When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
919 games · 2025 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 449 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
Stayed under: 470 games
2025 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
SMU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14243043 | U | SMU Q1 | 19–24 |
2025 · Postseason |
NAVY -7.5 | 57.5 | 7212848 | U | NAVY Q3 | 35–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
TXST -19.5 | 55.5 | 0173451 | U | TXST Q3 | 10–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
IU -7.5 | 46.5 | 0172741 | U | IU Q2 | 3–38 |
2025 · Postseason |
TTU -1.5 | 50.5 | 361323 | U | ORE Q1 | 23–0 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Postseason |
TENN -3 | 61.5 | 14173858 | U | ILL Q1 | 28–30 |
2025 · Postseason |
LT -10 | 51.5 | 7172037 | U | CCU Q1 | 14–23 |
2025 · Postseason |
GASO -10 | 58.5 | 7203639 | U | GASO Q3 | 29–10 |
2025 · Postseason |
MIZ -4 | 43.5 | 7102020 | U | UVA Q3 | 13–7 |
2025 · Postseason |
FRES -5.5 | 40.5 | 3121221 | U | FRES Q2 | 3–18 |
2025 · Postseason |
BYU -3.5 | 55.5 | 14313146 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2025 · Postseason |
CLEM -2.5 | 47.5 | 39932 | U | PSU Q1 | 22–10 |
2025 · Postseason |
PITT -13.5 | 51.5 | 0103140 | U | ECU Q1 | 17–23 |
2025 · Postseason |
MINN -1.5 | 44.5 | 313132837 | U | MINN OT Late cover flip |
17–20 |
2025 · Postseason |
NU -13.5 | 43.5 | 0213441 | U | NU Q2 | 7–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNLV -6.5 | 64.5 | 061727 | U | OHIO Q1 | 10–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
USM -2.5 | 59.5 | 10192943 | U | WKU Q4 | 27–16 |
2025 · Postseason |
MISS -16.5 | 57.5 | 14203051 | U | MISS Q3 | 10–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
TA&M -3 | 48.5 | 00313 | U | MIA Q1 | 10–3 |
2025 · Postseason |
NCSU -3.5 | 56.5 | 14383838 | U | NCSU Q1 | 7–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
WMU -3.5 | 47.5 | 27344747 | U | WMU Q1 | 6–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
UL -1.5 | 60.5 | 7132633 | U | DEL Q1 | 13–20 |
2025 · Postseason |
USF -4 | 52.5 | 10172734 | U | ODU Q1 | 24–10 |
2025 · Postseason |
JXST -3 | 47.5 | 14202330 | U | JXST Q4 | 13–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
WASH -10 | 55.5 | 6273448 | U | WASH Q2 | 10–38 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NAVY -6 | 37.5 | 7202633 | U | ARMY Q2 | 16–17 |
2025 · Week 15 |
OSU -3.5 | 45.5 | 10162323 | U | IU Q3 | 13–10 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UVA -3.5 | 58.5 | 721274047 | U | DUKE Q1 | 27–20 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UGA -1.5 | 48.5 | 7142135 | U | UGA Q1 | 28–7 |
2025 · Week 15 |
TTU -12.5 | 50.5 | 7202841 | U | TTU Q3 | 7–34 |
2025 · Week 15 |
WMU -2.5 | 44.5 | 16222936 | U | WMU Q1 | 13–23 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UNT -1.5 | 66.5 | 14314455 | U | TULN Q1 | 21–34 |
2025 · Week 15 |
BOIS -6 | 59.5 | 14424959 | U | BOIS Q1 | 21–38 |
2025 · Week 15 |
JMU -24.5 | 47.5 | 3313145 | U | TROY Q1 | 14–31 |
2025 · Week 15 |
KENN -3 | 62.5 | 071034 | U | KENN Q2 | 19–15 |
2025 · Week 14 |
HAW -8.5 | 44.5 | 14273434 | U | HAW Q2 | 7–27 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ALA -7 | 48.5 | 10233347 | U | Push Late cover flip |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USC -21.5 | 59.5 | 7172439 | U | UCLA Q1 | 10–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TULN -29.5 | 51.5 | 14212127 | U | CLT Q1 | 0–27 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ILL -7 | 43.5 | 3242733 | U | Push Late cover flip |
13–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UVA -8.5 | 52.5 | 7142434 | U | UVA Q2 | 7–27 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USF -28.5 | 57.5 | 14314155 | U | USF Q3 | 3–52 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WSU -14.5 | 42.5 | 3192540 | U | WSU Q2 | 8–32 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ORE -6.5 | 51.5 | 3202640 | U | ORE Q3 | 26–14 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MIZ -4.5 | 54.5 | 14313748 | U | MIZ Q4 | 31–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
USM -6.5 | 50.5 | 0172446 | U | TROY Q1 | 28–18 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BC -2.5 | 54.5 | 3122646 | U | BC Q3 | 34–12 |
ARIZ
SMU
NAVY
CIN
RICE
TXST
ALA
IU
ORE
TTU
MIA
OSU
TENN
ILL
CCU
LT
GASO
APP
UVA
MIZ
M-OH
FRES
GT
BYU
PSU
CLEM
PITT
ECU
UNM
MINN
CMU
NU
UNLV
OHIO
WKU
USM
TULN
MISS
TA&M
MEM
NCSU
KENN
WMU
UL
DEL
ODU
USF
TROY
JXST
BOIS
WASH
ARMY
DUKE
UGA
UNT
JMU
WYO
HAW
AUB
UCLA
USC
CLT
VT
ORST
WSU
LSU
OU
ARK
WIS
BC
SYRWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 451
Q2 16% 150
Q3 15% 142
Q4 18% 165
OT 1% 8
Push 0% 3
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 69% of 860 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 73% of 867 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 147 | 100% 147 |
| 1–3 | 42 | 95% 40 |
| 4–7 | 102 | 90% 92 |
| 8–10 | 79 | 71% 56 |
| 11–14 | 87 | 54% 47 |
| 15–17 | 73 | 40% 29 |
| 18–21 | 102 | 22% 22 |
| 22+ | 287 | 6% 16 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.