When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2024 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 457 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Stayed under: 417 games
2024 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -5.5 | 51.5 | 7212842 | U | OSU Q4 | 28–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
BUFF -3.5 | 50.5 | 691633 | U | BUFF Q1 | 26–7 |
2024 · Postseason |
MINN -10.5 | 43.5 | 7313134 | U | MINN Q2 | 24–10 |
2024 · Postseason |
TXST -15.5 | 66.5 | 13303758 | U | UNT Q1 | 28–30 |
2024 · Postseason |
ND -1.5 | 46.5 | 0163033 | U | ND Q2 | 23–10 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -11.5 | 54.5 | 14243845 | U | PSU Q4 Late cover flip |
31–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
SC -9.5 | 49.5 | 10102438 | U | ILL Q1 | 17–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
ALA -16.5 | 45.5 | 16262632 | U | MICH Q1 | 13–19 |
2024 · Postseason |
ARMY -14.5 | 44.5 | 14242733 | U | ARMY Q2 | 6–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
COLO -2.5 | 53.5 | 10203450 | U | BYU Q1 | 36–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
NCSU -7.5 | 60.5 | 7202747 | U | ECU Q1 Lead lost |
26–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
TCU -9.5 | 59.5 | 14273437 | U | TCU Q1 | 3–34 |
2024 · Postseason |
NEB -3.5 | 47.5 | 0152235 | U | NEB Q2 | 15–20 |
2024 · Postseason |
UNC -1.5 | 52.5 | 17313441 | U | CONN Q1 | 27–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
OU -2.5 | 44.5 | 14212841 | U | NAVY Q3 | 20–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7283448 | U | PSU Q2 | 10–38 |
2024 · Postseason |
ND -6.5 | 50.5 | 7202344 | U | ND Q1 | 17–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
FLA -9.5 | 49.5 | 361641 | U | FLA Q3 | 8–33 |
2024 · Postseason |
UNLV -3.5 | 44.5 | 17273437 | U | UNLV Q3 | 13–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
JMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7213144 | U | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
17–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
USA -5.5 | 54.5 | 7293653 | U | USA Q3 Late cover flip |
30–23 |
2024 · Week 15 |
UL -4.5 | 57.5 | 10202734 | U | MRSH Q1 | 31–3 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TEX -2.5 | 50.5 | 39193241 | U | UGA Q3 | 22–19 |
2024 · Week 15 |
M-OH -2.5 | 43.5 | 10243441 | U | OHIO Q1 | 38–3 |
2024 · Week 15 |
BOIS -3.5 | 57.5 | 7212128 | U | BOIS Q1 | 7–21 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNLV -17.5 | 54.5 | 17313852 | U | UNLV Q3 | 14–38 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TEX -4.5 | 49.5 | 7172424 | U | TEX Q1 | 17–7 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ISU -2.5 | 51.5 | 14384550 | U | ISU Q2 | 21–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
FLA -17.5 | 45.5 | 7142042 | U | FLA Q4 | 31–11 |
2024 · Week 14 |
WSU -18.5 | 55.5 | 10202329 | U | WYO Q1 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TCU -2.5 | 58.5 | 7272733 | U | TCU Q1 | 20–13 |
2024 · Week 14 |
GASO -2.5 | 60.5 | 8212849 | U | GASO Q4 Late cover flip |
20–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JXST -0.5 | 62.5 | 10202336 | U | WKU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–19 |
2024 · Week 14 |
LT -13.5 | 41.5 | 7172633 | U | LT Q2 | 0–33 |
2024 · Week 14 |
SMU -11.5 | 54.5 | 14212444 | U | SMU Q1 | 6–38 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ALA -10.5 | 50.5 | 7204242 | U | ALA Q3 | 14–28 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MIZ -3.5 | 51.5 | 7142449 | U | MIZ Q4 | 21–28 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UCLA -7.5 | 46.5 | 3162333 | U | FRES Q1 | 13–20 |
2024 · Week 14 |
NIU -16.5 | 41.5 | 19374040 | U | CMU Q2 | 16–24 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CLT -1.5 | 59.5 | 7273356 | U | CLT Q3 | 27–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
WMU -6.5 | 56.5 | 0163844 | U | WMU Q2 | 18–26 |
2024 · Week 14 |
OSU -20.5 | 41.5 | 3202023 | U | MICH Q1 | 13–10 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CLEM -2.5 | 48.5 | 0142131 | U | SC Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
DUKE -3.5 | 53.5 | 0132740 | U | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip |
23–17 |
2024 · Week 14 |
KU -2.5 | 62.5 | 21315962 | U | BAY Q1 | 17–45 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ARMY -6.5 | 53.5 | 14233353 | U | UTSA Q1 | 24–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNT -10.5 | 63.5 | 20414141 | U | TEM Q2 | 24–17 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UCF -9.5 | 45.5 | 3202042 | U | UTAH Q1 | 28–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
IOWA -3.5 | 41.5 | 3101323 | U | NEB Q1 | 10–13 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MISS -26.5 | 63.5 | 24313440 | U | MSST Q1 | 14–26 |
OSU
TEX
BUFF
LIB
MINN
VT
UNT
TXST
ND
UGA
PSU
BOIS
SC
ILL
ALA
MICH
LT
ARMY
BYU
COLO
ECU
NCSU
UL
TCU
BC
NEB
CONN
UNC
OU
NAVY
SMU
IU
TULN
FLA
CAL
UNLV
WKU
JMU
USA
WMU
MRSH
OHIO
M-OH
NEV
TA&M
KSU
ISU
FSU
WYO
WSU
CIN
APP
GASO
JXST
KENN
AUB
ARK
MIZ
FRES
UCLA
CMU
NIU
UAB
CLT
EMU
CLEM
DUKE
WAKE
KU
BAY
UTSA
TEM
UTAH
UCF
IOWA
MSST
MISSWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 459
Q2 16% 139
Q3 14% 118
Q4 18% 153
OT 1% 5
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 72% of 812 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 73% of 828 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 160 | 100% 160 |
| 1–3 | 45 | 89% 40 |
| 4–7 | 72 | 88% 63 |
| 8–10 | 64 | 75% 48 |
| 11–14 | 93 | 57% 53 |
| 15–17 | 87 | 47% 41 |
| 18–21 | 108 | 31% 33 |
| 22+ | 245 | 8% 19 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.