Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
Closing line
WASH -1.5✓ ORE covered by 7.5
WASH -1.5✓ ORE covered by 7.5Closing total145.5Over by 18.5
| WASH | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 15-15 | Record | 11-19 |
| 18-12 | ATS | 11-19 |
| 12-18 | O/U | 13-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WASH 74–72 ORE · ✗ WASH (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 30 | 49 | 79 |
| ORE | 44 | 41 | 85 |
1st half: WASH 30, ORE 44 (ORE by 14). The model had WASH by 1.2 and a total of 68.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| WASH | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 30-57 53% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 16-16 100% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 28 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 22 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yates III G | 38 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 5-14 | 2-10 |
| Quimari Peterson G | 38 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 33 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-2 |
| Hannes Steinbach F | 30 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 9-11 | 2-3 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Courtland Muldrew G | 26 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Nikola Dzepina F | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Jacob Ognacevic, BJ Roy, Franck Kepnang, JJ Mandaquit, Christian Nitu, Bryson Tucker, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 36 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 36 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Nate Bittle C | 34 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 7-15 | 1-4 |
| Sean Stewart F | 25 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Drew Carter G | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 22 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Wei Lin G | 17 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jackson Shelstad, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Luke Johnson, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Miles Stewart, Devon Pryor
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWASH -1.5
ModelWASH -1.8
Model edgeWASH +0.3
L ORE covered
Total
Market145.5
Model145.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
WASH 73.8 · ORE 72
WASH 79 · ORE 85
Win probability
WASH 56%
1st half
Spread
WASH -1.2
ORE -14.0
Total
68.2
74 points
Projected score
WASH 34.7 · ORE 33.5
WASH 30 · ORE 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -1.5
3 → WASH
CloseWASH -1.5
3 pts toward WASH
Total
Open140.5
▲ 5
Close145.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
WASH -120 · ORE +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -1.5 · closed WASH -1.5 · moved 3 toward WASHmodel WASH -2
model WASH -2
Opened 140.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 5 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| ORE | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WASH 3–5 OREORE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · WASH 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025-26 | ORE 57 @ WASH 72 | WASH -7.5 | WASH W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | ORE 80 @ WASH 73 | WASH +7.5 | WASH W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | WASH 71 @ ORE 82 | ORE -12.5 | WASH W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | WASH 80 @ ORE 85 | ORE -8.5 | WASH W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | ORE 76 @ WASH 74 | WASH -4.5 | ORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington
30 games played
Straight up
15-15
50% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vs UCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs USD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vs OSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vs MICH | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vs MSU | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ NEB | L 66-76 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | vsORE | W 72-57 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ ILL | L 66-75 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @ NU | W 76-62 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs IOWA | L 74-84 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | @UCLA | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | vs PSU | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | vs MINN | W 69-57 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 21 | @ MD | L 60-64 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 24 | @ RUTG | W 79-72 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | vs WIS | L 73-90 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vsUSC | W 91-72 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
+2.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−13.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
+0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
+7.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
+3.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
+15.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
−7.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+0.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−15.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
+5.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−8.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+2.5
28
vsWIS
WISL 73-90
−15.5
4
vsUSC
USCW 91-72
+13.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
−11.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−2.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
−10.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
−14.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
−12.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
−8.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
+16.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+5.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−30.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
−12.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−19.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+11.5
28
vsWIS
WISL 73-90
+9.5
4
vsUSC
USCW 91-72
+12.5
over 12under 18avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
30 games played
Straight up
11-19
37% wins
Against the spread
11-19
37% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vsUSC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vsOSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsMICH | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsMSU | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @WASH | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsUCLA | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vsIOWA | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @PUR | L 64-68 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 9 | @IU | L 74-92 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 14 | vsPSU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 17 | vsMINN | L 44-61 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | @USC | W 71-70 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 25 | vsWIS | W 85-71 | +5.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @NU | L 62-63 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 3 | @ILL | L 54-80 | +17.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−5.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−7.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−11.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
−8.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
+15.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
−7.5
14
vsPSU
PSUW 83-72
+4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNL 44-61
−20.5
21
@USC
USCW 71-70
+6.5
25
vsWIS
WISW 85-71
+19.5
28
@NU
NUL 62-63
+2.5
3
@ILL
ILLL 54-80
−8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 19avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
−5.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−19.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−14.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−6.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
+16.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
−12.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
+22.5
14
vsPSU
PSUW 83-72
+9.5
17
vsMINN
MINNL 44-61
−31.5
21
@USC
USCW 71-70
−8.5
25
vsWIS
WISW 85-71
+3.5
28
@NU
NUL 62-63
−16.5
3
@ILL
ILLL 54-80
−13.5
over 13under 17avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington
15-15 overall · 7-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs USC91–72
- Lvs Wisconsin73–90
- W@ Rutgers79–72
- L@ Maryland60–64
- Wvs Minnesota69–57
3 days since their last game.
Oregon
11-19 overall · 4-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois54–80
- L@ Northwestern62–63
- Wvs Wisconsin85–71
- W@ USC71–70
- Lvs Minnesota44–61
4 days since their last game.