When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
434 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 43–49 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 223 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 22% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 434 games
2023–2026 · Totals 43–49 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
IND -6.5 | 43.5 | 0131946 | Q4 | TEN Q4 Late over |
26–20 |
2026 · Week 6 |
NO -1.5 | 46.5 | 7203761 | Q4 | NO Q3 | 34–27 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ATL -3 | 44.5 | 1023324653 | Q4 | BAL Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
30–23 |
2026 · Week 5 |
SEA -3 | 46.5 | 14344761 | Q3 | SF Q4 | 32–29 |
2026 · Week 5 |
CHI -1.5 | 46.5 | 7213038 | U | GB Q1 | 7–31 |
2026 · Week 5 |
CIN -7.5 | 45.5 | 14283855 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
31–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
NO -1.5 | 48.5 | 14314169 | Q4 | ATL Q1 | 45–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
KC -3.5 | 47.5 | 14232357 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over |
30–27 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SF -3 | 48.5 | 361338 | U | SF Q3 | 14–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SEA -7 | 43.5 | 10264353 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip |
23–30 |
2026 · Week 4 |
CHI -3.5 | 43.5 | 7162635 | U | CHI Q1 | 12–23 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ARI -2.5 | 43.5 | 17365160 | Q3 | NYG Q2 | 24–36 |
2026 · Week 4 |
HOU -3 | 48.5 | 13224364 | Q4 | DAL Q4 | 34–30 |
2026 · Week 4 |
IND -4.5 | 46.5 | 6163343 | U | IND Q3 | 30–13 |
2026 · Week 3 |
DEN -1.5 | 44.5 | 7163256 | Q4 | DEN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–30 |
2026 · Week 3 |
NO -3.5 | 44.5 | 9294962 | Q3 | LV Q4 | 35–27 |
2026 · Week 3 |
SF -7.5 | 48.5 | 7233666 | Q4 | ARI Q4 Late cover flip |
30–36 |
2026 · Week 3 |
KC -10 | 45.5 | 14212434 | U | KC Q4 Late cover flip |
24–10 |
2026 · Week 3 |
JAX -3 | 46.5 | 0173141 | U | JAX Q2 | 6–35 |
2026 · Week 3 |
GB -4.5 | 43.5 | 14243149 | Q4 | ATL Q1 Late over |
35–14 |
2026 · Week 2 |
LAR -7 | 47.5 | 7172734 | U | LAR Q2 | 6–28 |
2026 · Week 2 |
KC -6 | 46.5 | 1737445463 | Q4 | IND Q1 | 30–33 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SF -12.5 | 44.5 | 7204148 | Q4 | SF Q3 Late over |
13–35 |
2026 · Week 2 |
DEN -2.5 | 45.5 | 0131933 | U | DEN Q4 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
LAC -6.5 | 43.5 | 0173140 | U | LV Q1 | 26–14 |
2026 · Week 2 |
CAR -2.5 | 43.5 | 10233737 | U | CAR Q1 | 34–3 |
2026 · Week 2 |
CHI -4.5 | 46.5 | 69912 | U | MIN Q1 | 9–3 |
2026 · Week 2 |
GB -3.5 | 44.5 | 014213437 | U | NYJ Q1 Lead lost |
20–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
BAL -8.5 | 45.5 | 7202641 | U | NO Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
HOU -3 | 45.5 | 0102326 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–6 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DAL -3 | 47.5 | 7213548 | Q4 | NYG Q1 | 20–28 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MIN -2.5 | 46.5 | 12293961 | Q4 | MIN Q4 | 22–39 |
2026 · Week 1 |
PHI -6 | 43.5 | 3232646 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
22–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAC -8.5 | 47.5 | 14203040 | U | ARI Q1 | 26–14 |
2026 · Week 1 |
BAL -3 | 48.5 | 20444764 | Q4 | BAL Q1 | 41–23 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CHI -3 | 47.5 | 21557696 | Q2 | CHI Q1 | 59–37 |
2026 · Week 1 |
BUF -1.5 | 44.5 | 10454867 | Q2 | BUF Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
36–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAR -3.5 | 47.5 | 3172434 | U | SF Q1 | 27–7 |
2026 · Week 1 |
SEA -3 | 44.5 | 071323 | U | Push | 10–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -4.5 | 45.5 | 391242 | U | SEA Q2 | 29–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -2.5 | 45.5 | 13305858 | Q3 | SEA Q1 | 27–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3.5 | 43.5 | 7141717 | U | DEN Q1 | 10–7 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -7 | 44.5 | 17304047 | Q4 | SEA Q1 | 6–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
DEN -1.5 | 45.5 | 1030406063 | Q4 | DEN OT Late cover flip Lead lost |
30–33 |
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3.5 | 45.5 | 091219 | U | NE Q3 | 3–16 |
2025 · Postseason |
PHI -5.5 | 44.5 | 13232642 | U | SF Q4 Lead lost |
23–19 |
2025 · Postseason |
GB -1.5 | 46.5 | 10242758 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
LAR -10 | 44.5 | 7313765 | Q4 | CAR Q1 | 34–31 |
2025 · Week 18 |
NE -14.5 | 43.5 | 14274148 | Q4 | NE Q3 | 10–38 |
2025 · Week 18 |
ATL -3.5 | 43.5 | 7172336 | U | NO Q2 Late cover flip |
17–19 |
TEN
IND
NO
NYG
BAL
ATL
SF
SEA
CHI
GB
CIN
MIA
KC
LV
DEN
LAC
NYJ
ARI
DAL
HOU
WSH
LAR
NE
JAX
CAR
MIN
PHI
BUFWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 47% 205
Q2 19% 83
Q3 12% 52
Q4 19% 82
OT 2% 10
Push 0% 2
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 71% of 408 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 75% of 422 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 48 | 100% 48 |
| 1–3 | 22 | 95% 21 |
| 4–7 | 50 | 84% 42 |
| 8–10 | 51 | 73% 37 |
| 11–14 | 54 | 61% 33 |
| 15–17 | 43 | 42% 18 |
| 18–21 | 74 | 22% 16 |
| 22+ | 92 | 9% 8 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.