When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
125 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 33.5–39.5 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 63 overs, 6% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 125 games
2023–2026 · Totals 33.5–39.5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
CAR -3 | 39.5 | 3172039 | U | CAR Q3 | 25–14 |
2026 · Week 6 |
PIT -2.5 | 37.5 | 316193845 | Q4 | PIT OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–19 |
2026 · Week 5 |
HOU -6.5 | 37.5 | 6152229 | U | HOU Q2 | 26–3 |
2026 · Week 5 |
NYJ -2.5 | 38.5 | 10131329 | U | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
12–17 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MIN -10 | 38.5 | 392225 | U | MIA Q1 | 10–15 |
2026 · Week 4 |
GB -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172431 | U | GB Q2 | 17–14 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PIT -2.5 | 38.5 | 7313151 | Q4 | CLE Q2 | 24–27 |
2026 · Week 3 |
NYG -2.5 | 37.5 | 391219 | U | NYG Q1 | 7–12 |
2026 · Week 2 |
PHI -7 | 39.5 | 7243444 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TEN -1.5 | 39.5 | 10132333 | U | NYJ Q1 | 23–10 |
2025 · Postseason |
HOU -3 | 38.5 | 3131336 | U | HOU Q4 | 30–6 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BUF -13.5 | 39.5 | 7212943 | Q4 | BUF Q2 | 8–35 |
2025 · Week 18 |
DEN -15.5 | 37.5 | 10131622 | U | DEN Q4 Late cover flip |
3–19 |
2025 · Week 18 |
KC -3.5 | 35.5 | 391226 | U | LV Q1 | 12–14 |
2025 · Week 18 |
PHI -3 | 38.5 | 0172741 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 18 |
MIN -13.5 | 37.5 | 3131319 | U | GB Q1 | 3–16 |
2025 · Week 18 |
HOU -9.5 | 37.5 | 16405368 | Q2 | IND Q1 | 30–38 |
2025 · Week 17 |
PIT -3.5 | 34.5 | 10161619 | U | CLE Q1 | 6–13 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NO -1.5 | 38.5 | 6304360 | Q3 | NO Q4 Late cover flip |
34–26 |
2025 · Week 17 |
GB -2.5 | 37.5 | 14415165 | Q2 | BAL Q1 | 41–24 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DEN -13.5 | 37.5 | 3132333 | U | KC Q1 | 20–13 |
2025 · Week 16 |
HOU -14.5 | 39.5 | 7203044 | Q4 | LV Q1 | 21–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
KC -3.5 | 37.5 | 0152535 | U | TEN Q1 | 9–26 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NO -7 | 39.5 | 6152235 | U | NO Q3 | 6–29 |
2025 · Week 15 |
CHI -7.5 | 38.5 | 14143134 | U | CHI Q1 | 3–31 |
2025 · Week 15 |
PHI -12.5 | 36.5 | 7172431 | U | PHI Q2 | 0–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
CLE -4.5 | 33.5 | 17313860 | Q3 | TEN Q1 | 31–29 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SF -5.5 | 35.5 | 7182534 | U | SF Q3 | 26–8 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ATL -3 | 38.5 | 0143151 | Q4 | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LV -3.5 | 36.5 | 14171734 | U | CLE Q1 | 24–10 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BAL -7.5 | 37.5 | 6262639 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
HOU -5.5 | 37.5 | 331629 | U | TEN Q1 Late cover flip |
16–13 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CLE -2.5 | 37.5 | 21343447 | Q4 | NYJ Q1 | 20–27 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CAR -5.5 | 38.5 | 10171724 | U | NO Q1 | 17–7 |
2025 · Week 10 |
HOU -2.5 | 38.5 | 10303965 | Q3 | HOU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
29–36 |
2025 · Week 7 |
CLE -2.5 | 35.5 | 3233037 | Q4 | CLE Q1 | 6–31 |
2025 · Week 7 |
NYJ -1.5 | 39.5 | 3131619 | U | CAR Q1 | 13–6 |
2025 · Week 6 |
PIT -6.5 | 37.5 | 3122232 | U | PIT Q3 | 9–23 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIN -3.5 | 35.5 | 14173138 | Q4 | MIN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 4 |
HOU -7.5 | 39.5 | 36626 | U | HOU Q4 | 0–26 |
2025 · Week 1 |
PIT -2.5 | 38.5 | 16364366 | Q3 | NYJ Q1 Lead lost |
34–32 |
2024 · Week 18 |
SEA -7.5 | 38.5 | 10304055 | Q3 | LAR Q4 Lead lost |
30–25 |
2024 · Week 18 |
NYJ -2.5 | 39.5 | 6212452 | Q4 | NYJ Q2 | 20–32 |
2024 · Week 18 |
TEN -2.5 | 36.5 | 7192237 | Q4 | HOU Q1 Late over |
23–14 |
2024 · Week 18 |
BUF -3.5 | 36.5 | 7243339 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
16–23 |
2024 · Week 18 |
PHI -2.5 | 35.5 | 7101333 | U | PHI Q1 | 13–20 |
2024 · Week 17 |
LV -2.5 | 37.5 | 3232635 | U | LV Q1 | 25–10 |
2024 · Week 17 |
PHI -7.5 | 37.5 | 14314148 | Q3 | PHI Q2 | 7–41 |
2024 · Week 17 |
TEN -1.5 | 38.5 | 3162333 | U | JAX Q1 | 13–20 |
2024 · Week 13 |
DAL -4.5 | 39.5 | 10233747 | Q4 | DAL Q3 | 20–27 |
CAR
PHI
PIT
TB
HOU
TEN
CLE
NYJ
MIA
MIN
GB
NYG
BUF
LAC
DEN
KC
LV
WSH
IND
NO
BAL
CHI
SF
ATL
JAX
SEA
LAR
NE
DALWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 62
Q2 19% 24
Q3 8% 10
Q4 19% 24
OT 2% 2
Push 2% 3
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 74% of 117 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 78% of 116 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 20 | 100% 20 |
| 1–3 | 6 | 100% 6 |
| 4–7 | 13 | 92% 12 |
| 8–10 | 14 | 57% 8 |
| 11–14 | 19 | 63% 12 |
| 15–17 | 18 | 17% 3 |
| 18–21 | 18 | 11% 2 |
| 22+ | 17 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.