When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 450 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
Stayed under: 424 games
2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
SF -7.5 | 51.5 | 16233340 | U | WSH Q4 | 17–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
DAL -1.5 | 54.5 | 7172736 | U | GB Q1 | 13–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
KC -7.5 | 41.5 | 12222528 | U | KC Q2 | 6–22 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LAR -13.5 | 51.5 | 6182134 | U | ARI Q1 | 18–16 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BAL -3 | 40.5 | 10101323 | U | CLE Q4 | 10–13 |
2026 · Week 6 |
CAR -3 | 39.5 | 3172039 | U | CAR Q3 | 25–14 |
2026 · Week 6 |
SEA -3 | 40.5 | 317172831 | U | DEN Q2 | 14–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
DEN -3 | 42.5 | 7132740 | U | DEN Q4 Late cover flip |
23–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
CHI -1.5 | 46.5 | 7213038 | U | GB Q1 | 7–31 |
2026 · Week 5 |
HOU -6.5 | 37.5 | 6152229 | U | HOU Q2 | 26–3 |
2026 · Week 5 |
MIN -2.5 | 41.5 | 3132636 | U | MIN Q4 | 23–13 |
2026 · Week 5 |
NYJ -2.5 | 38.5 | 10131329 | U | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
12–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
JAX -7.5 | 41.5 | 7212436 | U | PHI Q1 Lead lost |
17–19 |
2026 · Week 5 |
DAL -8.5 | 49.5 | 7173440 | U | TB Q1 | 24–16 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SF -3 | 48.5 | 361338 | U | SF Q3 | 14–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MIN -10 | 38.5 | 392225 | U | MIA Q1 | 10–15 |
2026 · Week 4 |
CHI -3.5 | 43.5 | 7162635 | U | CHI Q1 | 12–23 |
2026 · Week 4 |
CIN -2.5 | 51.5 | 3162639 | U | JAX Q1 | 22–17 |
2026 · Week 4 |
GB -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172431 | U | GB Q2 | 17–14 |
2026 · Week 4 |
IND -4.5 | 46.5 | 6163343 | U | IND Q3 | 30–13 |
2026 · Week 3 |
PHI -3 | 42.5 | 7172734 | U | CHI Q1 | 7–27 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TB -1.5 | 42.5 | 17273039 | U | MIN Q1 | 23–16 |
2026 · Week 3 |
BUF -7 | 50.5 | 10202340 | U | BUF Q4 Late cover flip |
16–24 |
2026 · Week 3 |
CAR -2.5 | 41.5 | 0131939 | U | CLE Q1 | 18–21 |
2026 · Week 3 |
HOU -1.5 | 42.5 | 3202036 | U | IND Q1 | 17–19 |
2026 · Week 3 |
KC -10 | 45.5 | 14212434 | U | KC Q4 Late cover flip |
24–10 |
2026 · Week 3 |
NYG -2.5 | 37.5 | 391219 | U | NYG Q1 | 7–12 |
2026 · Week 3 |
JAX -3 | 46.5 | 0173141 | U | JAX Q2 | 6–35 |
2026 · Week 2 |
LAR -7 | 47.5 | 7172734 | U | LAR Q2 | 6–28 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SEA -3.5 | 40.5 | 7142438 | U | SEA Q3 | 31–7 |
2026 · Week 2 |
DEN -2.5 | 45.5 | 0131933 | U | DEN Q4 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
LAC -6.5 | 43.5 | 0173140 | U | LV Q1 | 26–14 |
2026 · Week 2 |
CAR -2.5 | 43.5 | 10233737 | U | CAR Q1 | 34–3 |
2026 · Week 2 |
CHI -4.5 | 46.5 | 69912 | U | MIN Q1 | 9–3 |
2026 · Week 2 |
NE -4.5 | 41.5 | 7131623 | U | NE Q1 | 3–20 |
2026 · Week 2 |
GB -3.5 | 44.5 | 014213437 | U | NYJ Q1 Lead lost |
20–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
BAL -8.5 | 45.5 | 7202641 | U | NO Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
HOU -3 | 45.5 | 0102326 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–6 |
2026 · Week 1 |
KC -2.5 | 42.5 | 14213441 | U | KC Q2 | 10–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LV -3 | 40.5 | 7234040 | U | LV Q1 | 13–27 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAC -8.5 | 47.5 | 14203040 | U | ARI Q1 | 26–14 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TEN -1.5 | 39.5 | 10132333 | U | NYJ Q1 | 23–10 |
2026 · Week 1 |
PIT -6.5 | 40.5 | 10202333 | U | PIT Q4 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LAR -3.5 | 47.5 | 3172434 | U | SF Q1 | 27–7 |
2026 · Week 1 |
SEA -3 | 44.5 | 071323 | U | Push | 10–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -4.5 | 45.5 | 391242 | U | SEA Q2 | 29–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3.5 | 43.5 | 7141717 | U | DEN Q1 | 10–7 |
2025 · Postseason |
LAR -3.5 | 49.5 | 720203437 | U | CHI Q2 Late cover flip |
20–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
HOU -3 | 38.5 | 3131336 | U | HOU Q4 | 30–6 |
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3.5 | 45.5 | 091219 | U | NE Q3 | 3–16 |
WSH
SF
DAL
GB
LAC
KC
ARI
LAR
BAL
CLE
CAR
PHI
SEA
DEN
CHI
HOU
TEN
MIN
NO
NYJ
JAX
TB
MIA
CIN
IND
BUF
NYG
NE
LV
ATL
PITWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 431
Q2 17% 152
Q3 11% 97
Q4 19% 168
OT 2% 15
Push 1% 11
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 71% of 816 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 76% of 833 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 111 | 100% 111 |
| 1–3 | 44 | 95% 42 |
| 4–7 | 102 | 87% 89 |
| 8–10 | 101 | 64% 65 |
| 11–14 | 117 | 60% 70 |
| 15–17 | 108 | 33% 36 |
| 18–21 | 121 | 19% 23 |
| 22+ | 170 | 8% 14 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.