Fertitta Center · at Houston · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -20.5✓ HOU covered by 19.5
HOU -20.5✓ HOU covered by 19.5Closing total139.5Over by 24.5
 COLO | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-12 | Record | 23-5 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 12-16 | O/U | 11-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLO 63–80 HOU · ✓ HOU (93%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 29 | 33 | 62 |
| HOU | 55 | 47 | 102 |
1st half: COLO 29, HOU 55 (HOU by 26). The model had HOU by 10.0 and a total of 67.1 (actual 84).
Team stats
| COLO | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-50 46% | Field goals | 34-57 60% |
| 3-14 21% | 3-pointers | 10-17 59% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 24-31 77% |
| 22 5 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 7-9 | 2-4 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 32 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bangot Dak F | 28 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Jalin Holland G | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Sanders G | 21 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ian Inman G | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Tacko Ifaola C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Crawford F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Elijah Malone, Leonardo Van Elswyk
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan G | 32 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 9-13 | 5-7 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 29 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 19 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chase McCarty F | 23 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Mercy Miller G | 23 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Cedric Lath C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob McFarland C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ramon Walker Jr., Bryce Jackson, Kordel Jefferson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOU -20.5
ModelHOU -17.0
Model edgeCOLO +3.5
L HOU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model143.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
W Over
Projected score
COLO 63.1 · HOU 80.2
COLO 62 · HOU 102
Win probability
HOU 93%
1st half
Spread
HOU -10.0
HOU -26.0
Total
67.1
84 points
Projected score
COLO 28.5 · HOU 38.5
COLO 29 · HOU 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -18.5
2 → HOU
CloseHOU -20.5
2 pts toward HOU
Total
Open141.5
▼ 2
Close139.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
COLO +2200 · HOU -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -18.5 · closed HOU -20.5 · moved 2 toward HOUmodel HOU -17
model HOU -17
Opened 141.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| HOU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
COLO 0–2 HOUHOU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 2 meetings · COLO 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | COLO 68 vs HOU 77 | HOU -17.5 | COLO W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | HOU 69 @ COLO 59 | COLO +14.5 | COLO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado
28 games played
Straight up
16-12
57% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vs UTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ CIN | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ WVU | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vs KU | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCF | L 86-95 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 29 | @ ISU | L 67-97 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | vs TCU | W 87-61 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 4 | @ BAY | L 67-86 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | vsASU | W 78-70 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | @TTU | L 44-78 | +13.5 | L −20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | @ BYU | L 86-90 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs OKST | W 83-69 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 25 | vs KSU | W 79-70 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−4.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−1.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
−12.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
−12.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
+27.5
4
@BAY
BAYL 67-86
−11.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 78-70
+4.5
11
@TTU
TTUL 44-78
−20.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 86-90
+11.5
21
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-69
+10.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 79-70
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−8.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−11.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
+21.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
+11.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
−5.5
4
@BAY
BAYL 67-86
−2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 78-70
−10.5
11
@TTU
TTUL 44-78
−33.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 86-90
+14.5
21
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-69
−10.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 79-70
−14.5
over 12under 16avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
28 games played
Straight up
23-5
82% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vsTTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vsWVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vsASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCIN | W 76-54 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsUCF | W 79-55 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 7 | @BYU | W 77-66 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 10 | @UTAH | W 66-52 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 14 | vsKSU | W 78-64 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 16 | @ISU | L 67-70 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | vs ARIZ | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 23 | @KU | L 56-69 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
+8.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
+8.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
+9.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−2.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−8.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
−0.5
21
vsARIZ
ARIZL 66-73
−13.5
23
@KU
KUL 56-69
−15.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
−5.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
−12.5
7
@BYU
BYUW 77-66
−8.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 66-52
−24.5
14
vsKSU
KSUW 78-64
−2.5
16
@ISU
ISUL 67-70
+2.5
21
vsARIZ
ARIZL 66-73
−3.5
23
@KU
KUL 56-69
−13.5
over 11under 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado
16-12 overall · 6-9 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St79–70
- Wvs Oklahoma St83–69
- L@ BYU86–90
- L@ Texas Tech44–78
- Wvs Arizona St78–70
3 days since their last game.
Houston
23-5 overall · 11-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kansas56–69
- Lvs Arizona66–73
- L@ Iowa State67–70
- Wvs Kansas St78–64
- W@ Utah66–52
5 days since their last game.