When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
59 games · 2024 · Week 8 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 30 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 37% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.
All 59 games
2024 · Week 8 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 8 |
UTAH -5.5 | 51.5 | 0102020 | U | TCU Q1 | 13–7 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNLV -6.5 | 61.5 | 6334058 | U | UNLV Q4 | 33–25 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SMU -16.5 | 52.5 | 21384150 | U | SMU Q1 | 40–10 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CSU -5.5 | 44.5 | 0142134 | U | CSU Q2 | 21–13 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TEX -4.5 | 56.5 | 7233845 | U | UGA Q1 | 30–15 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UK -2.5 | 41.5 | 3405468 | Q3 | FLA Q1 | 20–48 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ISU -13.5 | 49.5 | 21355573 | Q3 | UCF Q1 Lead lost |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 8 |
KSU -2.5 | 55.5 | 13274163 | Q4 | KSU Q1 | 45–18 |
2024 · Week 8 |
IOWA -6.5 | 39.5 | 6123352 | Q4 | MSU Q1 | 20–32 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MEM -10.5 | 67.5 | 35526696 | Q4 | UNT Q1 Late cover flip |
44–52 |
2024 · Week 8 |
LSU -2.5 | 55.5 | 10233444 | U | LSU Q1 | 34–10 |
2024 · Week 8 |
VAN -27.5 | 56.5 | 10212838 | U | BALL Q1 | 14–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ARST -7 | 56.5 | 28496272 | Q3 | ARST Q3 | 44–28 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TA&M -21.5 | 55.5 | 14384858 | Q4 | MSST Q1 | 34–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
USC -6.5 | 55.5 | 7283557 | Q4 | MD Q4 Late over Lead lost |
28–29 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ARIZ -2.5 | 56.5 | 21353841 | U | COLO Q1 | 34–7 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TTU -4.5 | 55.5 | 14385994 | Q3 | BAY Q1 | 59–35 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNM -0.5 | 77.5 | 14396795 | Q4 | UNM Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
50–45 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SJSU -11.5 | 52.5 | 7142438 | U | WYO Q3 Late cover flip |
14–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
JMU -8.5 | 57.5 | 7213542 | U | GASO Q1 | 14–28 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ALA -3.5 | 57.5 | 072441 | U | TENN Q3 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ND -14.5 | 49.5 | 7212844 | U | ND Q4 | 31–13 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MICH -5.5 | 44.5 | 3202828 | U | ILL Q1 | 7–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
NAVY -16.5 | 57.5 | 24486868 | Q3 | NAVY Q1 | 17–51 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CAL -9.5 | 45.5 | 10233347 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 | 24–23 |
2024 · Week 8 |
KU -5.5 | 45.5 | 14424256 | Q4 | KU Q1 | 14–42 |
2024 · Week 8 |
WSU -18.5 | 54.5 | 10243852 | U | WSU Q4 | 10–42 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TXST -10.5 | 59.5 | 7142138 | U | ODU Q1 | 14–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
M-OH -3.5 | 42.5 | 3163650 | Q4 | M-OH Q2 | 20–30 |
2024 · Week 8 |
BGSU -23.5 | 54.5 | 13262633 | U | KENT Q1 | 6–27 |
2024 · Week 8 |
WMU -1.5 | 48.5 | 17455989 | Q3 | WMU Q2 | 48–41 |
2024 · Week 8 |
NIU -3.5 | 42.5 | 3131619 | U | TOL Q1 | 13–6 |
2024 · Week 8 |
USF -14.5 | 56.5 | 3163960 | Q4 | UAB Q1 Late over |
25–35 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UTSA -4.5 | 51.5 | 10344862 | Q4 | UTSA Q4 | 24–38 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TULN -22.5 | 52.5 | 3172034 | U | RICE Q1 | 10–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
EMU -3.5 | 52.5 | 10304372 | Q4 | EMU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
34–38 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TEM -2.5 | 51.5 | 3172730 | U | TEM Q1 | 10–20 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SC -2.5 | 40.5 | 21354144 | Q3 | SC Q1 | 35–9 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MIA -4.5 | 60.5 | 17416997 | Q3 | MIA Q2 | 52–45 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CLEM -20.5 | 56.5 | 6274879 | Q4 | UVA Q4 Late cover flip |
31–48 |
2024 · Week 8 |
IU -6.5 | 47.5 | 7354963 | Q3 | IU Q1 | 7–56 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MIZ -4.5 | 49.5 | 362338 | U | AUB Q1 Lead lost |
17–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ARMY -18.5 | 54.5 | 7244573 | Q4 | ECU Q4 | 28–45 |
2024 · Week 8 |
WIS -9.5 | 42.5 | 0142426 | U | WIS Q2 | 23–3 |
2024 · Week 8 |
RUTG -4.5 | 42.5 | 14314767 | Q3 | UCLA Q1 | 35–32 |
2024 · Week 8 |
WAKE -2.5 | 56.5 | 6193343 | U | WAKE Q2 | 23–20 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CIN -4.5 | 50.5 | 17313838 | U | CIN Q2 | 14–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UL -6.5 | 56.5 | 7313458 | Q4 | UL Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
34–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
FRES -2.5 | 49.5 | 10384545 | U | FRES Q3 | 24–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
BYU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14354973 | Q4 | OKST Q1 | 35–38 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 32
Q2 14% 8
Q3 7% 4
Q4 25% 15
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 72% of 57 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 75% of 55 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 11 | 100% 11 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 7 | 86% 6 |
| 8–10 | 6 | 83% 5 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 6 | 50% 3 |
| 22+ | 21 | 5% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.