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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

3,141 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games3,141100%By halftime512%In Q346515%In Q41,05434%In OT361%Stayed under1,53549%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands33611%Over cashed44714%Leader lost the game2468%
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.

Went over in Q4: 1,054 games

2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
Show all games
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 8
 MEM -10.5 55.5 1019446875 Q4 ECU Q1 34–41
2026 · Week 8
 JMU -12.5 56.5 724346265 Q4 APP Q1 31–34
2026 · Week 8
 FIU -10.5 46.5 15213949 Q4 MTSU Q1 26–23
2026 · Week 7
 FRES -6.5 46.5 10263349 Q4 SDSU Q1
Late over
 23–26
2026 · Week 7
 UTAH -15.5 49.5 7133751 Q4 COLO Q1
Late over
 27–24
2026 · Week 7
 OHIO -17.5 46.5 7274155 Q4 OHIO Q2 48–7
2026 · Week 7
 UTSA -5.5 52.5 7414472 Q4 NAVY Q1 34–38
2026 · Week 7
 ND -10.5 47.5 10313752 Q4 BYU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 24–28
2026 · Week 7
 HOU -4 62.5 10174567 Q4 OKST Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 32–35
2026 · Week 7
 LOU -14.5 56.5 24515160 Q4 SYR Q1 34–26
2026 · Week 7
 NDSU -14.5 42.5 0304148 Q4 NEV Q1 17–31
2026 · Week 7
 ORST -18.5 52.5 17375078 Q4 WSU Q1
Late cover flip
 30–48
2026 · Week 7
 TLSA -3.5 47.5 7384155 Q4 TLSA Q2
Late over
 38–17
2026 · Week 7
 UGA -19.5 50.5 21313851 Q4 AUB Q1
Late over
 27–24
2026 · Week 7
 VT -8.5 55.5 14274858 Q4 VT Q1 24–34
2026 · Week 7
 AFA -1.5 49.5 3304472 Q4 AFA Q4 31–41
2026 · Week 7
 M-OH -9.5 47.5 14244148 Q4 M-OH Q2 14–34
2026 · Week 7
 TEM -17.5 47.5 14214269 Q4 CLT Q1 38–31
2026 · Week 7
 MD -5.5 55.5 14365367 Q4 RUTG Q3
Late over
 37–30
2026 · Week 7
 WVU -1.5 64.5 7354987 Q4 WVU Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
 42–45
2026 · Week 7
 KSU -3 55.5 24354959 Q4 KSU Q4 24–35
2026 · Week 7
 PITT -6.5 42.5 19263948 Q4 BC Q1 21–27
2026 · Week 7
 BGSU -6 46.5 320274863 Q4 BALL Q1
Late over
 32–31
2026 · Week 7
 PUR -3 50.5 10414464 Q4 WASH Q1 38–26
2026 · Week 7
 DEL -1.5 49.5 8284963 Q4 MTSU Q3
Late cover flip Lead lost
 30–33
2026 · Week 6
 BOIS -8.5 48.5 28454869 Q4 FRES Q1 38–31
2026 · Week 6
 MINN -2.5 48.5 10234054 Q4 PUR Q1 13–41
2026 · Week 6
 UVA -14 49.5 14243153 Q4 SYR Q1
Late over
 25–28
2026 · Week 6
 LT -3 48.5 0233763 Q4 UL Q3
Lead lost
 31–32
2026 · Week 6
 LSU -9.5 50.5 1738415469 Q4 UK Q1
Lead lost
 34–35
2026 · Week 6
 OSU -31.5 56.5 17415461 Q4 MD Q1
Late over
 16–45
2026 · Week 6
 TEX -7.5 40.5 7242751 Q4 OU Q3 24–27
2026 · Week 6
 ND -40.5 55.5 14375165 Q4 ND Q4 7–58
2026 · Week 6
 MISS -9.5 54.5 17455269 Q4 MISS Q1 52–17
2026 · Week 6
 DUKE -4.5 45.5 7243953 Q4 GT Q1
Late over
 25–28
2026 · Week 6
 ILL -2.5 48.5 1027406275 Q4 MSU Q4
Late cover flip
 38–37
2026 · Week 6
 UNT -27.5 58.5 13505760 Q4 UNT Q2 10–50
2026 · Week 6
 NAVY -3 47.5 21344660 Q4 NAVY Q4
Late cover flip
 26–34
2026 · Week 6
 WMU -13.5 43.5 7283145 Q4 WMU Q2
Late over
 7–38
2026 · Week 6
 OKST -10.5 53.5 21424570 Q4 OKST Q4 28–42
2026 · Week 6
 BGSU -9.5 43.5 3202748 Q4 BGSU Q2 10–38
2026 · Week 6
 LOU -4 60.5 14284264 Q4 LOU Q3 20–44
2026 · Week 6
 UTSA -5.5 49.5 21273755 Q4 UTSA Q4
Late over
 24–31
2026 · Week 6
 JXST -3 48.5 3304453 Q4 KENN Q1
Late over
 27–26
2026 · Week 5
 TXST -10 57.5 13204160 Q4 SDSU Q3
Late over
 29–31
2026 · Week 5
 IU -24.5 56.5 10234462 Q4 IU Q3 47–15
2026 · Week 5
 MIA -14 49.5 13233054 Q4 MIA Q3
Late over
 41–13
2026 · Week 5
 BOIS -19.5 50.5 14384155 Q4 USU Q4 18–37
2026 · Week 5
 LT -1.5 46.5 14214360 Q4 LT Q2 29–31
2026 · Week 5
 GASO -2.5 53.5 10273455 Q4 GASO Q4
Late over
 31–24
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 1,054

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 494
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 556
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,929 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,988 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over516100% 516
1–319295% 182
4–729586% 255
8–1026170% 184
11–1434558% 200
15–1727041% 110
18–2133927% 92
22+9237% 67
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.