When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
53 games · 2025 · Week 9 · pick one to list those games
60% went over. Of the 32 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 26% of games.
All 53 games
2025 · Week 9 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 9 |
UTAH -14.5 | 50.5 | 17434660 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 | 7–53 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ASU -7.5 | 47.5 | 10102440 | U | HOU Q1 | 24–16 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TENN -7.5 | 54.5 | 28567690 | Q2 | TENN Q1 | 56–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TA&M -1.5 | 49.5 | 21325374 | Q3 | TA&M Q3 | 49–25 |
2025 · Week 9 |
LOU -25.5 | 54.5 | 10314562 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 24–38 |
2025 · Week 9 |
MICH -13.5 | 47.5 | 10173151 | Q4 | MSU Q4 Late over |
31–20 |
2025 · Week 9 |
WYO -5.5 | 46.5 | 7212828 | U | WYO Q1 | 0–28 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ORE -31.5 | 45.5 | 071428 | U | WIS Q1 | 7–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
MIA -28.5 | 45.5 | 7143549 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ARST -1.5 | 59.5 | 21384558 | U | ARST Q3 | 24–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TROY -7.5 | 47.5 | 14384858 | Q3 | TROY Q3 Late cover flip |
23–35 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TCU -16.5 | 55.5 | 10273040 | U | WVU Q1 | 23–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEX -8.5 | 49.5 | 1438457683 | Q4 | MSST Q1 Lead lost |
45–38 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TTU -35.5 | 56.5 | 21284242 | U | TTU Q3 | 0–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CIN -3.5 | 69.5 | 14303961 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–41 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ALA -12.5 | 47.5 | 10202951 | Q4 | SC Q1 Late over Lead lost |
29–22 |
2025 · Week 9 |
VAN -3.5 | 52.5 | 061327 | U | VAN Q3 Late cover flip |
10–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ISU -2.5 | 49.5 | 24415468 | Q3 | BYU Q3 | 41–27 |
2025 · Week 9 |
WASH -3.5 | 54.5 | 17384567 | Q4 | WASH Q1 | 25–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IOWA -7.5 | 39.5 | 17313744 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 3–41 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TOL -1.5 | 45.5 | 0282835 | U | WSU Q1 | 7–28 |
2025 · Week 9 |
PITT -5.5 | 52.5 | 17526787 | Q3 | PITT Q2 | 34–53 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SDSU -3.5 | 45.5 | 7131323 | U | SDSU Q1 | 23–0 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USM -13.5 | 48.5 | 14354970 | Q3 | USM Q3 | 21–49 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NAVY -14.5 | 63.5 | 24343474 | Q4 | FAU Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
32–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEM -3.5 | 52.5 | 1031526275 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip |
38–37 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NIU -6.5 | 42.5 | 7142128 | U | NIU Q3 | 7–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CMU -17.5 | 46.5 | 28345151 | Q3 | CMU Q3 | 13–38 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CONN -9.5 | 48.5 | 1038414871 | OT | RICE Q1 Late over |
34–37 |
2025 · Week 9 |
UNM -2.5 | 60.5 | 7333347 | U | UNM Q1 | 14–33 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BUFF -10.5 | 48.5 | 5133040 | U | AKR Q1 | 24–16 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ARK -2.5 | 55.5 | 7314057 | Q4 | AUB Q4 Late over |
33–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IU -27.5 | 53.5 | 14385562 | Q3 | IU Q2 | 6–56 |
2025 · Week 9 |
GT -17.5 | 53.5 | 6234457 | Q4 | GT Q3 Late over |
16–41 |
2025 · Week 9 |
OU -5.5 | 52.5 | 13325160 | Q4 | MISS Q1 | 34–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
UVA -12.5 | 51.5 | 320202033 | U | UNC Q1 | 17–16 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USF -3.5 | 58.5 | 21384865 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NEB -7.5 | 44.5 | 10133449 | Q4 | NU Q4 Late over |
21–28 |
2025 · Week 9 |
PUR -2.5 | 60.5 | 10173151 | U | RUTG Q4 | 27–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SMU -5.5 | 52.5 | 3162225 | U | WAKE Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2025 · Week 9 |
KU -3.5 | 55.5 | 28355259 | Q4 | KSU Q1 Late over |
42–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ODU -12.5 | 60.5 | 7173145 | U | APP Q4 | 21–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BGSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 7173845 | U | KENT Q3 Lead lost |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
OHIO -13.5 | 60.5 | 21212849 | U | EMU Q1 | 28–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BOIS -20.5 | 51.5 | 6132027 | U | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip |
24–3 |
2025 · Week 9 |
VT -6.5 | 50.5 | 1330405476 | Q4 | VT OT Late over |
34–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
UNT -25.5 | 60.5 | 17344774 | Q4 | UNT Q4 | 54–20 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USA -5.5 | 54.5 | 35424569 | Q4 | USA Q1 Late cover flip |
38–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
MOST -2.5 | 51.5 | 714243441 | U | MOST OT | 24–17 |
COLO
UTAH
HOU
ASU
TENN
UK
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BC
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NMSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 26
Q2 4% 2
Q3 21% 11
Q4 23% 12
OT 4% 2
The team leading at halftime won 70% and covered 57% of 47 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 80% and covered 65% of 49 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 8 | 100% 8 |
| 1–3 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 6 | 83% 5 |
| 11–14 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 15–17 | 6 | 67% 4 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 22+ | 16 | 6% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.