Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -22.5✓ MINN covered by 12.5
MICH -22.5✓ MINN covered by 12.5Closing total145.5Under by 1.5
 MINN | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 13-14 | Record | 25-2 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 10-17 | O/U | 11-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 63–85 MICH · ✓ MICH (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 28 | 39 | 67 |
| MICH | 32 | 45 | 77 |
1st half: MINN 28, MICH 32 (MICH by 4). The model had MICH by 12.8 and a total of 69.1 (actual 60).
Team stats
| MINN | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 12-34 35% | 3-pointers | 14-33 42% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 5-5 100% |
| 18 1 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 40 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 6-13 | 5-10 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 39 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 38 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Grayson Grove F | 38 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 38 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: RJ Spencer, Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, Chansey Willis Jr., Nehemiah Turner, BJ Omot, Chance Stephens, Robert Vaihola, Jaylen Crocker-Johnson
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Cadeau G | 31 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Aday Mara C | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 22 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| L.J. Cason G | 20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 19 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Will Tschetter F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, Oscar Goodman, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -22.5
ModelMICH -21.7
Model edgeMINN +0.8
W MINN covered
Total
Market145.5
Model147.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
L Under
Projected score
MINN 63 · MICH 84.7
MINN 67 · MICH 77
Win probability
MICH 97%
1st half
Spread
MICH -12.8
MICH -4.0
Total
69.1
60 points
Projected score
MINN 28.2 · MICH 41
MINN 28 · MICH 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -22.5
no move
CloseMICH -22.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +1800 · MICH -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -22.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -21.5
model MICH -21.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MINN 3–2 MICHMINN leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MINN has won the last 2 meetings · MINN 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | MICH 81 @ MINN 84 | MINN +10.5 | MINN W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | MINN 73 @ MICH 71 | MICH -5.5 | MINN W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | MINN 56 @ MICH 60 | MICH -12.5 | MINN W |
| Dec 8, 2022-23 | MICH 90 @ MINN 75 | MINN +4.5 | MICH W |
| Dec 11, 2021-22 | MINN 75 @ MICH 65 | MICH -13.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
27 games played
Straight up
13-14
48% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SCU | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs IU | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PUR | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs TXSO | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs CAM | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs FDU | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ NU | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs IOWA | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs USC | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs WIS | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ ILL | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs NEB | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @WIS | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @ PSU | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | vs MSU | W 76-73 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 8 | vs MD | L 62-67 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @ WASH | L 57-69 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 17 | @ ORE | W 61-44 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | vs RUTG | W 80-61 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
−5.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
+16.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−8.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
+14.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
+14.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−8.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+10.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+7.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−4.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
−1.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+5.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−0.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−14.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
+5.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
−4.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+11.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−15.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−5.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
+20.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
+22.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
−7.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−1.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
−2.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
−17.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−36.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+23.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+6.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−8.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
+6.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+12.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−7.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
−16.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
+9.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+12.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−9.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−12.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
−31.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+4.5
over 10under 17avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
27 games played
Straight up
25-2
93% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsRUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vsUSC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsWIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsIU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vsOSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vsNEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vs UCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vs DUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
over 11under 16avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
13-14 overall · 6-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers80–61
- W@ Oregon61–44
- L@ Washington57–69
- Lvs Maryland62–67
- Wvs Michigan St76–73
3 days since their last game.
Michigan
25-2 overall · 15-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duke63–68
- W@ Purdue91–80
- Wvs UCLA86–56
- W@ Northwestern87–75
- W@ Ohio State82–61
3 days since their last game.