When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
919 games · 2025 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 449 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
Cover changed hands in the last 5 minutes: 105 games
2025 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
USC -4.5 | 56.5 | 327354857 | OT | TCU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNT -7.5 | 55.5 | 27486296 | Q3 | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
49–47 |
2025 · Postseason |
BYU -3.5 | 55.5 | 14313146 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2025 · Postseason |
MINN -1.5 | 44.5 | 313132837 | U | MINN OT Late cover flip |
17–20 |
2025 · Postseason |
ORE -20.5 | 47.5 | 16406885 | Q3 | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
34–51 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ND -32.5 | 49.5 | 14384869 | Q4 | STAN Q4 Late cover flip |
49–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ALA -7 | 48.5 | 10233347 | U | Push Late cover flip |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ILL -7 | 43.5 | 3242733 | U | Push Late cover flip |
13–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MSU -4 | 49.5 | 7315966 | Q3 | MSU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–38 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTAH -10 | 60.5 | 3172452 | U | Push Late cover flip |
31–21 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OHIO -7 | 44.5 | 7284157 | Q4 | BUFF Q4 Late cover flip |
31–26 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
 EIU @  ALA2025 · Week 13 |
ALA -54.5 | 59.5 | 14284256 | U | ALA Q4 Late cover flip |
0–56 |
2025 · Week 13 |
KENN -6.5 | 54.5 | 17275475 | Q4 | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
34–41 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OSU -28.5 | 54.5 | 7173151 | U | OSU Q4 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7171744 | U | CMU Q2 Late cover flip |
28–16 |
2025 · Week 12 |
OSU -32.5 | 46.5 | 10274858 | Q3 | OSU Q3 Late cover flip |
10–48 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ECU -2.5 | 57.5 | 7274858 | Q4 | ECU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
PSU -6.5 | 49.5 | 14242438 | U | PSU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–10 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ILL -15.5 | 51.5 | 10202730 | U | ILL Q4 Late cover flip |
6–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WKU -13.5 | 51.5 | 7315168 | Q4 | WKU Q4 Late cover flip |
26–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MOST -7.5 | 48.5 | 10314862 | Q4 | MOST Q4 Late cover flip |
24–38 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ALA -10.5 | 49.5 | 3202329 | U | ALA Q2 Late cover flip |
9–20 |
2025 · Week 11 |
UNC -8.5 | 41.5 | 361335 | U | STAN Q1 Late cover flip |
15–20 |
2025 · Week 11 |
VAN -5.5 | 46.5 | 730547683 | Q3 | VAN OT Late cover flip |
38–45 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ORE -4.5 | 42.5 | 2192234 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip |
18–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
OSU -30.5 | 49.5 | 3272744 | U | PUR Q1 Late cover flip |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 11 |
WVU -6.5 | 51.5 | 9283851 | U | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
22–29 |
2025 · Week 11 |
USM -6.5 | 54.5 | 17242748 | U | ARST Q4 Late cover flip |
27–21 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BALL -3.5 | 48.5 | 3132030 | U | BALL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
OHIO -2.5 | 50.5 | 061644 | U | OHIO Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
SDSU -10.5 | 41.5 | 14242431 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
7–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UVA -5.5 | 52.5 | 10243852 | U | UVA Q1 Late cover flip |
31–21 |
2025 · Week 10 |
LOU -10.5 | 52.5 | 16233744 | U | LOU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–16 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TEX -3.5 | 48.5 | 17344465 | Q4 | VAN Q4 Late cover flip |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CLEM -4.5 | 55.5 | 28567391 | Q2 | DUKE Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
46–45 |
2025 · Week 10 |
KENN -12.5 | 53.5 | 14264353 | U | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
20–33 |
2025 · Week 9 |
MIA -28.5 | 45.5 | 7143549 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TROY -7.5 | 47.5 | 14384858 | Q3 | TROY Q3 Late cover flip |
23–35 |
2025 · Week 9 |
VAN -3.5 | 52.5 | 061327 | U | VAN Q3 Late cover flip |
10–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NAVY -14.5 | 63.5 | 24343474 | Q4 | FAU Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
32–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEM -3.5 | 52.5 | 1031526275 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip |
38–37 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USF -3.5 | 58.5 | 21384865 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BOIS -20.5 | 51.5 | 6132027 | U | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip |
24–3 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USA -5.5 | 54.5 | 35424569 | Q4 | USA Q1 Late cover flip |
38–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
DEL -9.5 | 55.5 | 21385259 | Q4 | MTSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 8 |
MIZ -1.5 | 43.5 | 1017243440 | U | MIZ OT Late cover flip |
23–17 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TA&M -8.5 | 57.5 | 10416587 | Q3 | ARK Q4 Late cover flip |
45–42 |
USC
TCU
UNT
SDSU
GT
BYU
UNM
MINN
JMU
ORE
ND
STAN
AUB
NU
ILL
MD
MSU
UTAH
KU
OHIO
BUFF
DUKE
UNC
MOST
KENN
RUTG
OSU
TLSA
ARMY
CMU
KENT
UCLA
MEM
ECU
PSU
MTSU
WKU
UTEP
LSU
VAN
IOWA
PUR
COLO
WVU
USM
ARST
BALL
M-OH
WYO
UVA
CAL
LOU
VT
TEX
CLEM
MIA
UL
TROY
MIZ
FAU
NAVY
TEM
WMU
USF
BOIS
NEV
USA
GAST
DEL
TA&M
ARKWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 451
Q2 16% 150
Q3 15% 142
Q4 18% 165
OT 1% 8
Push 0% 3
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 69% of 860 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 73% of 867 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 147 | 100% 147 |
| 1–3 | 42 | 95% 40 |
| 4–7 | 102 | 90% 92 |
| 8–10 | 79 | 71% 56 |
| 11–14 | 87 | 54% 47 |
| 15–17 | 73 | 40% 29 |
| 18–21 | 102 | 22% 22 |
| 22+ | 287 | 6% 16 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.