When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
919 games · 2025 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 449 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
Went over in Q4: 291 games
2025 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
IU -7.5 | 47.5 | 3102448 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
21–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
MIA -3 | 52.5 | 3303358 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
31–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
MSST -3 | 52.5 | 21245072 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 | 43–29 |
2025 · Postseason |
UGA -6 | 53.5 | 6334373 | Q4 | MISS Q3 | 39–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
TEX -4 | 50.5 | 13344468 | Q4 | TEX Q4 | 27–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
VAN -3 | 47.5 | 7174161 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 34–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
ARMY -7.5 | 41.5 | 14243757 | Q4 | ARMY Q3 | 16–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
UTSA -7.5 | 63.5 | 28456077 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 | 20–57 |
2025 · Postseason |
HAW -1.5 | 50.5 | 7313466 | Q4 | HAW Q4 | 31–35 |
2025 · Postseason |
LOU -11.5 | 44.5 | 10101749 | Q4 | TOL Q1 Late over |
22–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
USU -1.5 | 50.5 | 7142755 | Q4 | WSU Q1 Late over |
34–21 |
2025 · Postseason |
ARST -1.5 | 55.5 | 21313862 | Q4 | ARST Q1 Late over |
28–34 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ND -32.5 | 49.5 | 14384869 | Q4 | STAN Q4 Late cover flip |
49–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
FRES -3 | 44.5 | 3283155 | Q4 | FRES Q2 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UNLV -7.5 | 52.5 | 10314559 | Q4 | UNLV Q2 Late over |
42–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SMU -13.5 | 52.5 | 10243873 | Q4 | CAL Q1 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 14 |
NCSU -7 | 48.5 | 14384161 | Q4 | NCSU Q1 | 19–42 |
2025 · Week 14 |
FSU -1.5 | 49.5 | 10314561 | Q4 | FLA Q1 Late over |
21–40 |
2025 · Week 14 |
JMU -23.5 | 53.5 | 17304169 | Q4 | JMU Q4 | 59–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TENN -2.5 | 66.5 | 14425269 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 45–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TCU -3 | 58.5 | 28485568 | Q4 | TCU Q1 | 23–45 |
2025 · Week 14 |
KENN -2.5 | 55.5 | 1428427090 | Q4 | KENN OT | 48–42 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTSA -8.5 | 50.5 | 7273051 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UL -10.5 | 47.5 | 2730305457 | Q4 | ULM Q1 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TXST -9.5 | 62.5 | 17284275 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 26–49 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARST -1.5 | 54.5 | 6324659 | Q4 | APP Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MOST -2.5 | 45.5 | 7243872 | Q4 | LT Q1 | 42–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
IU -28.5 | 54.5 | 10315259 | Q4 | IU Q3 | 56–3 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UNT -20.5 | 65.5 | 21425977 | Q4 | UNT Q2 | 25–52 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OHIO -7 | 44.5 | 7284157 | Q4 | BUFF Q4 Late cover flip |
31–26 |
2025 · Week 14 |
NIU -4.5 | 44.5 | 10384166 | Q4 | KENT Q1 Lead lost |
35–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WMU -7 | 49.5 | 7243852 | Q4 | WMU Q2 Late over |
31–21 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WASH -10.5 | 51.5 | 3204162 | Q4 | WASH Q2 | 48–14 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ASU -6.5 | 47.5 | 10203859 | Q4 | ASU Q4 | 42–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
GT -2.5 | 61.5 | 21424970 | Q4 | PITT Q1 Late over |
42–28 |
2025 · Week 13 |
PSU -7.5 | 45.5 | 7264047 | Q4 | PSU Q2 | 10–37 |
2025 · Week 13 |
BOIS -17.5 | 46.5 | 14344170 | Q4 | BOIS Q2 | 21–49 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SC -24.5 | 50.5 | 20374458 | Q4 | SC Q2 | 7–51 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ORE -12.5 | 60.5 | 21425669 | Q4 | ORE Q2 | 27–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
VAN -6.5 | 53.5 | 3274862 | Q4 | VAN Q2 | 17–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USM -2.5 | 53.5 | 7284977 | Q4 | USA Q1 | 35–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ECU -2.5 | 61.5 | 14375482 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 | 24–58 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LIB -1.5 | 45.5 | 1020425662 | Q4 | LT Q4 | 28–34 |
2025 · Week 13 |
KENN -6.5 | 54.5 | 17275475 | Q4 | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
34–41 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TOL -28.5 | 45.5 | 14273447 | Q4 | TOL Q4 Late over |
9–38 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MIA -17.5 | 48.5 | 10233751 | Q4 | VT Q1 Late over |
34–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OHIO -34.5 | 53.5 | 14284256 | Q4 | MASS Q1 Late over |
14–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WMU -6.5 | 38.5 | 10273454 | Q4 | WMU Q3 | 35–19 |
MIA
IU
MISS
WAKE
MSST
UGA
MICH
TEX
IOWA
VAN
CONN
ARMY
FIU
UTSA
CAL
HAW
TOL
LOU
WSU
USU
MOST
ARST
ND
STAN
FRES
SJSU
UNLV
NEV
SMU
UNC
NCSU
FSU
FLA
JMU
CCU
TENN
CIN
TCU
KENN
LIB
ULM
UL
USA
TXST
APP
LT
PUR
TEM
UNT
OHIO
BUFF
KENT
NIU
WMU
EMU
WASH
UCLA
ASU
COLO
PITT
GT
NEB
PSU
CSU
BOIS
SC
USC
ORE
UK
DUKE
USM
ECU
BALL
VT
TLSA
MASSWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 451
Q2 16% 150
Q3 15% 142
Q4 18% 165
OT 1% 8
Push 0% 3
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 69% of 860 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 73% of 867 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 147 | 100% 147 |
| 1–3 | 42 | 95% 40 |
| 4–7 | 102 | 90% 92 |
| 8–10 | 79 | 71% 56 |
| 11–14 | 87 | 54% 47 |
| 15–17 | 73 | 40% 29 |
| 18–21 | 102 | 22% 22 |
| 22+ | 287 | 6% 16 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.