When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
52 games · 2024 · Week 7 · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 28 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 27% of games.
All 52 games
2024 · Week 7 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 7 |
BOIS -20.5 | 60.5 | 10202035 | U | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip |
28–7 |
2024 · Week 7 |
KSU -3.5 | 54.5 | 14213859 | Q4 | COLO Q4 Late over |
31–28 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7102438 | U | MINN Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–17 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ISU -3 | 53.5 | 7242444 | U | ISU Q2 | 28–16 |
2024 · Week 7 |
SYR -1.5 | 51.5 | 3172441 | U | SYR Q1 | 24–17 |
2024 · Week 7 |
GASO -1.5 | 57.5 | 9192647 | U | MRSH Q1 Lead lost |
23–24 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UK -12.5 | 43.5 | 7212433 | U | VAN Q1 | 20–13 |
2024 · Week 7 |
OSU -3.5 | 54.5 | 13435063 | Q4 | ORE Q4 Lead lost |
31–32 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MISS -3.5 | 64.5 | 030364655 | U | LSU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
26–29 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ORST -2.5 | 45.5 | 14314579 | Q4 | NEV Q4 | 37–42 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UL -10.5 | 63.5 | 3313758 | U | APP Q1 | 24–34 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TENN -13.5 | 54.5 | 33203440 | U | FLA Q1 | 17–23 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNM -6.5 | 54.5 | 10456289 | Q3 | UNM Q2 | 37–52 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WSU -3.5 | 60.5 | 20203042 | U | WSU Q4 | 25–17 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TXST -13.5 | 66.5 | 17264050 | U | TXST Q3 | 9–41 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNT -5.5 | 58.5 | 21446178 | Q3 | FAU Q2 Lead lost |
41–37 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UTSA -3.5 | 51.5 | 0193656 | Q4 | RICE Q1 Late over |
27–29 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ULM -4.5 | 41.5 | 10203159 | Q4 | ULM Q4 | 21–38 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UGA -34.5 | 54.5 | 13375872 | Q3 | MSST Q1 | 31–41 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BYU -2.5 | 48.5 | 7213760 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late over |
19–41 |
2024 · Week 7 |
OHIO -2.5 | 49.5 | 3243252 | Q4 | CMU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–25 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TEX -16.5 | 48.5 | 3242737 | U | TEX Q2 | 34–3 |
2024 · Week 7 |
PSU -3.5 | 51.5 | 1026436063 | Q4 | USC Q1 Lead lost |
33–30 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ND -22.5 | 45.5 | 14284956 | Q3 | ND Q3 | 7–49 |
2024 · Week 7 |
PITT -3.5 | 56.5 | 13262632 | U | CAL Q4 | 15–17 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ILL -21.5 | 46.5 | 1027478699 | Q3 | PUR Q1 | 49–50 |
2024 · Week 7 |
LOU -7.5 | 52.5 | 7143044 | U | UVA Q1 Lead lost |
24–20 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UCF -2.5 | 57.5 | 3132332 | U | CIN Q1 | 19–13 |
2024 · Week 7 |
CSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 14283555 | Q4 | CSU Q3 Late over |
24–31 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WYO -1.5 | 41.5 | 17313451 | Q4 | SDSU Q1 | 27–24 |
2024 · Week 7 |
GAST -2.5 | 53.5 | 7142135 | U | ODU Q1 | 21–14 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WMU -9.5 | 48.5 | 10415558 | Q3 | WMU Q4 | 24–34 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BGSU -3.5 | 46.5 | 10131324 | U | NIU Q2 | 17–7 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MEM -10.5 | 58.5 | 14171724 | U | MEM Q1 | 21–3 |
2024 · Week 7 |
M-OH -2.5 | 46.5 | 14283552 | Q4 | M-OH Q2 Late over |
38–14 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ALA -19.5 | 49.5 | 7263352 | Q4 | SC Q1 Late over |
25–27 |
2024 · Week 7 |
CLEM -21.5 | 63.5 | 7425663 | U | CLEM Q3 | 49–14 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MIZ -27.5 | 53.5 | 14274848 | U | MIZ Q3 | 45–3 |
2024 · Week 7 |
IOWA -2.5 | 41.5 | 7303356 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 16–40 |
2024 · Week 7 |
RUTG -1.5 | 43.5 | 14142849 | Q4 | WIS Q1 Late over |
42–7 |
2024 · Week 7 |
GT -3.5 | 60.5 | 14345175 | Q4 | GT Q4 Late over |
41–34 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BALL -3.5 | 58.5 | 10274172 | Q4 | KENT Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
37–35 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TOL -10.5 | 44.5 | 772845 | Q4 | BUFF Q1 | 15–30 |
2024 · Week 7 |
ARMY -25.5 | 55.5 | 23374454 | U | ARMY Q2 | 10–44 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UTAH -5.5 | 46.5 | 12223646 | U | ASU Q1 | 19–27 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNLV -18.5 | 66.5 | 21486884 | Q3 | USU Q4 Late cover flip |
50–34 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MD -10.5 | 44.5 | 7242447 | Q4 | NU Q1 Late over |
37–10 |
2024 · Week 7 |
LT -4.5 | 47.5 | 34486969 | Q2 | LT Q1 | 21–48 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WKU -18.5 | 54.5 | 21345161 | Q4 | WKU Q4 | 17–44 |
2024 · Week 7 |
JMU -6.5 | 58.5 | 14364346 | U | JMU Q2 | 7–39 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 22
Q2 19% 10
Q3 12% 6
Q4 27% 14
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 69% of 49 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 72% of 50 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 8 | 100% 8 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 11–14 | 5 | 60% 3 |
| 15–17 | 7 | 71% 5 |
| 18–21 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 22+ | 17 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.