When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
50 games · 2024 · Week 11 · pick one to list those games
46% went over. Of the 23 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 30% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 10% of games.
All 50 games
2024 · Week 11 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 11 |
WSU -20.5 | 67.5 | 14284977 | Q4 | WSU Q3 Late over |
28–49 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BYU -3.5 | 40.5 | 3313443 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 Late over Lead lost |
22–21 |
2024 · Week 11 |
FRES -9.5 | 40.5 | 14384764 | Q3 | AFA Q1 | 28–36 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UNLV -12.5 | 50.5 | 19224256 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
29–27 |
2024 · Week 11 |
PSU -13.5 | 48.5 | 7283141 | U | PSU Q2 | 6–35 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BOIS -23.5 | 60.5 | 21283549 | U | NEV Q1 | 21–28 |
2024 · Week 11 |
PITT -7.5 | 56.5 | 0203443 | U | UVA Q1 | 24–19 |
2024 · Week 11 |
OU -3.5 | 41.5 | 0121953 | Q4 | MIZ Q3 Late over |
23–30 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ND -25.5 | 44.5 | 10243455 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late over |
3–52 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ALA -2.5 | 57.5 | 17273455 | U | ALA Q1 | 42–13 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ORE -24 | 57.5 | 10313957 | U | MD Q1 | 18–39 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TENN -26.5 | 61.5 | 7274447 | U | MSST Q1 | 14–33 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ASU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14385266 | Q4 | ASU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–35 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TCU -10.5 | 69.5 | 10243751 | U | TCU Q2 | 13–38 |
2024 · Week 11 |
WKU -18 | 53.5 | 21315269 | Q4 | NMSU Q1 Late cover flip |
41–28 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UL -14.5 | 59.5 | 10376074 | Q3 | UL Q2 | 19–55 |
2024 · Week 11 |
JXST -9.5 | 55.5 | 1449587481 | Q3 | LT Q1 Lead lost |
44–37 |
2024 · Week 11 |
SC -5.5 | 45.5 | 072835 | U | SC Q2 | 28–7 |
2024 · Week 11 |
COLO -4.5 | 62.5 | 13235168 | Q4 | COLO Q3 Late over |
41–27 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UTEP -4.5 | 42.5 | 1421425678 | Q4 | UTEP OT | 35–43 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TULN -25.5 | 50.5 | 7284258 | Q4 | TULN Q2 | 6–52 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CLEM -6.5 | 54.5 | 072138 | U | CLEM Q3 | 24–14 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UGA -1.5 | 54.5 | 17233238 | U | MISS Q1 | 10–28 |
2024 · Week 11 |
IU -14.5 | 47.5 | 10202635 | U | MICH Q1 | 15–20 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ISU -2.5 | 50.5 | 21445881 | Q3 | KU Q1 | 36–45 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ARMY -6.5 | 66.5 | 10101017 | U | ARMY Q4 | 14–3 |
2024 · Week 11 |
NCSU -3.5 | 51.5 | 12213148 | U | DUKE Q1 | 29–19 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ORST -2.5 | 56.5 | 0202337 | U | SJSU Q4 | 24–13 |
2024 · Week 11 |
JMU -15.5 | 54.5 | 14354545 | U | JMU Q2 | 7–38 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MRSH -13.5 | 52.5 | 3203740 | U | MRSH Q2 | 37–3 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CONN -7.5 | 53.5 | 6233354 | Q4 | CONN Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
31–23 |
2024 · Week 11 |
LIB -12.5 | 54.5 | 14343754 | U | LIB Q2 | 37–17 |
2024 · Week 11 |
OSU -37.5 | 55.5 | 7213845 | U | OSU Q3 | 0–45 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MIA -9.5 | 64.5 | 17243751 | U | GT Q1 | 23–28 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TEX -24.5 | 48.5 | 14355266 | Q3 | TEX Q2 | 17–49 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MINN -6.5 | 44.5 | 16233045 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Late over |
19–26 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BC -5.5 | 51.5 | 7285168 | Q4 | BC Q3 | 31–37 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CIN -5.5 | 54.5 | 7243855 | Q4 | WVU Q2 Late over |
31–24 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TXST -9.5 | 49.5 | 14284255 | Q4 | TXST Q1 Late over |
38–17 |
2024 · Week 11 |
NAVY -4.5 | 59.5 | 14212135 | U | NAVY Q1 | 28–7 |
2024 · Week 11 |
SDSU -1.5 | 65.5 | 17273037 | U | UNM Q4 | 21–16 |
2024 · Week 11 |
IOWA -6.5 | 44.5 | 10272737 | U | UCLA Q2 | 17–20 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MEM -7.5 | 50.5 | 6303047 | U | RICE Q1 Late cover flip |
20–27 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CAL -7.5 | 54.5 | 17435782 | Q3 | CAL Q2 | 46–36 |
2024 · Week 11 |
APP -1.5 | 62.5 | 14274162 | U | CCU Q1 | 24–38 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ECU -5.5 | 58.5 | 21424963 | Q4 | ECU Q1 Late over |
14–49 |
2024 · Week 11 |
OHIO -20.5 | 53.5 | 10203441 | U | OHIO Q3 | 41–0 |
2024 · Week 11 |
NIU -2.5 | 51.5 | 7356370 | Q3 | NIU Q2 | 42–28 |
2024 · Week 11 |
M-OH -12.5 | 48.5 | 14344248 | U | BALL Q1 | 27–21 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BGSU -14.5 | 47.5 | 3162336 | U | CMU Q1 Late cover flip |
23–13 |
USU
WSU
BYU
UTAH
FRES
AFA
UNLV
HAW
WASH
PSU
NEV
BOIS
UVA
PITT
OU
MIZ
FSU
ND
ALA
LSU
MD
ORE
MSST
TENN
UCF
ASU
OKST
TCU
WKU
NMSU
ARST
UL
JXST
LT
SC
VAN
COLO
TTU
KENN
UTEP
TEM
TULN
CLEM
VT
UGA
MISS
MICH
IU
ISU
KU
ARMY
UNT
DUKE
NCSU
SJSU
ORST
GAST
JMU
MRSH
USM
CONN
UAB
LIB
MTSU
PUR
OSU
MIA
GT
FLA
TEX
MINN
RUTG
SYR
BC
WVU
CIN
TXST
ULM
NAVY
USF
UNM
SDSU
IOWA
UCLA
RICE
MEM
CAL
WAKE
APP
CCU
FAU
ECU
OHIO
KENT
NIU
WMU
M-OH
BALL
BGSU
CMUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 46% 23
Q2 28% 14
Q3 16% 8
Q4 8% 4
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 68% of 47 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 75% of 48 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 18–21 | 12 | 17% 2 |
| 22+ | 15 | 7% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.