When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
66 games · 2024 · Week 14 · pick one to list those games
53% went over. Of the 35 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 66 games
2024 · Week 14 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
UNM -6.5 | 61.5 | 7304768 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
30–38 |
2024 · Week 14 |
AFA -6.5 | 43.5 | 21314551 | Q3 | AFA Q3 | 31–20 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BYU -9.5 | 39.5 | 14313448 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late cover flip |
18–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNLV -17.5 | 54.5 | 17313852 | U | UNLV Q3 | 14–38 |
2024 · Week 14 |
VT -4.5 | 44.5 | 10234154 | Q4 | VT Q1 | 17–37 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JMU -2.5 | 52.5 | 1417344868 | OT | MRSH Q3 Late over |
35–33 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ORE -17.5 | 50.5 | 10424970 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 21–49 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TEX -4.5 | 49.5 | 7172424 | U | TEX Q1 | 17–7 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ISU -2.5 | 51.5 | 14384550 | U | ISU Q2 | 21–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
IU -28.5 | 56.5 | 7284566 | Q4 | IU Q3 | 0–66 |
2024 · Week 14 |
FLA -17.5 | 45.5 | 7142042 | U | FLA Q4 | 31–11 |
2024 · Week 14 |
LSU -4.5 | 47.5 | 14414854 | Q3 | LSU Q2 | 17–37 |
2024 · Week 14 |
WSU -18.5 | 55.5 | 10202329 | U | WYO Q1 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TCU -2.5 | 58.5 | 7272733 | U | TCU Q1 | 20–13 |
2024 · Week 14 |
GASO -2.5 | 60.5 | 8212849 | U | GASO Q4 Late cover flip |
20–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JXST -0.5 | 62.5 | 10202336 | U | WKU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–19 |
2024 · Week 14 |
LT -13.5 | 41.5 | 7172633 | U | LT Q2 | 0–33 |
2024 · Week 14 |
NMSU -3.5 | 51.5 | 24385277 | Q3 | UTEP Q3 | 42–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
PSU -26.5 | 50.5 | 10383851 | Q4 | PSU Q4 Late over |
7–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ND -6.5 | 52.5 | 7285684 | Q3 | ND Q3 | 49–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MIA -12.5 | 65.5 | 14356380 | Q4 | SYR Q2 | 38–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
SMU -11.5 | 54.5 | 14212444 | U | SMU Q1 | 6–38 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ALA -10.5 | 50.5 | 7204242 | U | ALA Q3 | 14–28 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ASU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14354256 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 49–7 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MIZ -3.5 | 51.5 | 7142449 | U | MIZ Q4 | 21–28 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MSU -1.5 | 46.5 | 17303855 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 | 41–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UCLA -7.5 | 46.5 | 3162333 | U | FRES Q1 | 13–20 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNC -2.5 | 54.5 | 7133365 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 Late over |
35–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
NIU -16.5 | 41.5 | 19374040 | U | CMU Q2 | 16–24 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CLT -1.5 | 59.5 | 7273356 | U | CLT Q3 | 27–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
FAU -2.5 | 57.5 | 9517279 | Q3 | FAU Q1 | 63–16 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BC -3.5 | 50.5 | 6304457 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 23–34 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ODU -5.5 | 58.5 | 21356972 | Q3 | ODU Q1 | 40–32 |
2024 · Week 14 |
FIU -9.5 | 50.5 | 14454559 | Q4 | FIU Q1 | 24–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
GAST -0.5 | 52.5 | 7275075 | Q4 | CCU Q1 | 48–27 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TROY -17.5 | 48.5 | 18254572 | Q4 | TROY Q4 | 20–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
USF -5.5 | 53.5 | 24344963 | Q4 | RICE Q1 Late over |
28–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
WMU -6.5 | 56.5 | 0163844 | U | WMU Q2 | 18–26 |
2024 · Week 14 |
OSU -20.5 | 41.5 | 3202023 | U | MICH Q1 | 13–10 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TENN -9.5 | 45.5 | 24415059 | Q3 | TENN Q3 | 36–23 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CLEM -2.5 | 48.5 | 0142131 | U | SC Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ILL -8.5 | 42.5 | 17244866 | Q3 | ILL Q4 | 38–28 |
2024 · Week 14 |
LOU -3.5 | 48.5 | 7204155 | Q4 | LOU Q1 | 41–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CONN -9.5 | 49.5 | 28556189 | Q2 | MASS Q1 | 47–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
DUKE -3.5 | 53.5 | 0132740 | U | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip |
23–17 |
2024 · Week 14 |
KU -2.5 | 62.5 | 21315962 | U | BAY Q1 | 17–45 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TTU -2.5 | 61.5 | 9385167 | Q4 | TTU Q1 Late over |
15–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UL -8.5 | 50.5 | 9263660 | Q4 | UL Q4 Late over |
37–23 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ARMY -6.5 | 53.5 | 14233353 | U | UTSA Q1 | 24–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNT -10.5 | 63.5 | 20414141 | U | TEM Q2 | 24–17 |
UNM
HAW
AFA
SDSU
HOU
BYU
NEV
UNLV
UVA
VT
MRSH
JMU
WASH
ORE
TEX
TA&M
KSU
ISU
PUR
IU
FLA
FSU
OU
LSU
WYO
WSU
TCU
CIN
APP
GASO
JXST
WKU
KENN
LT
UTEP
NMSU
MD
PSU
ND
USC
MIA
SYR
CAL
SMU
AUB
ALA
ASU
ARIZ
ARK
MIZ
RUTG
MSU
FRES
UCLA
NCSU
UNC
CMU
NIU
UAB
CLT
FAU
TLSA
PITT
BC
ODU
ARST
MTSU
FIU
CCU
GAST
USM
TROY
USF
RICE
EMU
WMU
MICH
OSU
TENN
VAN
SC
CLEM
ILL
NU
LOU
UK
CONN
MASS
DUKE
WAKE
KU
BAY
WVU
TTU
UL
ULM
UTSA
ARMY
UNT
TEMWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 52% 34
Q2 15% 10
Q3 17% 11
Q4 17% 11
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 80% of 60 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 81% of 64 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 10 | 100% 10 |
| 1–3 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 4–7 | 8 | 75% 6 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 11–14 | 8 | 75% 6 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 18–21 | 6 | 50% 3 |
| 22+ | 22 | 9% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.