When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
919 games · 2025 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 449 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
Leader lost the game in the last 5 minutes: 85 games
2025 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
DUKE -4 | 49.5 | 28526781 | Q2 | ASU Q3 Lead lost |
39–42 |
2025 · Postseason |
USC -4.5 | 56.5 | 327354857 | OT | TCU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Postseason |
BYU -3.5 | 55.5 | 14313146 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTSA -8.5 | 50.5 | 7273051 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UL -10.5 | 47.5 | 2730305457 | Q4 | ULM Q1 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARST -1.5 | 54.5 | 6324659 | Q4 | APP Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BOIS -1.5 | 55.5 | 24344349 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
NIU -4.5 | 44.5 | 10384166 | Q4 | KENT Q1 Lead lost |
35–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UTAH -18.5 | 52.5 | 14527398 | Q3 | KSU Q1 Lead lost |
47–51 |
2025 · Week 13 |
IOWA -17.5 | 43.5 | 7102437 | U | MSU Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MRSH -3.5 | 57.5 | 10374750 | U | APP Q3 Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNLV -4.5 | 68.5 | 923334655 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
26–29 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ASU -9.5 | 46.5 | 3323248 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
23–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MICH -10.5 | 42.5 | 0133046 | Q4 | NU Q4 Lead lost |
24–22 |
2025 · Week 11 |
DUKE -7.5 | 62.5 | 17345171 | Q4 | CONN Q1 Lead lost |
34–37 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ARIZ -6.5 | 56.5 | 14313744 | U | KU Q1 Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
LIB -7.5 | 51.5 | 7101738 | U | MOST Q3 Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
IU -13.5 | 50.5 | 7243051 | Q4 | PSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BALL -3.5 | 48.5 | 3132030 | U | BALL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
OHIO -2.5 | 50.5 | 061644 | U | OHIO Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARK -5.5 | 66.5 | 7204973 | Q4 | MSST Q4 Late over Lead lost |
38–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
WMU -5.5 | 43.5 | 7212845 | Q4 | CMU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UGA -6.5 | 50.5 | 17203444 | U | FLA Q1 Lead lost |
24–20 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UNLV -4.5 | 60.5 | 7526275 | Q3 | UNM Q1 Lead lost |
40–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MIA -6.5 | 46.5 | 717344046 | U | SMU Q2 Lead lost |
20–26 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CLEM -4.5 | 55.5 | 28567391 | Q2 | DUKE Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
46–45 |
2025 · Week 10 |
JXST -4.5 | 54.5 | 6132145 | U | MTSU Q1 Lead lost |
24–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEX -8.5 | 49.5 | 1438457683 | Q4 | MSST Q1 Lead lost |
45–38 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ALA -12.5 | 47.5 | 10202951 | Q4 | SC Q1 Late over Lead lost |
29–22 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USF -3.5 | 58.5 | 21384865 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SMU -5.5 | 52.5 | 3162225 | U | WAKE Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BGSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 7173845 | U | KENT Q3 Lead lost |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
IOWA -3.5 | 41.5 | 10243749 | Q4 | PSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–25 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UCLA -4.5 | 52.5 | 0101737 | U | MD Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UVA -16.5 | 56.5 | 14243042 | U | WSU Q1 Lead lost |
20–22 |
2025 · Week 8 |
APP -10.5 | 47.5 | 24416582 | Q3 | CCU Q1 Lead lost |
45–37 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TXST -2.5 | 65.5 | 1430335477 | OT | MRSH Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
37–40 |
2025 · Week 8 |
BUFF -16.5 | 47.5 | 3244149 | Q4 | MASS Q1 Late over Lead lost |
28–21 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TULN -10.5 | 44.5 | 062041 | U | ARMY Q1 Lead lost |
17–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USA -8.5 | 57.5 | 7101729 | U | ARST Q4 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2025 · Week 8 |
LIB -11.5 | 48.5 | 3264057 | Q4 | NMSU Q3 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 7 |
BYU -2.5 | 46.5 | 2131314860 | Q4 | BYU OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
33–27 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TXST -7.5 | 53.5 | 3548658289 | Q3 | TROY Q4 Lead lost |
48–41 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SJSU -1.5 | 49.5 | 21424263 | Q4 | WYO Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–35 |
2025 · Week 7 |
PSU -20.5 | 46.5 | 3272743 | U | NU Q1 Lead lost |
22–21 |
2025 · Week 7 |
NEB -6.5 | 47.5 | 7415565 | Q3 | MD Q3 Lead lost |
34–31 |
ASU
DUKE
USC
TCU
GT
BYU
LSU
OU
ARMY
UTSA
ULM
UL
ARST
APP
BOIS
USU
KENT
NIU
KSU
UTAH
MSU
IOWA
UNC
MRSH
TLSA
UNLV
WVU
MICH
NU
CONN
KU
ARIZ
MOST
LIB
IU
PSU
BALL
M-OH
OHIO
MSST
ARK
CMU
WMU
UGA
FLA
UNM
MIA
SMU
CLEM
JXST
MTSU
TEX
ALA
SC
USF
MEM
WAKE
BGSU
MD
UCLA
WSU
UVA
CCU
TXST
BUFF
MASS
TULN
USA
NMSU
TROY
SJSU
WYO
NEBWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 451
Q2 16% 150
Q3 15% 142
Q4 18% 165
OT 1% 8
Push 0% 3
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 69% of 860 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 73% of 867 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 147 | 100% 147 |
| 1–3 | 42 | 95% 40 |
| 4–7 | 102 | 90% 92 |
| 8–10 | 79 | 71% 56 |
| 11–14 | 87 | 54% 47 |
| 15–17 | 73 | 40% 29 |
| 18–21 | 102 | 22% 22 |
| 22+ | 287 | 6% 16 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.