When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
59 games · 2025 · Week 12 · pick one to list those games
44% went over. Of the 26 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 27% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 22% of games.
All 59 games
2025 · Week 12 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 12 |
SDSU -2.5 | 43.5 | 0212124 | U | SDSU Q2 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 12 |
FRES -2.5 | 40.5 | 10131327 | U | FRES Q1 | 3–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
BYU -2.5 | 51.5 | 10374357 | Q4 | BYU Q1 Late over |
13–44 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WSU -10.5 | 43.5 | 7171731 | U | WSU Q2 | 3–28 |
2025 · Week 12 |
KENN -3.5 | 55.5 | 14323861 | Q4 | JXST Q1 Late over |
26–35 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MIZ -7.5 | 50.5 | 24315976 | Q3 | MIZ Q2 | 27–49 |
2025 · Week 12 |
OSU -32.5 | 46.5 | 10274858 | Q3 | OSU Q3 Late cover flip |
10–48 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UGA -3.5 | 50.5 | 10172445 | U | UGA Q1 | 10–35 |
2025 · Week 12 |
FSU -13.5 | 53.5 | 0173148 | U | FSU Q3 | 14–34 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MISS -11.5 | 53.5 | 17444458 | Q4 | FLA Q1 Late over |
24–34 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UTAH -9.5 | 61.5 | 14455583 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 | 55–28 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WASH -14.5 | 51.5 | 7284562 | Q4 | WASH Q2 | 13–49 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DEL -13.5 | 56.5 | 7203349 | U | SHSU Q1 | 23–26 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNLV -4.5 | 68.5 | 923334655 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
26–29 |
2025 · Week 12 |
GASO -3.5 | 58.5 | 38627585 | Q2 | GASO Q1 | 40–45 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LIB -4.5 | 53.5 | 1438455461 | Q4 | FIU Q1 | 27–34 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WAKE -3.5 | 37.5 | 7203040 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
12–28 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TENN -41.5 | 60.5 | 14244551 | U | NMSU Q1 | 9–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ECU -2.5 | 57.5 | 7274858 | Q4 | ECU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TULN -17.5 | 61.5 | 10313859 | U | FAU Q4 | 24–35 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MIA -16.5 | 54.5 | 10243448 | U | MIA Q2 | 7–41 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DUKE -5.5 | 60.5 | 7203451 | U | UVA Q1 | 34–17 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ALA -6.5 | 46.5 | 10314144 | U | OU Q1 | 23–21 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TTU -24.5 | 48.5 | 14405757 | Q3 | TTU Q2 | 9–48 |
2025 · Week 12 |
GT -16.5 | 61.5 | 7284570 | Q4 | BC Q1 Late over |
36–34 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USC -6.5 | 48.5 | 7314047 | U | IOWA Q1 | 21–26 |
2025 · Week 12 |
PSU -6.5 | 49.5 | 14242438 | U | PSU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–10 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ILL -15.5 | 51.5 | 10202730 | U | ILL Q4 Late cover flip |
6–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WKU -13.5 | 51.5 | 7315168 | Q4 | WKU Q4 Late cover flip |
26–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
SJSU -9.5 | 49.5 | 14314165 | Q4 | NEV Q1 Late over |
10–55 |
2025 · Week 12 |
JMU -19.5 | 54.5 | 7273768 | Q4 | JMU Q2 Late over |
10–58 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USA -4.5 | 50.5 | 14213440 | U | USA Q3 | 26–14 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USM -3.5 | 65.5 | 10273455 | U | TXST Q1 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MOST -7.5 | 48.5 | 10314862 | Q4 | MOST Q4 Late cover flip |
24–38 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNM -15.5 | 53.5 | 0102037 | U | CSU Q1 | 17–20 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MRSH -9.5 | 59.5 | 14313948 | U | MRSH Q4 | 30–18 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNT -17.5 | 69.5 | 21386477 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 53–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UK -22.5 | 52.5 | 14354552 | U | UK Q3 | 10–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TLSA -1.5 | 50.5 | 14172445 | U | TLSA Q1 | 14–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ASU -9.5 | 46.5 | 3323248 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
23–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LSU -4.5 | 58.5 | 14303845 | U | ARK Q1 | 22–23 |
2025 · Week 12 |
IU -27.5 | 43.5 | 7173138 | U | WIS Q1 | 7–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TA&M -16.5 | 49.5 | 20335461 | Q3 | SC Q1 | 30–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ND -12.5 | 54.5 | 14243952 | U | ND Q1 | 37–15 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MICH -10.5 | 42.5 | 0133046 | Q4 | NU Q4 Lead lost |
24–22 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USF -8.5 | 62.5 | 17334079 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 38–41 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CIN -6.5 | 56.5 | 21243754 | U | ARIZ Q2 | 30–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
KSU -19.5 | 50.5 | 3131320 | U | OKST Q1 | 14–6 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CONN -7.5 | 64.5 | 13162642 | U | CONN Q4 | 16–26 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UTSA -17.5 | 57.5 | 771435 | U | UTSA Q4 | 28–7 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 32
Q2 15% 9
Q3 8% 5
Q4 22% 13
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 75% of 57 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 84% of 56 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 8–10 | 9 | 78% 7 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 5 | 40% 2 |
| 18–21 | 8 | 25% 2 |
| 22+ | 21 | 5% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.