When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
81 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 32–40 · pick one to list those games
63% went over. Of the 50 overs, 6% had cashed by halftime and 34% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 81 games
2023–2026 · Totals 32–40 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 3 |
WYO -1.5 | 39.5 | 3172734 | U | CMU Q1 | 10–24 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Week 16 |
NAVY -6 | 37.5 | 7202633 | U | ARMY Q2 | 16–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
WIS -2.5 | 38.5 | 0172424 | U | MINN Q1 | 7–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
IOWA -5.5 | 38.5 | 20404956 | Q2 | IOWA Q2 | 40–16 |
2025 · Week 13 |
M-OH -2.5 | 38.5 | 3275157 | Q3 | M-OH Q2 | 37–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WMU -6.5 | 38.5 | 10273454 | Q4 | WMU Q3 | 35–19 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WAKE -3.5 | 37.5 | 7203040 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Late over |
12–28 |
2025 · Week 9 |
IOWA -7.5 | 39.5 | 17313744 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 3–41 |
2025 · Week 7 |
IOWA -4.5 | 37.5 | 17233037 | U | IOWA Q1 | 37–0 |
2025 · Week 6 |
M-OH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14243639 | U | M-OH Q3 | 25–14 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7173141 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
14–27 |
2025 · Week 2 |
HOU -13.5 | 38.5 | 0101744 | Q4 | HOU Q4 Late over |
35–9 |
2024 · Week 16 |
ARMY -6.5 | 39.5 | 7213144 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 31–13 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BYU -9.5 | 39.5 | 14313448 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late cover flip |
18–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BGSU -3 | 37.5 | 7191940 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 Late over |
28–12 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 10233756 | Q3 | MICH Q2 | 6–50 |
2024 · Week 13 |
IOWA -4.5 | 39.5 | 3132542 | Q4 | IOWA Q2 Late over |
29–13 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NEB -8.5 | 39.5 | 3204147 | Q3 | UCLA Q1 | 27–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ARMY -18.5 | 38.5 | 391623 | U | AFA Q1 | 3–20 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MICH -3.5 | 39.5 | 7162641 | Q4 | MICH Q3 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTAH -4.5 | 35.5 | 7142131 | U | HOU Q4 | 14–17 |
2024 · Week 9 |
IOWA -16.5 | 37.5 | 3194754 | Q3 | IOWA Q3 | 14–40 |
2024 · Week 8 |
IOWA -6.5 | 39.5 | 6123352 | Q4 | MSU Q1 | 20–32 |
2024 · Week 7 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7102438 | U | MINN Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–17 |
2024 · Week 6 |
WASH -1.5 | 39.5 | 7243144 | Q4 | WASH Q4 | 17–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
IU -12.5 | 38.5 | 7274165 | Q3 | IU Q4 Late cover flip |
41–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NAVY -9.5 | 37.5 | 14283441 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 34–7 |
2024 · Week 5 |
AFA -4.5 | 33.5 | 7203450 | Q3 | WYO Q3 | 19–31 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 7242751 | Q4 | MINN Q4 | 24–27 |
2024 · Week 4 |
IOWA -2.5 | 34.5 | 7213845 | Q3 | IOWA Q3 | 31–14 |
 EIU @  NU2024 · Week 3 |
NU -26.5 | 38.5 | 7213138 | U | EIU Q1 | 7–31 |
2024 · Week 3 |
IOWA -23.5 | 39.5 | 0244559 | Q3 | TROY Q1 | 21–38 |
2024 · Week 2 |
IOWA -2.5 | 36.5 | 7133339 | Q4 | ISU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
20–19 |
 IDHO @  WYO2024 · Week 2 |
WYO -6.5 | 39.5 | 17272730 | U | IDHO Q1 | 17–13 |
2024 · Week 2 |
NU -2.5 | 37.5 | 1017202646 | OT | DUKE Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–20 |
2023 · Postseason |
TENN -5 | 37 | 0142135 | U | TENN Q2 | 0–35 |
2023 · Week 14 |
MICH -21.5 | 36 | 10102026 | U | MICH Q4 | 26–0 |
2023 · Week 13 |
M-OH -3.5 | 34.5 | 13262932 | U | BALL Q4 Late cover flip |
17–15 |
2023 · Week 13 |
BUFF -5.5 | 37.5 | 7243235 | U | EMU Q1 | 24–11 |
2023 · Week 12 |
WIS -7 | 36.5 | 1424313441 | OT | Push Late cover flip Late over |
17–24 |
2023 · Week 12 |
IOWA -3 | 33.5 | 5191928 | U | ILL Q1 Lead lost |
13–15 |
2023 · Week 12 |
PSU -19.5 | 40 | 3161933 | U | PSU Q4 Late cover flip |
6–27 |
2023 · Week 12 |
M-OH -7.5 | 37 | 0132333 | U | M-OH Q4 | 10–23 |
2023 · Week 12 |
EMU -3 | 39.5 | 028283457 | OT | Push Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–30 |
2023 · Week 11 |
TA&M -16.5 | 40 | 24445861 | Q2 | TA&M Q2 | 10–51 |
2023 · Week 11 |
PITT -3.5 | 38 | 10203441 | Q4 | SYR Q3 | 13–28 |
2023 · Week 11 |
M-OH -17 | 37.5 | 7101619 | U | M-OH Q4 | 0–19 |
IOWA
MICH
CMU
MIA
OSU
ARMY
NAVY
LSU
OU
WIS
MINN
NEB
M-OH
BUFF
WMU
NIU
UNC
WAKE
CAL
HOU
RICE
BYU
BGSU
MD
UCLA
AFA
MSU
UTAH
WASH
IU
TROY
ISU
DUKE
TENN
BALL
EMU
ILL
RUTG
PSU
AKR
MSST
TA&M
PITT
SYRWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 40% 32
Q2 17% 14
Q3 19% 15
Q4 19% 15
OT 0% 0
Push 6% 5
The team leading at halftime won 78% and covered 70% of 76 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 78% of 76 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 17 | 100% 17 |
| 1–3 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 15 | 73% 11 |
| 8–10 | 11 | 73% 8 |
| 11–14 | 9 | 56% 5 |
| 15–17 | 12 | 8% 1 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 22+ | 9 | 11% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.