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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

60 games · 2025 · Week 8 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games60100%By halftime12%In Q3813%In Q42033%In OT12%Stayed under3050%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands712%Over cashed712%Leader lost the game915%
50% went over. Of the 30 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 30% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 15% of games.

All 60 games

2025 · Week 8 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Week 8
 FSU -17.5 55.5 3233033 U STAN Q1 13–20
LAF @ ORST
2025 · Week 8
 ORST -21.5 55.5 6234458 Q4 ORST Q4 13–45
2025 · Week 8
 UNM -14.5 49.5 10264346 U NEV Q1 22–24
2025 · Week 8
 UTAH -5.5 49.5 0171745 U BYU Q1 21–24
2025 · Week 8
 CIN -23.5 57.5 10384566 Q4 CIN Q4 49–17
2025 · Week 8
 MIZ -1.5 43.5 1017243440 U MIZ OT
Late cover flip
 23–17
2025 · Week 8
 ALA -8.5 60.5 7304357 U ALA Q2 20–37
2025 · Week 8
 ND -10.5 60.5 17275158 U USC Q1 24–34
2025 · Week 8
 USF -20.5 72.5 10274461 U USF Q4 13–48
2025 · Week 8
 PITT -8.5 54.5 14242743 U PITT Q2 30–13
2025 · Week 8
 TEX -13.5 45.5 07132629 U UK Q1 16–13
2025 · Week 8
 IOWA -3.5 41.5 10243749 Q4 PSU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 24–25
2025 · Week 8
 UCLA -4.5 52.5 0101737 U MD Q1
Lead lost
 17–20
2025 · Week 8
 CSU -2.5 53.5 14213150 U HAW Q1 31–19
2025 · Week 8
 GASO -6.5 58.5 10304465 Q4 GASO Q4
Late over
 24–41
2025 · Week 8
 ORE -18.5 61.5 17455966 Q4 ORE Q2 56–10
2025 · Week 8
 UVA -16.5 56.5 14243042 U WSU Q1
Lead lost
 20–22
2025 · Week 8
 TA&M -8.5 57.5 10416587 Q3 ARK Q4
Late cover flip
 45–42
2025 · Week 8
 USM -4.5 54.5 7203032 U USM Q2 22–10
2025 · Week 8
 FLA -9.5 51.5 10202044 U MSST Q1 21–23
2025 · Week 8
 UNT -3.5 63.5 24386272 Q4 UNT Q1 17–55
2025 · Week 8
 TTU -8.5 52.5 3162348 U ASU Q1 22–26
2025 · Week 8
 MEM -23.5 59.5 14314155 U UAB Q1 24–31
2025 · Week 8
 OSU -24.5 41.5 17172734 U OSU Q3 34–0
2025 · Week 8
 IU -26.5 49.5 10314551 Q4 MSU Q1
Late over
 13–38
2025 · Week 8
 UGA -7.5 56.5 10416178 Q3 UGA Q4
Late cover flip
 35–43
2025 · Week 8
 CLEM -5.5 49.5 7234059 Q4 SMU Q1 35–24
2025 · Week 8
 AFA -3.5 56.5 10132845 U WYO Q1
Late cover flip
 21–24
2025 · Week 8
 BOIS -13.5 61.5 17527387 Q3 BOIS Q3 31–56
2025 · Week 8
 APP -10.5 47.5 24416582 Q3 CCU Q1
Lead lost
 45–37
2025 · Week 8
 JMU -3.5 47.5 34557690 Q2 JMU Q3 27–63
2025 · Week 8
 TXST -2.5 65.5 1430335477 OT MRSH Q3
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 37–40
2025 · Week 8
 TEM -9.5 46.5 14355663 Q3 TEM Q2 49–14
2025 · Week 8
 BALL -1.5 43.5 22295370 Q3 BALL Q3 28–42
2025 · Week 8
 OHIO -11.5 42.5 14294869 Q3 OHIO Q1 21–48
2025 · Week 8
 NU -3.5 46.5 3131919 U NU Q2 0–19
2025 · Week 8
 TROY -5.5 45.5 10254151 Q4 TROY Q1 37–14
2025 · Week 8
 BUFF -16.5 47.5 3244149 Q4 MASS Q1
Late over Lead lost
 28–21
2025 · Week 8
 TOL -25.5 48.5 17274855 Q4 TOL Q3 10–45
2025 · Week 8
 UCF -6.5 47.5 14214258 Q4 UCF Q1
Late over
 13–45
2025 · Week 8
 OU -4.5 43.5 7213133 U OU Q1 26–7
2025 · Week 8
 VAN -1.5 48.5 10305255 Q3 VAN Q1 24–31
2025 · Week 8
 DUKE -3.5 61.5 7142045 U GT Q1 27–18
2025 · Week 8
 MICH -4.5 50.5 7142131 U MICH Q3 7–24
2025 · Week 8
 CONN -2.5 58.5 13375161 Q4 CONN Q3 38–23
2025 · Week 8
 ARIZ -2.5 47.5 21354259 Q4 HOU Q2 28–31
2025 · Week 8
 TCU -3.5 67.5 7314678 Q4 TCU Q2
Late over
 36–42
2025 · Week 8
 TULN -10.5 44.5 062041 U ARMY Q1
Lead lost
 17–24
2025 · Week 8
 BGSU -3.5 44.5 3233333 U CMU Q1 27–6
2025 · Week 8
 M-OH -11.5 47.5 7354274 Q4 M-OH Q3 30–44
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 60

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 52% 31
Q2 15% 9
Q3 18% 11
Q4 13% 8
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 79% and covered 68% of 57 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 75% of 56 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over9100% 9
1–33100% 3
4–7989% 8
8–10683% 5
11–14450% 2
15–17333% 1
18–2150% 0
22+2110% 2
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.