7580% 4
8–102100% 2
11–1420% 0
15–171030% 3
18–21520% 1
22+140% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.