When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
57 games · 2024 · Week 9 · pick one to list those games
53% went over. Of the 30 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 37% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
All 57 games
2024 · Week 9 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 9 |
HAW -1.5 | 41.5 | 14173147 | Q4 | HAW Q1 | 13–34 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WSU -17.5 | 56.5 | 13263355 | U | SDSU Q1 | 29–26 |
2024 · Week 9 |
COLO -6.5 | 56.5 | 21384557 | Q4 | COLO Q1 Late over |
23–34 |
2024 · Week 9 |
KSU -9.5 | 55.5 | 7305056 | Q4 | KU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–29 |
2024 · Week 9 |
SMU -11.5 | 50.5 | 721344255 | OT | DUKE Q1 Late over |
28–27 |
2024 · Week 9 |
FRES -6.5 | 55.5 | 10273443 | U | FRES Q2 | 10–33 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UK -1.5 | 42.5 | 10202734 | U | AUB Q2 | 24–10 |
2024 · Week 9 |
PSU -6.5 | 45.5 | 3172741 | U | PSU Q4 | 28–13 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TA&M -1.5 | 54.5 | 17243861 | Q4 | TA&M Q3 | 23–38 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MICH -3.5 | 39.5 | 7162641 | Q4 | MICH Q3 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MIA -21.5 | 53.5 | 7243050 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–36 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ARIZ -5.5 | 51.5 | 10243757 | Q4 | WVU Q1 Late over |
31–26 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTAH -4.5 | 35.5 | 7142131 | U | HOU Q4 | 14–17 |
2024 · Week 9 |
USU -1.5 | 56.5 | 10273352 | U | USU Q4 | 27–25 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ARST -7.5 | 50.5 | 13265065 | Q4 | TROY Q3 Late over |
31–34 |
2024 · Week 9 |
CSU -3.5 | 61.5 | 0202323 | U | CSU Q2 | 6–17 |
2024 · Week 9 |
USA -7.5 | 45.5 | 14294963 | Q3 | USA Q3 | 17–46 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TEX -16.5 | 51.5 | 21314151 | U | VAN Q1 | 27–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
CAL -11.5 | 49.5 | 14314151 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
7–44 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ORE -22.5 | 54.5 | 17384447 | U | ORE Q2 | 9–38 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UCF -2.5 | 53.5 | 7344461 | Q4 | BYU Q1 Late over |
37–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ALA -16.5 | 51.5 | 3132734 | U | ALA Q3 | 0–34 |
2024 · Week 9 |
IOWA -16.5 | 37.5 | 3194754 | Q3 | IOWA Q3 | 14–40 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MINN -5.5 | 44.5 | 21445171 | Q3 | MINN Q1 | 23–48 |
2024 · Week 9 |
CONN -6.5 | 45.5 | 331027 | U | CONN Q4 | 10–17 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WAKE -2.5 | 51.5 | 14414151 | U | WAKE Q1 Late cover flip |
27–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
BAY -6.5 | 63.5 | 6344466 | Q4 | BAY Q4 Late over |
28–38 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TCU -4.5 | 65.5 | 17315269 | Q4 | TTU Q2 | 34–35 |
2024 · Week 9 |
JMU -27.5 | 54.5 | 3264047 | U | USM Q1 | 15–32 |
2024 · Week 9 |
EMU -2.5 | 50.5 | 8183246 | U | AKR Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2024 · Week 9 |
NIU -13.5 | 47.5 | 14333348 | Q4 | BALL Q1 Late over |
23–25 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TOL -1.5 | 47.5 | 21485767 | Q2 | BGSU Q1 | 41–26 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WMU -19.5 | 61.5 | 14455273 | Q4 | WMU Q2 | 21–52 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MASS -23.5 | 49.5 | 7212842 | U | MASS Q4 Late cover flip |
7–35 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTSA -9.5 | 52.5 | 14426691 | Q3 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
45–46 |
2024 · Week 9 |
M-OH -9.5 | 48.5 | 10233353 | Q4 | M-OH Q3 | 7–46 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ECU -7.5 | 48.5 | 27488490 | Q3 | ECU Q3 | 34–56 |
2024 · Week 9 |
APP -7.5 | 59.5 | 2344859 | U | GAST Q1 Lead lost |
26–33 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ARK -7.5 | 54.5 | 24416683 | Q3 | ARK Q1 | 58–25 |
2024 · Week 9 |
OSU -25.5 | 48.5 | 7202338 | U | NEB Q1 | 17–21 |
2024 · Week 9 |
ND -14.5 | 50.5 | 14385865 | Q3 | ND Q2 | 51–14 |
2024 · Week 9 |
IU -5.5 | 53.5 | 7243848 | U | IU Q1 | 17–31 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MISS -19.5 | 50.5 | 14243740 | U | OU Q1 | 14–26 |
2024 · Week 9 |
VT -11.5 | 52.5 | 3202727 | U | VT Q3 | 6–21 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UVA -3.5 | 57.5 | 10304455 | U | UNC Q1 | 41–14 |
2024 · Week 9 |
OHIO -4.5 | 45.5 | 3344963 | Q3 | OHIO Q2 | 16–47 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MEM -16.5 | 55.5 | 7142861 | Q4 | CLT Q1 Late over |
28–33 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TULN -7.5 | 69.5 | 24486982 | Q4 | TULN Q1 Late over |
45–37 |
2024 · Week 9 |
USC -13.5 | 55.5 | 17406262 | Q3 | USC Q2 | 20–42 |
2024 · Week 9 |
BOIS -3.5 | 62.5 | 13304753 | U | BOIS Q4 | 29–24 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 28
Q2 16% 9
Q3 18% 10
Q4 18% 10
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 84% and covered 74% of 50 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 79% of 57 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 11 | 100% 11 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 11–14 | 10 | 40% 4 |
| 15–17 | 11 | 45% 5 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 14 | 7% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.