When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2024 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 457 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Went over in Q3: 147 games
2024 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -8.5 | 44.5 | 7284657 | Q3 | OSU Q2 | 34–23 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 14425662 | Q3 | OSU Q1 | 41–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
WASH -1.5 | 50.5 | 21425669 | Q3 | LOU Q1 | 35–34 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIZ -1.5 | 41.5 | 21354551 | Q3 | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip |
24–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIA -5.5 | 61.5 | 35597383 | Q3 | ISU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–41 |
2024 · Postseason |
SYR -18.5 | 57.5 | 35567087 | Q3 | WSU Q1 | 52–35 |
2024 · Postseason |
TTU -3.5 | 52.5 | 24435365 | Q3 | ARK Q1 | 26–39 |
2024 · Postseason |
BGSU -10.5 | 54.5 | 24455569 | Q3 | ARST Q1 | 38–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 10446385 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
41–44 |
2024 · Week 15 |
ISU -1.5 | 51.5 | 17345564 | Q3 | ASU Q1 | 19–45 |
2024 · Week 14 |
AFA -6.5 | 43.5 | 21314551 | Q3 | AFA Q3 | 31–20 |
2024 · Week 14 |
LSU -4.5 | 47.5 | 14414854 | Q3 | LSU Q2 | 17–37 |
2024 · Week 14 |
NMSU -3.5 | 51.5 | 24385277 | Q3 | UTEP Q3 | 42–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ND -6.5 | 52.5 | 7285684 | Q3 | ND Q3 | 49–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
FAU -2.5 | 57.5 | 9517279 | Q3 | FAU Q1 | 63–16 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ODU -5.5 | 58.5 | 21356972 | Q3 | ODU Q1 | 40–32 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TENN -9.5 | 45.5 | 24415059 | Q3 | TENN Q3 | 36–23 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ILL -8.5 | 42.5 | 17244866 | Q3 | ILL Q4 | 38–28 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TXST -2.5 | 60.5 | 28496683 | Q3 | TXST Q4 | 45–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
VT -2.5 | 45.5 | 21384859 | Q3 | DUKE Q1 | 28–31 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TA&M -2.5 | 47.5 | 1428496284 | Q3 | AUB Q1 | 41–43 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ODU -2.5 | 51.5 | 3245577 | Q3 | MRSH Q1 | 42–35 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ND -14.5 | 44.5 | 14354963 | Q3 | ND Q2 | 14–49 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TXST -22.5 | 59.5 | 28596696 | Q3 | GAST Q1 | 52–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UL -7.5 | 51.5 | 21485981 | Q3 | UL Q2 | 30–51 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 10233756 | Q3 | MICH Q2 | 6–50 |
2024 · Week 13 |
NEB -1.5 | 40.5 | 14345169 | Q3 | NEB Q2 | 25–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TTU -4.5 | 62.5 | 213563104 | Q3 | TTU Q1 | 56–48 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FIU -8.5 | 41.5 | 3374353 | Q3 | KENN Q4 Lead lost |
26–27 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UGA -42.5 | 55.5 | 14426680 | Q3 | MASS Q1 | 21–59 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UTSA -17.5 | 55.5 | 10456278 | Q3 | UTSA Q4 Late cover flip |
27–51 |
2024 · Week 12 |
JMU -1.5 | 50.5 | 14455267 | Q3 | JMU Q3 | 35–32 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CLT -1.5 | 53.5 | 14246283 | Q3 | USF Q1 | 59–24 |
2024 · Week 12 |
COLO -13.5 | 43.5 | 17304473 | Q3 | COLO Q4 Late cover flip |
24–49 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BUFF -3.5 | 54.5 | 1452669099 | Q3 | BALL Q1 Lead lost |
48–51 |
2024 · Week 11 |
FRES -9.5 | 40.5 | 14384764 | Q3 | AFA Q1 | 28–36 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UL -14.5 | 59.5 | 10376074 | Q3 | UL Q2 | 19–55 |
2024 · Week 11 |
JXST -9.5 | 55.5 | 1449587481 | Q3 | LT Q1 Lead lost |
44–37 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ISU -2.5 | 50.5 | 21445881 | Q3 | KU Q1 | 36–45 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TEX -24.5 | 48.5 | 14355266 | Q3 | TEX Q2 | 17–49 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CAL -7.5 | 54.5 | 17435782 | Q3 | CAL Q2 | 46–36 |
2024 · Week 11 |
NIU -2.5 | 51.5 | 7356370 | Q3 | NIU Q2 | 42–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TA&M -3.5 | 43.5 | 17405064 | Q3 | SC Q1 | 20–44 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CCU -3.5 | 51.5 | 14355962 | Q3 | TROY Q1 | 24–38 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ORE -14.5 | 45.5 | 14384855 | Q3 | ORE Q4 Late cover flip |
38–17 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NEB -8.5 | 39.5 | 3204147 | Q3 | UCLA Q1 | 27–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UCF -5.5 | 54.5 | 14416168 | Q3 | UCF Q1 | 12–56 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UAB -2.5 | 57.5 | 21527380 | Q3 | UAB Q1 | 21–59 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MIA -19.5 | 53.5 | 21386084 | Q3 | MIA Q4 | 31–53 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MISS -7.5 | 54.5 | 10458094 | Q3 | MISS Q2 | 63–31 |
OSU
ND
ORE
LOU
WASH
IOWA
MIZ
ISU
MIA
SYR
WSU
TTU
ARK
ARST
BGSU
RUTG
KSU
ASU
AFA
SDSU
OU
LSU
UTEP
NMSU
USC
FAU
TLSA
ODU
TENN
VAN
ILL
NU
TXST
USA
VT
DUKE
TA&M
AUB
MRSH
ARMY
GAST
TROY
UL
MICH
WIS
NEB
OKST
FIU
KENN
MASS
UGA
TEM
UTSA
JMU
USF
CLT
UTAH
COLO
BALL
BUFF
FRES
JXST
LT
KU
FLA
TEX
CAL
WAKE
NIU
WMU
SC
CCU
UCLA
ARIZ
UCF
UAB
MISSWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 459
Q2 16% 139
Q3 14% 118
Q4 18% 153
OT 1% 5
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 72% of 812 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 73% of 828 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 160 | 100% 160 |
| 1–3 | 45 | 89% 40 |
| 4–7 | 72 | 88% 63 |
| 8–10 | 64 | 75% 48 |
| 11–14 | 93 | 57% 53 |
| 15–17 | 87 | 47% 41 |
| 18–21 | 108 | 31% 33 |
| 22+ | 245 | 8% 19 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.