When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
284 games · 2024 · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 154 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
Over cashed in the last 5 minutes: 64 games
2024 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
KC -1.5 | 48.5 | 7244062 | Q4 | PHI Q1 Late over |
22–40 |
2024 · Postseason |
BAL -1.5 | 51.5 | 14314052 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
25–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
PHI -7.5 | 43.5 | 20233150 | Q4 | LAR Q1 Late over |
22–28 |
2024 · Postseason |
LAC -2.5 | 41.5 | 6162644 | Q4 | HOU Q2 Late over |
12–32 |
2024 · Week 18 |
LAC -6.5 | 41.5 | 6273354 | Q4 | LAC Q2 Late over |
34–20 |
2024 · Week 18 |
GB -10.5 | 41.5 | 10272746 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over |
24–22 |
2024 · Week 18 |
TEN -2.5 | 36.5 | 7192237 | Q4 | HOU Q1 Late over |
23–14 |
2024 · Week 18 |
IND -3.5 | 45.5 | 1433334649 | Q4 | JAX Q4 Late over |
23–26 |
2024 · Week 18 |
BUF -3.5 | 36.5 | 7243339 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
16–23 |
2024 · Week 18 |
TB -14.5 | 44.5 | 6223246 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
19–27 |
2024 · Week 18 |
BAL -20.5 | 41.5 | 7172445 | Q4 | BAL Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
10–35 |
2024 · Week 17 |
WSH -3.5 | 46.5 | 1424314854 | Q4 | WSH OT Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 17 |
GB -0.5 | 48.5 | 3163752 | Q4 | MIN Q2 Late over |
25–27 |
2024 · Week 17 |
CIN -3.5 | 50.5 | 310204854 | OT | CIN OT Late cover flip Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 16 |
TB -4.5 | 47.5 | 10374350 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
24–26 |
2024 · Week 16 |
SF -1.5 | 44.5 | 3232946 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
17–29 |
2024 · Week 16 |
MIN -2.5 | 43.5 | 7313751 | Q4 | MIN Q1 Late over |
27–24 |
2024 · Week 15 |
ARI -5.5 | 46.5 | 10161947 | Q4 | ARI Q1 Late over |
17–30 |
2024 · Week 15 |
NYJ -3.5 | 41.5 | 14203357 | Q4 | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ARI -3.5 | 45.5 | 24344548 | Q4 | SEA Q1 Late over |
30–18 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TB -6.5 | 46.5 | 1023264649 | OT | CAR Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 13 |
IND -2.5 | 41.5 | 13303349 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
25–24 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BAL -2.5 | 50.5 | 7273353 | Q4 | BAL Q4 Late over |
30–23 |
2024 · Week 12 |
PHI -2.5 | 47.5 | 10204157 | Q4 | PHI Q2 Late over |
37–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
GB -6.5 | 44.5 | 10243448 | Q4 | GB Q1 Late over |
10–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSH -10.5 | 44.5 | 361960 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
34–26 |
2024 · Week 11 |
HOU -7.5 | 41.5 | 14273044 | Q4 | HOU Q3 Late over |
34–10 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BUF -2.5 | 47.5 | 6303051 | Q4 | BUF Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
21–30 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MIA -8.5 | 43.5 | 10162953 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
19–34 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CLE -1.5 | 43.5 | 13202849 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 10 |
LAC -8.5 | 40.5 | 10203044 | Q4 | LAC Q3 Late over |
17–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BUF -4.5 | 46.5 | 13333350 | Q4 | BUF Q1 Late over |
30–20 |
2024 · Week 9 |
KC -8.5 | 45.5 | 317274854 | Q4 | TB Q1 Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 9 |
PHI -7.5 | 46.5 | 7163851 | Q4 | JAX Q3 Late cover flip Late over |
23–28 |
2024 · Week 9 |
BUF -6.5 | 49.5 | 6163357 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–30 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WSH -3.5 | 42.5 | 7283449 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
27–22 |
2024 · Week 9 |
NO -7.5 | 43.5 | 6233345 | Q4 | CAR Q1 Late over Lead lost |
22–23 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SF -5.5 | 47.5 | 3163754 | Q4 | SF Q3 Late over |
24–30 |
2024 · Week 8 |
DEN -12.5 | 40.5 | 7283542 | Q4 | DEN Q2 Late over |
14–28 |
2024 · Week 8 |
KC -8.5 | 42.5 | 14273047 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over |
27–20 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CIN -2.5 | 47.5 | 7204154 | Q4 | PHI Q2 Late over |
37–17 |
2024 · Week 8 |
BAL -7.5 | 44.5 | 3163753 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over |
24–29 |
2024 · Week 8 |
NYJ -7.5 | 41.5 | 13203047 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
22–25 |
2024 · Week 8 |
GB -3.5 | 49.5 | 0233757 | Q4 | JAX Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BUF -9.5 | 41.5 | 3172744 | Q4 | BUF Q4 Late over |
10–34 |
2024 · Week 7 |
JAX -6.5 | 41.5 | 7323548 | Q4 | JAX Q2 Late over |
16–32 |
2024 · Week 7 |
DEN -2.5 | 37.5 | 3192943 | Q4 | DEN Q1 Late over |
33–10 |
2024 · Week 6 |
BUF -1.5 | 42.5 | 17374043 | Q4 | BUF Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
23–20 |
2024 · Week 6 |
LAC -2.5 | 37.5 | 10202339 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
23–16 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PIT -3.5 | 36.5 | 10192945 | Q4 | PIT Q2 Late over |
32–13 |
KC
PHI
BAL
BUF
LAR
LAC
HOU
LV
CHI
GB
TEN
JAX
IND
NE
NO
TB
CLE
ATL
WSH
MIN
DEN
CIN
DAL
SF
MIA
SEA
ARI
NYJ
CAR
NYG
PITWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 141
Q2 17% 49
Q3 11% 30
Q4 20% 57
OT 2% 7
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 71% of 274 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 77% of 273 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 38 | 100% 38 |
| 1–3 | 12 | 92% 11 |
| 4–7 | 32 | 94% 30 |
| 8–10 | 34 | 62% 21 |
| 11–14 | 47 | 57% 27 |
| 15–17 | 39 | 38% 15 |
| 18–21 | 33 | 27% 9 |
| 22+ | 49 | 6% 3 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.