When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
282 games · 2025 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 147 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 27% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
Over cashed in the last 5 minutes: 53 games
2025 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
GB -1.5 | 46.5 | 10242758 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–31 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BAL -4.5 | 41.5 | 7132350 | Q4 | PIT Q3 Late over Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 18 |
PHI -3 | 38.5 | 0172741 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 17 |
LAR -7.5 | 48.5 | 7214151 | Q4 | ATL Q1 Late over |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NYG -3 | 40.5 | 7203744 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DAL -8.5 | 50.5 | 10344753 | Q4 | WSH Q3 Late over |
30–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
BAL -3.5 | 47.5 | 7203052 | Q4 | NE Q4 Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DET -7.5 | 52.5 | 3202253 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
29–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DAL -1.5 | 50.5 | 14384151 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
34–17 |
2025 · Week 16 |
PHI -7 | 43.5 | 10172447 | Q4 | PHI Q4 Late over |
29–18 |
2025 · Week 15 |
NYG -3 | 45.5 | 3293650 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
29–21 |
2025 · Week 14 |
GB -6.5 | 44.5 | 0173549 | Q4 | GB Q2 Late cover flip Late over |
21–28 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DEN -8.5 | 40.5 | 14212841 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MIA -2.5 | 41.5 | 28313144 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TB -7.5 | 41.5 | 14173444 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NE -7 | 46.5 | 17373748 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
15–33 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DEN -6.5 | 43.5 | 320344053 | OT | WSH Q1 Late over |
27–26 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LAC -9.5 | 40.5 | 7142845 | Q4 | LAC Q3 Late over |
14–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
JAX -1.5 | 46.5 | 1424314851 | Q4 | JAX OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BAL -7.5 | 37.5 | 6262639 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ATL -4.5 | 41.5 | 1431405457 | Q4 | CAR Q3 Late over Lead lost |
30–27 |
2025 · Week 11 |
GB -7.5 | 42.5 | 7263247 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TB -2.5 | 48.5 | 14243751 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
28–23 |
2025 · Week 10 |
IND -5.5 | 48.5 | 2027305056 | Q4 | IND OT Late cover flip Late over |
25–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
JAX -1.5 | 44.5 | 09154659 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 9 |
DET -9.5 | 47.5 | 21314151 | Q4 | MIN Q1 Late over |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
LAC -9.5 | 44.5 | 21373747 | Q4 | TEN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NE -5.5 | 45.5 | 14353847 | Q4 | ATL Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
23–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SF -2.5 | 47.5 | 14243058 | Q4 | SF Q2 Late over |
34–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
IND -14.5 | 47.5 | 10243852 | Q4 | IND Q3 Late over |
14–38 |
2025 · Week 8 |
BAL -2.5 | 44.5 | 6162246 | Q4 | BAL Q2 Late over |
16–30 |
2025 · Week 8 |
LAC -3.5 | 44.5 | 7243447 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
10–37 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SEA -3.5 | 41.5 | 14203946 | Q4 | SEA Q1 Late over |
19–27 |
2025 · Week 7 |
GB -6.5 | 44.5 | 3193350 | Q4 | ARI Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–23 |
2025 · Week 6 |
WSH -5.5 | 48.5 | 6203349 | Q4 | CHI Q1 Late over Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 6 |
GB -13.5 | 44.5 | 0101745 | Q4 | CIN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
18–27 |
2025 · Week 6 |
TB -3.5 | 46.5 | 10364649 | Q4 | TB Q1 Late over |
19–30 |
2025 · Week 5 |
KC -3.5 | 45.5 | 7213559 | Q4 | JAX Q3 Late over |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ARI -7.5 | 41.5 | 17272743 | Q4 | TEN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
22–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
NYJ -2.5 | 47.5 | 6263659 | Q4 | DAL Q1 Late over |
37–22 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIA -1.5 | 44.5 | 3273051 | Q4 | CAR Q4 Late over |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIN -3.5 | 35.5 | 14173138 | Q4 | MIN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 5 |
LAR -8.5 | 43.5 | 724344649 | Q4 | SF Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIA -2.5 | 43.5 | 3133448 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
21–27 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LV -2.5 | 46.5 | 10233749 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BUF -14.5 | 48.5 | 21243750 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
19–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIN -2.5 | 41.5 | 10202745 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 3 |
TB -6.5 | 42.5 | 6262956 | Q4 | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–29 |
2025 · Week 3 |
BUF -11.5 | 50.5 | 14283552 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
21–31 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ARI -6.5 | 45.5 | 13233649 | Q4 | CAR Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
22–27 |
GB
CHI
BAL
PIT
WSH
PHI
LAR
ATL
NYG
LV
DAL
NE
DET
LAC
DEN
MIA
NYJ
NO
TB
JAX
ARI
CLE
CAR
IND
MIN
TEN
SF
HOU
SEA
CIN
KC
BUFWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 144
Q2 16% 46
Q3 13% 38
Q4 17% 49
OT 2% 5
The team leading at halftime won 76% and covered 72% of 258 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 76% of 270 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 39 | 100% 39 |
| 1–3 | 14 | 100% 14 |
| 4–7 | 33 | 76% 25 |
| 8–10 | 31 | 81% 25 |
| 11–14 | 29 | 66% 19 |
| 15–17 | 25 | 48% 12 |
| 18–21 | 44 | 18% 8 |
| 22+ | 67 | 7% 5 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.