The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -10.5✓ UCSB covered by 0.5
UCSB -10.5✓ UCSB covered by 0.5Closing total145.5Under by 16.5
 UCR | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 7-20 | Record | 15-11 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCR 70–79 UCSB · ✓ UCSB (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCR | 27 | 32 | 59 |
| UCSB | 39 | 31 | 70 |
1st half: UCR 27, UCSB 39 (UCSB by 12). The model had UCSB by 5.5 and a total of 69.6 (actual 66).
Team stats
| UCR | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-52 38% | Field goals | 23-52 44% |
| 2-16 13% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 29 5 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UCR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Henderson G | 39 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6-17 | 0-4 |
| Marqui Worthy Jr. G | 38 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr. G | 36 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| BJ Kolly F | 36 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Osiris Grady F | 28 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Waller G | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Jones G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gavin Haase, Amaury McKinney, EJ Spillman, Dylan Godfrey, Jailen Daniel-Dalton, Daniel Tobiloba, Denzel Hines, Parker Strauss
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 36 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 7-15 | 2-7 |
| CJ Shaw G | 36 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Colin Smith F | 29 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Zion Sensley G | 28 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 27 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Zuffelato, Kyle Haughy, John Simcoe, ZZ Clark, Bryce Bedgood, Jason Fontenet II, Miro Little, Isaac Shingange
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSB -10.5
ModelUCSB -9.5
Model edgeUCR +1.0
L UCSB covered
Total
Market145.5
Model148.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
L Under
Projected score
UCR 69.6 · UCSB 79.1
UCR 59 · UCSB 70
Win probability
UCSB 80%
1st half
Spread
UCSB -5.5
UCSB -12.0
Total
69.6
66 points
Projected score
UCR 32 · UCSB 37.6
UCR 27 · UCSB 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -11.5
1 → UCR
CloseUCSB -10.5
1 pt toward UCR
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCR +500 · UCSB -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -11.5 · closed UCSB -10.5 · moved 1 toward UCRmodel UCSB -9.5
model UCSB -9.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCR | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UCSB | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCR 5–4 UCSBUCR leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCR 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | UCSB 76 @ UCR 68 | UCR +6.5 | UCSB W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UCSB 69 @ UCR 81 | UCR -0.5 | UCR W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | UCR 63 @ UCSB 66 | UCSB -6.5 | UCR W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UCR 81 @ UCSB 64 | UCSB -4.5 | UCR W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | UCSB 77 @ UCR 79 | UCR +2.5 | UCR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Riverside
27 games played
Straight up
7-20
26% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UND | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNM | L 68-82 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | vsUND | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ CBU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ USD | W 85-71 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs GRAM | W 83-74 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCI | L 60-73 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ CP | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ BYU | L 53-100 | +33.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ STMN | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 23 | @ UCLA | L 65-97 | +24.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | vs HAW | L 45-88 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUB | L 66-67 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCSD | L 66-69 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | @ LBSU | L 73-88 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs CSUF | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 22 | vsUCI | L 66-80 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 24 | @ UCD | L 66-74 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 29 | vsLBSU | W 71-61 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vsCP | L 87-94 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 5 | @CSUF | L 72-78 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ CSUN | L 74-88 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCSB | L 68-76 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 14 | @UCSD | L 66-72 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 19 | vsCSUB | W 93-65 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsUCD | L 73-78 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
+5.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+5.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
−5.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−10.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+21.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+5.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
−2.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
+0.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−13.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+0.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
−7.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−34.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
+2.5
10
vsUCSD
UCSDL 66-69
+7.5
15
@LBSU
LBSUL 73-88
−9.5
17
vsCSUF
CSUFW 81-72
+12.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 66-80
−5.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 66-74
+1.5
29
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
+11.5
31
vsCP
CPL 87-94
−8.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 72-78
−0.5
7
@CSUN
CSUNL 74-88
−3.5
12
vsUCSB
UCSBL 68-76
−1.5
14
@UCSD
UCSDL 66-72
+5.5
19
vsCSUB
CSUBW 93-65
+21.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 73-78
−2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
−2.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+8.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
+1.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−5.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+12.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
+0.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
−9.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−2.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+17.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
+13.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−16.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
−14.5
10
vsUCSD
UCSDL 66-69
−14.5
15
@LBSU
LBSUL 73-88
+19.5
17
vsCSUF
CSUFW 81-72
−4.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 66-80
+3.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 66-74
−9.5
29
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
−12.5
31
vsCP
CPL 87-94
+18.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 72-78
−6.5
7
@CSUN
CSUNL 74-88
+1.5
12
vsUCSB
UCSBL 68-76
−1.5
14
@UCSD
UCSDL 66-72
−9.5
19
vsCSUB
CSUBW 93-65
+7.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 73-78
+1.5
over 14under 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
26 games played
Straight up
15-11
58% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vsLBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs PORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @CSUN | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCD | L 86-93 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 15 | @CSUB | W 75-69 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsHAW | W 77-62 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vsCP | W 107-67 | -8.5 | W +31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | @LBSU | W 74-71 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 29 | @UCSD | W 62-48 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | vsCSUF | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | @UCD | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 7 | vsUCI | W 84-79 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UCR | W 76-68 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 14 | @CP | L 79-89 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | vsCSUN | L 83-85 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @HAW | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−6.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
−11.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−1.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
+17.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+31.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
−1.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
+18.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
+5.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 75-85
−13.5
7
vsUCI
UCIW 84-79
+2.5
12
@UCR
UCRW 76-68
+1.5
14
@CP
CPL 79-89
−13.5
19
vsCSUN
CSUNL 83-85
−7.5
21
@HAW
HAWL 75-78
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−17.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
+31.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−0.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
−4.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+14.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
+0.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
−35.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
−1.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 75-85
+12.5
7
vsUCI
UCIW 84-79
+21.5
12
@UCR
UCRW 76-68
−1.5
14
@CP
CPL 79-89
+8.5
19
vsCSUN
CSUNL 83-85
+11.5
21
@HAW
HAWL 75-78
+7.5
over 15under 11avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Riverside
7-20 overall · 4-13 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC Davis73–78
- Wvs Bakersfield93–65
- L@ UC San Diego66–72
- Lvs Santa Barbara68–76
- L@ CSU Northridge74–88
5 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
15-11 overall · 10-7 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hawai'i75–78
- Lvs CSU Northridge83–85
- L@ Cal Poly79–89
- W@ UC Riverside76–68
- Wvs UC Irvine84–79
5 days since their last game.