When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2024 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 457 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Leader lost the game in the last 5 minutes: 75 games
2024 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -1.5 | 45.5 | 0132051 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
NCSU -7.5 | 60.5 | 7202747 | U | ECU Q1 Lead lost |
26–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIA -5.5 | 61.5 | 35597383 | Q3 | ISU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–41 |
2024 · Postseason |
TA&M -3.5 | 56.5 | 7143866 | Q4 | USC Q4 Late over Lead lost |
35–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 10446385 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
41–44 |
2024 · Postseason |
USF -0.5 | 64.5 | 731415480 | OT | USF OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
41–39 |
2024 · Week 14 |
WSU -18.5 | 55.5 | 10202329 | U | WYO Q1 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JXST -0.5 | 62.5 | 10202336 | U | WKU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–19 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CLEM -2.5 | 48.5 | 0142131 | U | SC Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UGA -17.5 | 48.5 | 317235486 | Q4 | GT Q1 Late over Lead lost |
42–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
SJSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 3274465 | Q4 | SJSU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–34 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CSU -5.5 | 56.5 | 13294379 | Q4 | USU Q1 Lead lost |
37–42 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ISU -3.5 | 42.5 | 10303759 | Q4 | UTAH Q4 Lead lost |
31–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
WSU -10.5 | 55.5 | 14385579 | Q4 | ORST Q1 Lead lost |
38–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
CAL -15.5 | 52.5 | 14213145 | U | STAN Q1 Lead lost |
21–24 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FIU -8.5 | 41.5 | 3374353 | Q3 | KENN Q4 Lead lost |
26–27 |
2024 · Week 13 |
RUTG -2.5 | 47.5 | 3263269 | Q4 | ILL Q3 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
LOU -20.5 | 57.5 | 17344973 | Q4 | STAN Q1 Lead lost |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
LIB -16.5 | 52.5 | 727345669 | Q4 | MASS Q1 Late over Lead lost |
35–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ECU -16.5 | 63.5 | 10344869 | Q4 | TLSA Q1 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BUFF -3.5 | 54.5 | 1452669099 | Q3 | BALL Q1 Lead lost |
48–51 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BYU -3.5 | 40.5 | 3313443 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 Late over Lead lost |
22–21 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ASU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14385266 | Q4 | ASU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–35 |
2024 · Week 11 |
JXST -9.5 | 55.5 | 1449587481 | Q3 | LT Q1 Lead lost |
44–37 |
2024 · Week 10 |
FRES -12.5 | 44.5 | 14202741 | U | HAW Q4 Lead lost |
21–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UNM -7.5 | 60.5 | 27708094 | Q2 | WYO Q4 Lead lost |
49–45 |
2024 · Week 10 |
KSU -9.5 | 44.5 | 3262943 | U | HOU Q1 Lead lost |
19–24 |
2024 · Week 10 |
VT -3.5 | 50.5 | 1417396269 | Q4 | SYR Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–38 |
2024 · Week 9 |
KSU -9.5 | 55.5 | 7305056 | Q4 | KU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–29 |
2024 · Week 9 |
EMU -2.5 | 50.5 | 8183246 | U | AKR Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTSA -9.5 | 52.5 | 14426691 | Q3 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
45–46 |
2024 · Week 9 |
APP -7.5 | 59.5 | 2344859 | U | GAST Q1 Lead lost |
26–33 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ISU -13.5 | 49.5 | 21355573 | Q3 | UCF Q1 Lead lost |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 8 |
USC -6.5 | 55.5 | 7283557 | Q4 | MD Q4 Late over Lead lost |
28–29 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNM -0.5 | 77.5 | 14396795 | Q4 | UNM Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
50–45 |
2024 · Week 8 |
EMU -3.5 | 52.5 | 10304372 | Q4 | EMU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
34–38 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MIZ -4.5 | 49.5 | 362338 | U | AUB Q1 Lead lost |
17–21 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7102438 | U | MINN Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–17 |
2024 · Week 7 |
GASO -1.5 | 57.5 | 9192647 | U | MRSH Q1 Lead lost |
23–24 |
2024 · Week 7 |
OSU -3.5 | 54.5 | 13435063 | Q4 | ORE Q4 Lead lost |
31–32 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MISS -3.5 | 64.5 | 030364655 | U | LSU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
26–29 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNT -5.5 | 58.5 | 21446178 | Q3 | FAU Q2 Lead lost |
41–37 |
2024 · Week 7 |
PSU -3.5 | 51.5 | 1026436063 | Q4 | USC Q1 Lead lost |
33–30 |
2024 · Week 7 |
LOU -7.5 | 52.5 | 7143044 | U | UVA Q1 Lead lost |
24–20 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -5.5 | 62.5 | 10213450 | U | TTU Q1 Lead lost |
28–22 |
2024 · Week 6 |
MIA -8.5 | 53.5 | 14315377 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Lead lost |
39–38 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TENN -14.5 | 57.5 | 332433 | U | ARK Q1 Lead lost |
14–19 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SJSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 14425666 | Q3 | NEV Q1 Lead lost |
31–35 |
2024 · Week 6 |
CONN -17.5 | 48.5 | 3162949 | Q4 | TEM Q1 Late over Lead lost |
20–29 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NCSU -4.5 | 52.5 | 13334364 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Lead lost |
34–30 |
ND
PSU
ECU
NCSU
ISU
MIA
USC
TA&M
RUTG
KSU
USF
SJSU
WYO
WSU
JXST
WKU
SC
CLEM
GT
UGA
STAN
USU
CSU
UTAH
ORST
CAL
FIU
KENN
ILL
LOU
LIB
MASS
TLSA
BALL
BUFF
BYU
UCF
ASU
LT
HAW
FRES
UNM
HOU
VT
SYR
KU
EMU
AKR
UTSA
GAST
APP
MD
CMU
AUB
MIZ
MINN
UCLA
MRSH
GASO
OSU
ORE
MISS
LSU
UNT
FAU
UVA
TTU
ARIZ
TENN
ARK
NEV
TEM
CONN
WAKEWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 459
Q2 16% 139
Q3 14% 118
Q4 18% 153
OT 1% 5
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 72% of 812 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 73% of 828 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 160 | 100% 160 |
| 1–3 | 45 | 89% 40 |
| 4–7 | 72 | 88% 63 |
| 8–10 | 64 | 75% 48 |
| 11–14 | 93 | 57% 53 |
| 15–17 | 87 | 47% 41 |
| 18–21 | 108 | 31% 33 |
| 22+ | 245 | 8% 19 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.