When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
282 games · 2025 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 147 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 27% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
Went over in Q4: 107 games
2025 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
NE -3 | 40.5 | 10313744 | Q4 | NE Q1 | 16–28 |
2025 · Postseason |
SEA -7 | 44.5 | 17304047 | Q4 | SEA Q1 | 6–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
DEN -1.5 | 45.5 | 1030406063 | Q4 | DEN OT Late cover flip Lead lost |
30–33 |
2025 · Postseason |
GB -1.5 | 46.5 | 10242758 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
LAR -10 | 44.5 | 7313765 | Q4 | CAR Q1 | 34–31 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BAL -4.5 | 41.5 | 7132350 | Q4 | PIT Q3 Late over Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 18 |
BUF -13.5 | 39.5 | 7212943 | Q4 | BUF Q2 | 8–35 |
2025 · Week 18 |
LAR -14.5 | 49.5 | 6224357 | Q4 | LAR Q4 Late cover flip |
20–37 |
2025 · Week 18 |
NE -14.5 | 43.5 | 14274148 | Q4 | NE Q3 | 10–38 |
2025 · Week 18 |
PHI -3 | 38.5 | 0172741 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 18 |
DAL -3 | 50.5 | 16263451 | Q4 | NYG Q2 | 17–34 |
2025 · Week 18 |
JAX -13.5 | 46.5 | 14384148 | Q4 | JAX Q2 | 7–41 |
2025 · Week 17 |
LAR -7.5 | 48.5 | 7214151 | Q4 | ATL Q1 Late over |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NYG -3 | 40.5 | 7203744 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DAL -8.5 | 50.5 | 10344753 | Q4 | WSH Q3 Late over |
30–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
BAL -3.5 | 47.5 | 7203052 | Q4 | NE Q4 Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DET -7.5 | 52.5 | 3202253 | Q4 | PIT Q1 Late over |
29–24 |
2025 · Week 16 |
HOU -14.5 | 39.5 | 7203044 | Q4 | LV Q1 | 21–23 |
2025 · Week 16 |
BUF -10.5 | 41.5 | 14304043 | Q4 | CLE Q1 | 23–20 |
2025 · Week 16 |
DAL -1.5 | 50.5 | 14384151 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
34–17 |
2025 · Week 16 |
PHI -7 | 43.5 | 10172447 | Q4 | PHI Q4 Late over |
29–18 |
2025 · Week 16 |
SEA -1.5 | 42.5 | 1020376075 | Q4 | LAR Q2 | 37–38 |
2025 · Week 15 |
DAL -5.5 | 47.5 | 14344760 | Q4 | MIN Q1 | 34–26 |
2025 · Week 15 |
SF -12.5 | 44.5 | 10274161 | Q4 | SF Q3 Late cover flip |
24–37 |
2025 · Week 15 |
BUF -2.5 | 49.5 | 14314566 | Q4 | BUF Q4 | 35–31 |
2025 · Week 15 |
NYG -3 | 45.5 | 3293650 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
29–21 |
2025 · Week 15 |
TB -6 | 43.5 | 7273457 | Q4 | ATL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
29–28 |
2025 · Week 14 |
GB -6.5 | 44.5 | 0173549 | Q4 | GB Q2 Late cover flip Late over |
21–28 |
2025 · Week 14 |
LAR -9.5 | 49.5 | 17344862 | Q4 | LAR Q2 | 45–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DEN -8.5 | 40.5 | 14212841 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
SEA -7 | 44.5 | 6122946 | Q4 | SEA Q3 | 37–9 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BUF -6 | 54.5 | 10323973 | Q4 | CIN Q1 | 34–39 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MIA -2.5 | 41.5 | 28313144 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TB -7.5 | 41.5 | 14173444 | Q4 | NO Q1 Late over |
24–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
IND -2.5 | 44.5 | 21384155 | Q4 | JAX Q1 | 19–36 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BAL -5.5 | 43.5 | 10264349 | Q4 | PIT Q1 | 27–22 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DET -3.5 | 55.5 | 13294674 | Q4 | DET Q1 | 30–44 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NE -7 | 46.5 | 17373748 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
15–33 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LAC -9.5 | 40.5 | 7142845 | Q4 | LAC Q3 Late over |
14–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ATL -3 | 38.5 | 0143151 | Q4 | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 12 |
JAX -1.5 | 46.5 | 1424314851 | Q4 | JAX OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CHI -2.5 | 47.5 | 14384559 | Q4 | CHI Q3 | 28–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DET -14.5 | 50.5 | 1037375461 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Lead lost |
27–34 |
2025 · Week 11 |
DAL -3.5 | 48.5 | 9334049 | Q4 | DAL Q2 | 33–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BAL -7.5 | 37.5 | 6262639 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
SF -3.5 | 48.5 | 20354563 | Q4 | SF Q1 | 41–22 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ATL -4.5 | 41.5 | 1431405457 | Q4 | CAR Q3 Late over Lead lost |
30–27 |
2025 · Week 11 |
GB -7.5 | 42.5 | 7263247 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 10 |
LAR -6.5 | 49.5 | 14284268 | Q4 | LAR Q1 | 42–26 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CLE -2.5 | 37.5 | 21343447 | Q4 | NYJ Q1 | 20–27 |
HOU
NE
SF
SEA
BUF
DEN
GB
CHI
LAR
CAR
BAL
PIT
NYJ
ARI
MIA
WSH
PHI
DAL
NYG
TEN
JAX
ATL
LV
DET
CLE
LAC
MIN
TB
CIN
NO
INDWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 144
Q2 16% 46
Q3 13% 38
Q4 17% 49
OT 2% 5
The team leading at halftime won 76% and covered 72% of 258 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 76% of 270 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 39 | 100% 39 |
| 1–3 | 14 | 100% 14 |
| 4–7 | 33 | 76% 25 |
| 8–10 | 31 | 81% 25 |
| 11–14 | 29 | 66% 19 |
| 15–17 | 25 | 48% 12 |
| 18–21 | 44 | 18% 8 |
| 22+ | 67 | 7% 5 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.