When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

59 games · 2024 · Week 8 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 30 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 37% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 25% of games.

All 59 games

2024 · Week 8 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2024 · Week 8
UTAH -5.5 51.5 0102020 U TCU Q1 13–7
2024 · Week 8
UNLV -6.5 61.5 6334058 U UNLV Q4 33–25
2024 · Week 8
SMU -16.5 52.5 21384150 U SMU Q1 40–10
2024 · Week 8
CSU -5.5 44.5 0142134 U CSU Q2 21–13
2024 · Week 8
TEX -4.5 56.5 7233845 U UGA Q1 30–15
2024 · Week 8
UK -2.5 41.5 3405468 Q3 FLA Q1 20–48
2024 · Week 8
ISU -13.5 49.5 21355573 Q3 UCF Q1
Lead lost
35–38
2024 · Week 8
KSU -2.5 55.5 13274163 Q4 KSU Q1 45–18
2024 · Week 8
IOWA -6.5 39.5 6123352 Q4 MSU Q1 20–32
2024 · Week 8
MEM -10.5 67.5 35526696 Q4 UNT Q1
Late cover flip
44–52
2024 · Week 8
LSU -2.5 55.5 10233444 U LSU Q1 34–10
2024 · Week 8
VAN -27.5 56.5 10212838 U BALL Q1 14–24
2024 · Week 8
ARST -7 56.5 28496272 Q3 ARST Q3 44–28
2024 · Week 8
TA&M -21.5 55.5 14384858 Q4 MSST Q1 34–24
2024 · Week 8
USC -6.5 55.5 7283557 Q4 MD Q4
Late over Lead lost
28–29
2024 · Week 8
ARIZ -2.5 56.5 21353841 U COLO Q1 34–7
2024 · Week 8
TTU -4.5 55.5 14385994 Q3 BAY Q1 59–35
2024 · Week 8
UNM -0.5 77.5 14396795 Q4 UNM Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
50–45
2024 · Week 8
SJSU -11.5 52.5 7142438 U WYO Q3
Late cover flip
14–24
2024 · Week 8
JMU -8.5 57.5 7213542 U GASO Q1 14–28
2024 · Week 8
ALA -3.5 57.5 072441 U TENN Q3 17–24
2024 · Week 8
ND -14.5 49.5 7212844 U ND Q4 31–13
2024 · Week 8
MICH -5.5 44.5 3202828 U ILL Q1 7–21
2024 · Week 8
NAVY -16.5 57.5 24486868 Q3 NAVY Q1 17–51
2024 · Week 8
CAL -9.5 45.5 10233347 Q4 NCSU Q4 24–23
2024 · Week 8
KU -5.5 45.5 14424256 Q4 KU Q1 14–42
2024 · Week 8
WSU -18.5 54.5 10243852 U WSU Q4 10–42
2024 · Week 8
TXST -10.5 59.5 7142138 U ODU Q1 14–24
2024 · Week 8
M-OH -3.5 42.5 3163650 Q4 M-OH Q2 20–30
2024 · Week 8
BGSU -23.5 54.5 13262633 U KENT Q1 6–27
2024 · Week 8
WMU -1.5 48.5 17455989 Q3 WMU Q2 48–41
2024 · Week 8
NIU -3.5 42.5 3131619 U TOL Q1 13–6
2024 · Week 8
USF -14.5 56.5 3163960 Q4 UAB Q1
Late over
25–35
2024 · Week 8
UTSA -4.5 51.5 10344862 Q4 UTSA Q4 24–38
2024 · Week 8
TULN -22.5 52.5 3172034 U RICE Q1 10–24
2024 · Week 8
EMU -3.5 52.5 10304372 Q4 EMU Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
34–38
2024 · Week 8
TEM -2.5 51.5 3172730 U TEM Q1 10–20
2024 · Week 8
SC -2.5 40.5 21354144 Q3 SC Q1 35–9
2024 · Week 8
MIA -4.5 60.5 17416997 Q3 MIA Q2 52–45
2024 · Week 8
CLEM -20.5 56.5 6274879 Q4 UVA Q4
Late cover flip
31–48
2024 · Week 8
IU -6.5 47.5 7354963 Q3 IU Q1 7–56
2024 · Week 8
MIZ -4.5 49.5 362338 U AUB Q1
Lead lost
17–21
2024 · Week 8
ARMY -18.5 54.5 7244573 Q4 ECU Q4 28–45
2024 · Week 8
WIS -9.5 42.5 0142426 U WIS Q2 23–3
2024 · Week 8
RUTG -4.5 42.5 14314767 Q3 UCLA Q1 35–32
2024 · Week 8
WAKE -2.5 56.5 6193343 U WAKE Q2 23–20
2024 · Week 8
CIN -4.5 50.5 17313838 U CIN Q2 14–24
2024 · Week 8
UL -6.5 56.5 7313458 Q4 UL Q4
Late cover flip Late over
34–24
2024 · Week 8
FRES -2.5 49.5 10384545 U FRES Q3 24–21
2024 · Week 8
BYU -7.5 52.5 14354973 Q4 OKST Q1 35–38

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 54% 32
Q2 14% 8
Q3 7% 4
Q4 25% 15
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 72% of 57 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 75% of 55 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over11100% 11
1–31100% 1
4–7786% 6
8–10683% 5
11–14450% 2
15–17333% 1
18–21650% 3
22+215% 1
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.